Week 4 NFL DFS Sleepers

QUARTERBACK

Philip Rivers ($6,500 DK – $7,800 FD)

The 49ers without Jimmy G are in for a long season but their run defense has actually been pretty solid so far. No single rusher has more than 44 yards this year against San Fran and opposing teams are averaging 3.7 yards a carry. The Chargers should win this one with ease but they might be forced to do it through the air.

Andy Dalton ($5,400 DK – $7,400 FD)

Mixon has been seen on the practice field and A.J. Green looks like he’ll be able to play this weekend but even without one of the above Dalton has some weapons to work with. Atlanta’s defense has been poor this year ranking in the bottom half of almost every conceivable statistical category, not too mention being shorthanded due to injuries. Kansas City and whoever they play each week will have the highest over under by default, but this game is second at 52.

RUNNING BACK

Giovani Bernard ($6,300 DK – $6,400 FD)

If there is no Mixon, Giovani will get lead duties again and look for him to see 9 targets and 12 carries or more (which is what he got last week). I like the Cincinnati stack this week but guessing the right guys to pair with Dalton might be tricky.

Matt Breida ($5,800 DK – $6,400 FD)

The 9ers are going to be playing from behind, a lot, from here on out so Breida should see his snap count percentage increase from 42%. Even with that, he still has managed to get double-digit carries each game. C.J. Beathard also loves throwing to RB’s so that should result in a bump in Breida’s targets.

James White ($5,400 DK – $6,100 FD)

Rex Burkhead is now on the IR which means more snaps for Sony Michel and James White. Michel is definitely the biggest beneficiary with no Burkhead because he is going to be the one that sees the uptick in carries. The problem here is that Miami only lets up 3.3 yards per carry so White will more than likely be the New England back that has a big day.

Phillip Lindsay ($4,500 DK – $6,400 FD)

KC’s defense has been a dumpster fire but thankfully their offense has been more than enough to keep them ahead in games. Lindsay was ejected last game for throwing what looked like a punch during a scrum for a loose ball. It was announced early Thursday that he wouldn’t face any further suspension so he should be good to go. He has been the surprise breakout from that Denver backfield this year and should continue to see the heavy workload until he loses the job. I could see them throwing to Devontae Booker a ton if this game gets out of hand but I might just be paranoid.

WIDE RECEIVER

Demaryius Thomas ($5,500 DK – $6,700 FD)

This is supposed to be the highest scoring game on the slate so the Broncos should see a healthy amount of red zone looks against the Chiefs swiss cheese defense. Demaryius, along with the tight ends, see the bulk of red zone targets so if there’s going to be a game where he gets multiple TD’s… this might be it.

Tyler Boyd ($4,600 DK – $5,800 FD)

If A.J. Green misses this one or has to leave the game early Boyd will be thrust into the number 1 WR role, I’m not entirely sure if that’s a good thing but it shouldn’t hurt his target share. He’s got 15 catches on the year and averages 11.86 yards per target. Boyd has big play potential especially against this weak Falcon defense.

Taylor Gabriel ($3,900 DK – $5,000 FD)

If the Buc’s offense keeps rolling even with the pressure from this Bear’s D-line then that will force Trubisky to move the ball. Gabriel is slowly becoming one of his favorite targets, especially in the red zone. The yards per target is a concern but the volume is definitely there for the upside at this price.

TIGHT END

Trey Burton ($3,900 DK – $5,600 FD)

Same reasoning for Gabriel as Burton here. The Buc’s passing defense has been terrible so that should inflate the stats of this entire offense. Burton hasn’t been the player that a lot of people predicted he’d be this year but this offense isn’t exactly the Eagles of last year. Most of Trubisky’s targets this year are new to this team so maybe with time they will continue to improve.

Eric Ebron ($3,600 DK – $5,500 FD)

With no Jack Doyle last week Ebron saw more targets than any other tight end. I wouldn’t expect to see that again but if Doyle misses more time like he is supposed to then Ebron is a viable look at this price. Last week he was disappointing with that amount of targets but the volume and red zone targets (2 per game) are a very good sign.

Tyler Eifert ($3,800 DK – $4,600 FD)

Eifert has seen a larger snap percentage each week as well as target share. This shows that they like the way he has progressed through his injuries and trust him to see more action. His red zone targets haven’t been what they once were but that could change if A.J. Green stops scoring.

 

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Mark Lee

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Detroit sports fan, also sufferer of seasonal depression. Avid golfer and former college baseball player. Would've been in the league if it weren't for my lack of ability. Accountant by day, fantasy golf guru by night.

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