Continuing around the horn we reach 3rd base, and find the hot corner to be that as well in fantasy rankings. Sticking to my one position per player, 3rd base is where we find Jose Ramirez, Alex Bregman, Travis Shaw and Wil Myers. In an auction you can anchor your team right here at both 3rd base and corner infield position. Ramirez, Arenado and Bregman all stand to be first rounders in most draft style formats, but only in an auction format do you have the chance at solidifying your team with two elite 3rd baseman or one elite along with a very productive one a little further down the board.
|A. Bregman (SS)||HOU||35|
|K. Bryant (OF)||CHC||28|
|V. Guerrero Jr.||TOR||17|
|T. Shaw (2B)||MIL||15|
|W. Myers (OF)||SD||14|
There is no question that Jose Ramirez has entered the ranks of fantasy elite. You will have to pay for him this year, and in an auction format that means 40 units. His stats last year were incredible, and being that they were career years there is always a chance for a bit of regression this season. The Indians haven’t exactly built a lineup around him and Lindor, so there is that bit of skepticism if he can repeat his numbers of last year. Steamer projections have him slated for a bit of a drop off in HRs (27 from 39), RBI (93 from 110) and SB (23 from 34). Based on last year’s numbers he’s worth the 40, but if you can get him for less, I’d be jumping all over it, even with the risk of some regression.
One sentence on Nolan Arenado. He is consistent and worth the investment to anchor your team.
In my injury update article I covered Alex Bregman and his recent elbow scope to remove loose bodies. If he had the season he did with some discomfort from them, having them removed only bodes for better things in my opinion. It is somewhat of a concern that he developed the loose bodies, but the procedure to remove them is a relatively minor one and his recovery should not hinder a normal start to the season. Having dual eligibility also increases his value. A green light to use Bregman as a key to your team.
To me the most interesting player on the list is Vlad Guerrero Jr. He is a mega star already without having had a major league at bat. His current ADP of 40 in the NFBC is too rich in my opinion. Can he have a year like Soto or Acuna did last year? I’m not taking the chance that early in the draft when there are players who have proven themselves available.
I have Guerrero valued at 17 units. To me, that’s what he is worth based on the risk and what his production is most likely to be. Steamer has him .306 22 HR 76 RBI 5 SB. Do not pay up for that production. These counting numbers are similar to Jed Lowrie’s numbers from last year and Yasiel Puig’s Steamer projections for this year. You can find these types of numbers in many other places in an auction, and most likely for a much cheaper price than what will probably be a bidding war type auction number for Vlad Jr.
I don’t see anyone else on the list that I would shy away from. Miguel Sano is a BA risk, but his power potential will be there, and for that price… it’s worth the shot. Maikel Franco doesn’t get much love, but last year was a reserve round pick in my auction and produced 22/68/.270 in 450 ABs. That’s pretty good for a buck or for “free”.
Third base is a very deep position, and one where you can anchor your team by getting two of these players to fill out your roster. If there is someone you like in the middle tier of this list, don’t be afraid to go a few units over for them, especially toward the middle of the auction if you are seeing some value developing.
Tracking value in an auction is vital, and I’ll be covering how to do that down the road.