Week 5 NFL DFS Sleepers

Here are my value picks for week 5. If you are looking for the best plays regardless of price you may want to check out Eric’s (@mrclutchdfsDFS Plays of the Week.

QUARTERBACK

Alex Smith ($5,700 DK – $7,400 FD)

This game is on the road for Washington so you better believe Drew Brees and the Saints will be marching on Monday. New Orleans is the second worst in opposing QB completion percentage at 74.6% and gives up 311 yards through the air each game. The Saints give up a league low 3.2 yards per carry so if they stop Adrian Peterson early and put up points, Alex Smith will have to throw a lot against one of the NFL’s softest secondaries.

Blake Bortles ($5,500 DK – $7,000 FD)

No Leonard Fournette and playing on the road against the high-powered offense of the Chiefs – even with a great defense, Blake Bortles will be forced to throw the rock. Kansas City gives up the most yards per carry which means Yeldon should be able to take some pressure off of Bortles. The Chiefs also give up the second most yards passing so all signs point to Blake Bortles having one of his best games of the year. Maybe.

RUNNING BACK

T.J. Yeldon ($6,500 DK – $6,500 FD)

Like I just pointed out, Leonard Fournette will miss at least this game and possibly week 6 so Yeldon will be the dude. He has averaged 15.75 touches a game, and that is even with Fournette averaging 12 touches in the two games he’s played this season. The good thing about Yeldon is that he is utilized in the passing game so even if KC is taking it to the Jags he will still see some targets.

Matt Breida ($5,700 DK – $6,200 FD)

Last game was the first time Breida saw more than 50% of the snaps and a majority of the carries (even though it was only 9). I think everyone expected him to eclipse Alfred Morris at some point this season and we are just starting to see that happen. He has the highest touch percentage on the team, and as his role grows his 12.75 touches a game could inch towards 20. Also, the Cardinals give up the second most yards rushing a game at 4 yards a pop.

Ty Montgomery ($3,800 DK – $5,500 FD)

Randall Cobb is nursing a hamstring for the second straight week, Geronimo Allison remains in concussion protocol, and most recently Davante Adams missed practice Thursday with a calf injury. Ty-Mo could see a significant role in the receiving game which is a big deal for a guy who hasn’t seen 39% of snaps in a game this year. If Cobb and Allison miss, Montgomery is probably the biggest beneficiary being able to line up at RB and in the slot.

Mark Walton ($3,400 DK – $4,700 FD)

If, and this is a big IF, Joe Mixon isn’t ready to take a full work load on Sunday, then Mark Walton will have to step in with Giovani Bernard most likely out. I wouldn’t bank on it, but it’s something to keep an eye on.

WIDE RECEIVER

Amari Cooper ($5,500 DK – $6,500 FD)

Cooper, and the rest of this Raiders team for that matter, seems to have a very big boom or bust potential heading into each game. He either sees 5 or less targets – or – 10 or more. He has a somewhat favorable match up against the Chargers who have given up 2.5 touchdowns and over 275 yards through the air each game. The key is rolling the dice on the right game.

Quincy Enunwa ($5,200 DK – $6,100 FD)

Quincy has seen roughly 30% of the workload in the passing game for the Jets this season. Some people might not be as excited with him seeing his targets go from 10.5 per game through weeks 1 & 2 to 8 per game in weeks 3 & 4, but I am excited, and let me tell you why. Each week Quincy has seen a higher snap percentage than the last, and last week he was at 94.6%. He has a game coming up with 15+ targets and I can smell it.

Taywan Taylor ($4,000 DK – $5,000 FD)

Each week Taywan has earned more snaps and targets, and I expect to see that trend continue this year with no Delanie Walker or Rishard Matthews. Last week he saw 9 targets on 63.4% of the snaps and should have a favorable match up against the Bills this weekend.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling ($3,300 DK – $4,800 FD)

This all hinges on the availability of the 3 guys ahead of him; Adams, Cobb, and Allison. Even last week as the no. 3 wideout Marquez saw 54 snaps, but only had 1 reception on 3 targets. It’s a risk, but won’t take much to pay off.

TIGHT END

Jimmy Graham ($4,700 DK – $6,100 FD)

With a potentially depleted receiving core Jimmy Graham might finally see 10 targets in a game. The promising thing is that he hasn’t seen less than 4, and between Allison and Cobb there are about 15 targets up for grabs on this Packers team.

Vance McDonald ($3,700 DK – $4,600 FD)

At this point everyone is probably familiar with Vance McDonald and what he can do on the field when healthy. Each week that he’s been back he has taken some more time away from Jesse James and finally saw a majority of the snaps last week. Vance has only seen 5 targets each game which makes sense because AB and JuJu are always going to get the first look. With Le’Veon coming back soon this might be the perfect time to strike while Vance could potentially see his highest snap count of the season.

 

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Mark Lee

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Detroit sports fan, also sufferer of seasonal depression. Avid golfer and former college baseball player. Would've been in the league if it weren't for my lack of ability. Accountant by day, fantasy golf guru by night.

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