Minor League Report: One Month Down

It is May already… how time flies. We are hitting that point in the year where we should have an idea about what our dynasty teams are. Hopefully you are doing well, but if you aren’t the second best thing is to be so bad early on that you know it’s time for next year.

Bad luck losses, or a slow start, in a head to head league can be devastating. If you are 0-4 or 1-3 depending on your playoff format it might be too hard to come back from, even if your team is good. Maybe you don’t sell now and you hope the next 2-3 weeks go in your favor and you can claw back to .500. Just don’t hold on too long and be stuck with players you can’t keep in the future, or lose out on what could be higher trade value now as opposed to later when there are more teams packing it in.

Austin Gomber
25 2/3 IP, 2.45 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, K% 26.2, BB% 8.7

Gomber has been putting up great numbers since being drafted. Now in AAA, in the PCL no less, it should be something that catches your attention. He is not a strikeout monster so don’t expect a strikeout or more per inning. He is probably more like eight per nine. His best pitch is his curveball which is plus and a fastball that sits in the low 90s.

I don’t think there is a ton of upside here and it doesn’t help that he isn’t really close to being in the rotation. The Cardinals rotation is already crowded with Flaherty needing a spot. Alex Reyes should be back at sometime this year and he will be vying for a spot. Gomber doesn’t have near the upside of either of those arms. Gomber is worth an add in leagues with 200 or fewer prospects owned. You can probably talk me into 150 or fewer because of the proximity to the majors.

Peter Alonso
.403/.500/.778, 6 2B, 7 HR, K% 17.0, BB% 15.9, 0 SB

The power hitting first baseman that is a fielding liability is quickly becoming a thing of the past, and that could hurt Alonso. The big time raw power is no joke. Alonso is all of the 6’3” 245 he is listed at. The problem with Alonso is he likely fits in best with an AL team that can utilize him as a DH. It also doesn’t help that the Mets have Dominic Smith ahead of him.

If Alonso gets a shot he could be Dan Vogelbach with some more power. That doesn’t scream excitement, but I also think Vogelbach is better than his brief MLB numbers have shown. If he gets regular at bats I think Alonso could be a 30 homer bat with potential for an average around .290.

Gavin Lux
.310/.330/.484, 8 2B, 1 HR, BB% 14.4, K% 16.3, 3 SB

I have been a Lux downer ever since he was drafted. A first round pick should garner some attention, and I get that, but I think his fantasy ceiling is very limited. The hit tool is fine, but just fine – he isn’t going to hit for a batting title or anything like that. There is very little power and not a whole lot of speed. Lux is a prime trade candidate in the upcoming months when you want to make a move. Hopefully his numbers are still high enough that you can turn him into something.

Taylor Trammell
.286/.394/.512, 4 2B, 3 HR, BB% 15.2, K% 17.2, 2 SB

Trammell is the speedster that we hope is really as good of a hitter as he has been in the lower minors. The speed isn’t as good as Billy Hamilton, but the bat isn’t close to as bad. Trammell does strike out, but not enough that anyone should panic about it. It is just a little more than you’d like to see from someone without 25 plus homer power.

He should routinely be a 30 steal guy, assuming he plays regularly and the hit tool stays relatively close to what it is now. I wouldn’t be surprised if the power was able to turn into 20 homers, but even 15 and 30 is enough to be excited about. Heck, look how some people treated Delino DeShields this offseason. Trammell is an easy top-100 prospect to me and it might be a last chance type opportunity before the hype train gets out of control mid-season.

Roman Quinn
.318/.384/.439, 1 2B, 1 HR, BB% 9.6, K% 17.8, 9 SB

The story with Quinn has always been about the health. It feels like it has been a few years now where we got the “maybe he gets called up this year and is a great steals source” type talk. Even with the constant injuries Quinn has been able to put up 178 steals in 418 minor league games. He also had five steals in 15 major league games last season.

He might be more Jarrod Dyson than Ben Revere. I mean that in the sense of he is a fourth outfielder that fantasy owners always want to be more rather than a starting caliber player. Quinn should be owned in deeper leagues where steals are a category. I don’t think I would bother in a points format.

Dane Dunning
31 1/3 IP, 2.97 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, K% 28.5, BB% 4.1

I never really liked Dunning as much as most, or at least it felt that way. Dunning was one of those early season promotions that probably should have just started the season at the level he was promoted to. Entering his age 23 season you would really want to have your prospect not starting the season at high-A, especially a pitching prospect. He is a trade chip type prospect to me. I can’t get overly excited about a player that is going to make the majors at age 24 or 25 and didn’t have an injury stall his timetable.

Justus Sheffield
22 IP, 2.86 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, K% 33.3, BB% 12.2

He has at least two plus pitches already and might have a third with his changeup. With Yankee Stadium being his future home it helps to be a lefty so maybe he negates some of that lefty power.

For his size it is nice to see him hit mid to upper 90s, but at the same time that creates some durability concern. Sheffield won’t be up anytime soon and might not be up next year because the Yankees have a handful of minor league arms that are closer to the majors than him. With that being said, Sheffield is a must own in any league that considers itself a dynasty league.

Matt Manning
7 2/3 IP, 4.70 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, K% 48.4, BB% 24.2

Manning is putting up some pretty crazy strikeout numbers so far this season, picking up right where he left off last year. It feels like Alex Faedo gets all the hype in terms of Tigers pitching prospects, but I would take Manning at this point.

He already has two plus pitches and has a changeup that is average with potential for more. As a 20-year-old I wouldn’t be surprised if he added a new pitch at some point to make him even more exciting. I think you can still get Manning for relatively cheap. The hype train hasn’t gotten out of control yet.

 

Visit fantasy rundown for additional fantasy articles and prospect rankings.

Andy Germani

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I am a lifelong Pittsburgh sports fan and a graduate from Penn State. Baseball was my first love and I still play to this day in an adult baseball league. I always love helping people with their questions on Twitter so feel free to follow me and ask questions.

2 thoughts on “Minor League Report: One Month Down”

  1. Alonso comps to Vogelbach, and then the possible numbers of 30 and .290. If Alonso is 30 and .290 he would be elite top 10 bat. Ill take it

  2. Trammell is EASILY a top 25 prospect! He iscutting down on his strike outs, increasing his walks, and is growing into his power. The speed is already there. To me, he could be George Springer with a bit less power and far more stolen bases.

    What’s not to love other than the fact Cincy will most likely move him along slowly.

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