Welcome to the last day of February. I’m really confused how it’s already March. But, here we are. It won’t be long before we’ll be juggling MLB and NBA at the same time. But for now, we have NBA and things have been going really well, so let’s keep the momentum going. We have reached the time of year where you really have to pay attention to the news. Teams are tanking, players are tired and getting rested more often, and weird lineup changes start taking place. I typically write up these plays the night before and a lot can change. Therefore, feel free to reach out on Twitter if you have any last minute questions.
PG: Chris Paul – Houston Rockets
Paul is priced down to $8,300 for his second visit to LA to face the Clippers. You may remember that last game ended with Paul leading the Rockets through the super secret tunnel to the Clippers locker room. This game has blowout potential, but I think there is a chance that it stays rather close. The Clippers really want to beat Paul. With that said, he has a solid floor and his ceiling is astronomical at this price. He hasn’t been this cheap since December 11. It’s just a gut feeling, but I won’t be surprised to see Paul top 60 DK points in this game.
PG/SG: Austin Rivers – Los Angeles Clippers
Rivers helped spark the near back alley brawl in the earlier meeting against the Rockets, albeit from the bench in street clothes. This is his first crack at playing against Paul since the trade. While Rivers is one of my least favorite NBA players, he has massive DFS games from time to time. In this spot, with a ton of extra motivation and his dad giving him as many minutes as he can handle, he will have plenty of opportunity to have that big game. He should play 35+ minutes and will only cost you $5,700.
SF/PF: Otto Porter – Washington Wizards
Porter and the Wizards are on a roll right now. Porter has scored 30 or more DK points 12 of his last 13 games and has averaged 36 DK points per game over that span. If we do the math with his current salary, he has averaged 5.37x during those games. Porter should be in line for big minutes in this game against the Warriors. He had a monster game against them earlier this season, scoring 53.5 fantasy points in just under 34 minutes. While we can’t necessarily expect that again, 6-7X value is reasonable.
PF/C: Joffrey Lauvergne – San Antonio Spurs
Hopefully you remember the last time King Joffrey filled in for Pau Gasol. He scored over 45 DK points in 24 minutes. It looks like Gasol will be out, so I’ll have interest in him against the Pelicans. The Pelicans have let Anthony Davis stay at the power forward spot while signing Emeka Okafor from who knows where, and letting him start at the center spot. Therefore, we should see a handful of minutes available to Lauvergne at just $3,400. Even if he doesn’t play more than 18-20 minutes, I still think we could see something like a 8-7-2-1 line, which would be over 6x.
C: Andre Drummond – Detroit Pistons
There has been money to be made all season targeting the Bucks with opposing centers. You’ve heard me talk about this matchup here a number of times. Drummond has been one of those guys who has destroyed the Bucks this season. In his last game against them, he scored 62 DK points in 37 minutes. The two games prior against them, his lines don’t jump out at you, as he scored 41.75 and 49 DK points. When you see that he played less than 30 minutes in both of those, it starts to look better. On the season, he’s averaged 1.62 DK points per game against them. His minutes have been down a little lately, but four of the last five games he’s played in have been decided by 10 points or more. I think this one stays close and we see 35+ minutes Andre Drummond. If we do the math with his FP/min, he should score around 57 DK points, which would put him at 6x value.
That’s it for today. Be sure to follow me on Twitter at @mrclutchdfs so you can stay up to date on any changes to my plays based on late information.
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