The season is already flying by. Before we know it, the first half of the season will be gone. Our chances to profit during the NFL season are limited, so we have to make the most of them. I really feel good about how this slate is setting up, as I think there is a path to a safe lineup with plenty of upside. Let’s get to it.
RB: Jay Ajayi – Dolphins
Ajayi is the play I’m locking in to my lineups on FanDuel. He’s a true workhorse running back and he has an excellent matchup. Ajayi has his offensive line back in place after it was decimated the latter half of last season, and it showed in Week 2. He may realistically get 30 carries in this game and soak up a couple of targets as well. He should surpass 100 yards in the third quarter and has three touchdown upside. I shouldn’t have to twist your arm too hard to get you to play Ajayi here.
WR: A.J. Green – Bengals
If Ajayi is 1a for me on this slate, Green is 1b. I’m predicting he finds his way to the end zone for the first time this season in Week 3. The Bengals offense just hasn’t found its bearings yet, but if we do have enough history between Andy Dalton and Green to know what they are capable of. With Tyler Eifert looking closer to doubtful in this game, Green should soak up extra targets up and down the field. The Bengals will likely find themselves behind early in this one, so there will be plenty of passing for the Cincy offense. Green is priced as WR11 on FanDuel and that’s just too low in my opinion. This should be his lowest price of the season.
RB: Mike Gillislee – Patriots
If there’s one thing we know for certain about this offense over the past year is that when they have a lead (more often than not in the games they are big favorites like this one), they will pound the ball between the tackles. That sets up perfectly for Gillislee. In this same matchup last season LeGarrette Blount carried the football 24 times for over 100 yards and two touchdowns. There is an above average chance of Gillislee posting something similar this week. I also think he will be underowned. His touchdown upside will work in our favor on FanDuel where they come at a premium.
TE: Zach Ertz – Eagles
The tight end flow chart Giants defense flows right to Zach Ertz this week. That makes me happy, because he’s one of my favorite fantasy tight ends this season and just as I (and many others) expected, he’s been heavily involved in the passing game through two weeks. Although he hasn’t scored a touchdown yet, he’s totaled 18 targets, which has led to 13 catches for 190 yards. In this matchup, he should catch upwards of eight passes, with a great chance to go over 100 yards. Now then, Ertz has yet to find the end zone through two weeks, but I’m confident that will change on Sunday. Jason Witten went 7-59-1 in Week 1 against this defense, while Eric Ebron turned in a 5-42-1 line. As many targets as Ertz will see, he’s bound to cross the goal line for the first time, with upside for two TDs.
WR: Rashard Higgins – Browns
Higgins is your cheap play of the week. At just $5,100 on FanDuel, he helps you fit in the higher priced plays I’ve recommended. Higgins saw 11 targets in Week 2 and I think he’s a solid bet to see double digits again. Kizer peppered him with targets and he was able to reel in seven of them for 95 yards. Now he has a dream matchup against the Colts, who have been the third most generous defense to opposing fantasy wide receivers. Higgins is an exciting young player and I think this is the lowest his price will be the rest of the season.
QB: Kirk Cousins – Redskins
You’ve probably been wondering why you haven’t seen a QB listed yet, because typically I lead off with my favorite QB. Well, that is because I’m having trouble settling on a guy this week. Right now, I’m strongly leaning towards Cousins. He hasn’t been very good in his first two starts, but this should be a bounce back spot in the highest over/under on the slate and as a three-point underdog. The Raiders have been generous to opposing QB’s, checking in at the sixth worst against the position through two weeks. Keep in mind they played the Jets in one of their two games. If Cousins can’t get right in this spot, he’ll likely be dead to me moving forward.
QB: Matthew Stafford – Lions
If you want safety at the QB position, you can’t really go wrong with Stafford. Last week we saw Stafford manage a perfect game and get out of New York with an easy win. This week, he’ll be relied on much more if they’re going to keep pace with the Falcons. At his price, he has the safety you want for cash games, but also the upside you want for tournaments.
I might be talking myself into him over Cousins, but I just love playing the late night hammer ( the Sunday night game). Again, I’m having trouble deciding what I’m doing at QB this week. Ask me again Sunday morning and I’ll let you know where I ended up!
That’s it for this week. Because of new information and a better gauge of ownerships, I may add updates here through the weekend, so be sure to follow me on Twitter at @mrclutchdfs so you don’t miss any additional recommendations.
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