Howdy boys and girls! After a lovely week at the Players, we move to a weak field even at the AT&T Byron Nelson. There are a couple of big names in the field like Jordan Spieth, Hideki Matsuyama, Sergio Garcia and Adam Scott, but for the most part the golfers playing are poor to middling. On top of that, the boys are playing a golf course that they have never played before as the Byron Nelson has moved to Trinity Forest for the first time. The course is a par 71 measuring close to 7,400 yards. It is a links style course, with no trees and no water and the balls will have a lot of roll. There is no course history to speak of, and it is hard to know which stats are most important. This is a bit of a form and feel week for me. Let’s see how we do.
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Jordan Spieth ($11,900 DraftKings/$12,900 FanDuel) – If it wasn’t for a forgettable Thursday performance and a quadruple bogey on the last hole of the tournament, Spieth’s performance at the Players last week would have looked much better. Prior to that he had 4 top 10 finishes in his last 5 starts and is clearly the class of the field. On top of that, Spieth is a member at Trinity Forest and should know how to navigate its terrain. Spieth will be headlining many of my cash and GPP lineups.
Jimmy Walker ($9,500 DraftKings/$11,300 FanDuel) – After a tough bout with lyme disease over the last year and a half, Jimmy Walker finally looks like he is back to top notch form. In his last three starts he has finished 20th, 4th and runner-up last week at the Players. On top of the great form, Jimmy Walker is a Texas guy. I think this will be another good week for Jimmy.
Upper Middle Class
Adam Scott ($9,200 DraftKings/$11,800 FanDuel) – Scott is sometimes the most maddening player in all of golf as he strikes the ball beautifully, but since the ban on anchor putting, he has not been able to putt. Well — as of two weeks ago, Scott is back to using a long putter but is just not anchoring it to his body. The results have started to pay off as he gained strokes putting last week for the first time in forever. Scott usually plays well in Texas as he has a couple of wins in the state. I think he will contend this week.
Marc Leishman ($9,100 DraftKings/$11,200 FanDuel) – I love this price for Leishman in a field this weak. You can sometimes find Leishman at this price in strong field events. The big Aussie has actually been in decent form as he has two top 10s in his last 4 starts. And he always plays well on links courses as is evidenced by his 3 top 10 finishes in his last 4 British Open starts. I like Leishman to challenge for the title this week.
Peter Uihlein ($8,500 DraftKings/$8,800 FanDuel) – Uihlein is priced right on FanDuel where he is priced like a lower tiered player, but I will even have plenty of shares on DraftKings as well. While Uihlein is American, he is a European Tour veteran and has plenty of experience on links style courses. He actually has done well on the links, including an impressive runner up finish at the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship a couple of years back. I am hoping to get Uihlein at low ownership and I think he will dazzle in GPPs.
Ryan Palmer ($7,800 DraftKings/$10,500 FanDuel) – Ryan Palmer is always in play in Texas. How is that for analysis? On top of loving Texas courses, I like how Palmer played at the Players last week. The big Texan was a great scorer with 21 birdies as he finished tied for 23rd. I think Palmer will be in the mix this week and he is priced right, especially on DraftKings.
Bang for your Buck
Bill Haas ($7,500 DraftKings/$9,800 FanDuel) – I know he has had a rough year, but it is hard to believe that in a field this weak that Haas is priced at only $7,500. This is a course where the big hitters may not have as big an advantage. Haas is a world class player and should start seeing results soon. Why not here where there are so few good players in the field?
Kevin Na ($7,200 DraftKings/$9,000 FanDuel) – Here is another guy that is way underpriced on the two major DFS sites. Bet365 lists Na as tied for the 15th favorite in the field and yet DraftKings prices him the same as guys like Conrad Shindler, Tyler Duncan and Cameron Percy. Na has had some decent success on links courses, including making the cut at the British Open in his last 4 appearances. This is a nice play for both cash games and GPPs.
Hunter Mahan ($6,900 DraftKings/$8,100 FanDuel) – It has been a baffling fall from grace for Mahan who was once a top 10 player but is now ranked 601st in the world. Mahan’s form has actually been a bit better recently as he has made his last 3 cuts. Mahan is a Texas guy and is actually a member here at Trinity Forest. He is a good GPP dart throw.
Will Zalatoris ($6,800 DraftKings/$7,500 FanDuel) – Zalatoris is a talented guy and is priced right this tournament. In addition, Zalatoris’ coach, Cameron McCormick uses Trinity Forest as his home course, so presumably Zalatoris is familiar with these grounds. For these very bottom basement prices, you could do worse than Zalatoris for a GPP flyer.
Good luck to all of you this week!
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