Ladies and Gentlemen, boys and girls… Welcome back to your favorite golf column. The week after Masters week is always a bit of a letdown, but the show must go on. And, truth be told, the show goes on at a wonderful event, the RBC Heritage Classic in Hilton Head, South Carolina on a beautiful Pete Dye designed golf course. The course is a 7,100 yard par 71 course and accuracy is key. My key stats of the week are driving accuracy, proximity, strokes gained around the green and (as always) strokes gained total. Let’s see what we came up with.
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Matt Kuchar ($10,800 DraftKings/$11,800 FanDuel) – A course that requires accuracy? Sounds like it might be right up Kooooch’s alley, right? Well, this tournament has certainly been kind to Kuchar as he has finished 11th, 9th, 5th and 1st at this event in his last four appearances. It is easy to see why Kuchar plays well here as he ranks a rock solid 26th on Tour in proximity. I will be firing up many shares of Kuchar this week.
Brian Harman ($9,800 DraftKings/$10,600 FanDuel) – Harman is another accuracy guy who should play well at Hilton Head. On the season, the lefty ranks 10th on Tour in driving accuracy, 35th in proximity and 12th in strokes gained total. Harman owns two top 10s in his last four appearances at the RBC Heritage. I think he has another top 10 finish in him this week.
Upper Middle Class
Emiliano Grillo ($8,600 DraftKings/$9,600 FanDuel) – After having a rough season in 2017, the talented Argentine is now one of the best players on Tour again this year. In fact, in his last 5 events, Grillo has finished in the top 10 3 times, including a third place finish just two weeks ago. While Grillo has never played at Hilton Head, this seems to be a course that sets up nicely for him as Grillo ranks 18th on Tour in driving accuracy, 43rd in proximity and 19th in strokes gained total. I am going to go out on a limb and predict a victory for Grillo this week. Put it in the bank!
Ryan Moore ($8,500 DraftKings/$10,100 FanDuel) – Moore has not played this tournament in many years, but he has been playing well recently, with two top 10s among his last 5 starts. In addition, Moore profiles as a player who should do well here as he ranks 21st in driving accuracy, 15th in strokes gained around the green and 40th in strokes gained total. I think a solid finish is in order here for Moore.
Russell Knox ($7,800 DraftKings/$9,000 FanDuel) – Knox has played this tournament 4 times and owns 4 top 20 finishes at the RBC Heritage. In looking at the numbers, it is no surprise to me that Foxy Knoxy has done well on this track as he ranks 46th in driving accuracy, 29th in proximity and 27th in strokes gained around the green. Knox’s form has been up and down this year, but he does own two top 20 finishes among his last 5 starts. I think he squeezes into the top 10 at this event.
Zach Johnson ($7,900 DraftKings/$10,300 FanDuel) – Here is another guy that comes to mind when one thinks of an accurate player off the tee who finds a lot of greens in regulation. ZJ actually ranks 5th on Tour in proximity and 26th in strokes gained total. He does not own as much success as I would have thought at Hilton Head, but he does have two top 10 finishes among his last ten starts here. I think Zach Johnson will be near the top of the leaderboard come Sunday afternoon.
Bang for your Buck
Ollie Schniederjans ($7,400 DraftKings/$9,200 FanDuel) – In a field that is lacking a bit in talent, it is somewhat surprising to see Ollie Schniederjans priced as low as he is. It is true that the hatless wonder has not played up to his capabilities recently, but he is still one of the most talented players on Tour. On top of that, Ollie played the RBC for the first time last year and finished in 3rd place. His stats line up well too as Ollie ranks 21st on Tour in strokes gained around the green and 40th in strokes gained total. I play Ollie every week, but I am really excited to play him this week.
Kevin Streelman ($7,300 DraftKings/$8,500 FanDuel) – There is only one guy in the entire field that ranks in the top 50 on Tour in all 4 stat categories that I am weighting this week, and that guy is Streelman. The 39 year-old Illinois native is 14th on Tour in driving accuracy, 35th in proximity, 47th in strokes gained around the green and 50th in strokes gained total. Streelman has had some success on this course before with a 3rd place finish in 2013. I like for him to shine again this week.
Ryan Armour ($7,200 DraftKings/$8,000 FanDuel) – I always seem to play Armour, even though he is not the flashiest guy on Tour. After a great start to the year, Armour has slowed down a bit, but this looks like a course that will suit him just fine. The 42 year-old ranks 3rd on Tour in driving accuracy and 20th in proximity. Armour has not played this tournament since 2008, but I think he will be happy with the results of his return trip.
Brian Stuard ($6,900 DraftKings/$7,700 FanDuel) – Last but not least, I give you a tournament dart throw. Stuard ranks in the top 10 on Tour in both driving accuracy and proximity which are probably my favorite two indicators for success at Hilton Head. Stuard has made the cut at this event three straight times including a 5th place finish back in 2014. For this bargain basement price at anticipated ownership under 1% Stuard is worth a shot in big tournaments.
Good luck to all of you this week!
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