Minor League Report: Week 11

We are starting to enter prospect list time, as different outlets start releasing their lists players are about to have huge value changes.

Sure Kevin Maitan was a top-100 prospect preseason, but little news gets out unless you’re scouring the minor league stuff, like I assume many of you do, and Maitan, and guys like him, are in for a huge downgrade.

Then there are guys like the first man up on this list Jo Adell. Yes, Adell was widely considered a top-75 at-minimum, prospect preseason but that might be a universal top-30 in a month.

For guys like Maitan, this might be the last chance to sell for a while, and for guys like Adell your last chance to buy.

Jo Adell

.318/.373/.617, 14 HR, BB% 7.3, K% 25.5, 11 SB

Adell is on the fast track to being a top-10 type prospect by this time next year.

The power, the speed, the hit too. They have all been there.

I doubt Adell does fast track in the majors next season similarly to Juan Soto, but 2020 looks like a strong possibility.

I’d pay the top-20 prospect price now before the major prospect lists start coming out.

Nick Senzel

.302/.372/.478, 4 HR, BB% 10, K% 21.1, 8 SB

One of a handful of “stash” rookies at draft time, shallow league owners might have lost patience with his vertigo and stalled timeline.

The Reds infield is pretty full at the moment and there is no reason to promote Senzel anytime soon.

Senzel doesn’t profile as a big power hitter, but his hit tool is great and with how baseball is now a power boost is expected.

His timeline might have been slowed, but there is no reason to worry about Senzel. He is still a top-25 prospect.

Ryan Noda

.2533/.447/.455, 8 HR, BB% 23.6, K% 23.2, 8 SB

Noda is mainly known for his power, although he showed an impressive ability to hit in his debut last year.

He won the Appalachian League MVP last season with 7 homers and a .364/.507/.575 line.

It came with just a 21% strikeout rate, which for someone with an underwhelming hit tool is nice to see.

All that being said he was a college bat playing rookie level ball. Playing at A this year the average has tumbled until his recent hot streak. Over his last 15 games, he has a hit in 14 of them with a .382/.455/.855 line. He also has all eight of his 2018 homers in the last 15 games.

Noda is probably not even worth a look in super deep leagues at the moment. The hot streak, or something close to it, would have to continue into July before it was worth anything to me.

Kevin Kramer

.272/.333/.477, 10 HR, BB% 7.3, K% 26.4, 5 SB

One of the Kevin’s that the Pirates could be looking to up the middle in the near future. Kramer has the better power of the Pirates middle infield prospects.

Coming into the year he seemed like a 15 homer guy that might pop 20 in a high-end year, but through 62 games this year he already has 10 and I think that 20 might become a reasonable expectation when he jumps to the MLB balls.

Kramer could be up soon. Jordy Mercer is far from a roadblock at short and Kramer is 24, so keeping him down to delay the clock isn’t as important as it might be for someone doing what he is doing that is 21.

Nolan Jones

.276/.395/.442, 8 HR, BB% 16.4, K% 26.9, 0 SB

Jones was one of the eye-opening singings of the 2016 draft. Jones signed for $2,250,000 in a slot valued at $1,159,200. That is enough to know that Jones had high expectations.

He had a disappointing debut where he struck out in nearly 37% of his plate appearances, but followed it up with a strong 2017 and is building on it in 2018.

Since May 26 Jones is slashing .356/.440/.630 with five homers.

Jones has the pop and the hit tool to make 25 homers with a .280 average a real possibility. The key will be keeping the strikeout levels to his 2017-2018, and not 2016.

Adrian Morejon

57 2/3 IP, 4.21 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, K% 27.2, BB% 8.3

One of the many exciting players in the Padres’ system. Morejon has a low to mid 90s fastball from the left side and a plus curveball and changeup to go with it.

At 19, Morejon has exciting strikeout upside and is showing it to this point.

There are some concerns with his mechanics that they could lead to injury in the future so that could be an added red flag, but there is always that red flag with a pitcher.

Zac Lowther

46 1/3 IP, 0.97 ERA, 0.80 WHIP, K% 39.7, BB% 7.5%

The soft-tossing lefty is still making things work with his sub-1 era.

Since getting called up to high-A he has thrown 15 1/3 innings over three starts with a 0.59 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, and 15 strikeouts.

Lowther is far away from a debut, even if he is 22, but he is looking like he could be one of the Orioles better pitching prospects.

The biggest concern with Lowther now might be the system he is in. The Orioles have time and again shown an inability to develop pitching.

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I am a lifelong Pittsburgh sports fan and a graduate from Penn State. Baseball was my first love and I still play to this day in an adult baseball league. I always love helping people with their questions on Twitter so feel free to follow me and ask questions.