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Minor League Report: Promotions are coming

We are in that weird part of the season where it feels like we have been doing this for a while, and when someone tells you we are in week eight you can’t believe it has been that long.

The good news is prospects will start getting promoted soon. There are not a ton of “on the cusp of the majors” prospects I am really excited about; you might see that in the redraft radar section. So while this is typically the time to stash a guy on the cheap, there isn’t much out there to stash in terms of season changing players.

Don’t forget about the guys that aren’t near the majors. Many minor leaguers who began the season at the same level they were at last year could be getting promoted if they have proven themselves at that level.

One of my favorite things to do is invest in the guys in class-A or high-A with great numbers before they make the jump to AA. Guys like Triston McKenzie, Cal Quantril and Forrest Whitley could make huge jumps in the near future.

As usual if you have any questions on anything fantasy baseball, feel free to ask about them in the comment section below or on Twitter

All stats are through Sunday May 21 .

Redraft Radar

  • Yoan Moncada 2B/3B – White Sox (AAA) (#1)
  • Jesse Winker OF – Reds (AAA) (#32)
  • Amed Rosario SS – Mets (AAA) (#58)
  • Derek Fisher OF – Astros (AAA) (#19)

Bradley Zimmer graduated from this list and got the call last week. He is worth an add almost everywhere. There are plenty of others than might be closer to these guys, but very few that I care enough about to stash. With Moncada hitting the minor league DL, anything smaller than 15 teams he can probably be dropped with a more delayed timetable. Rosario seems to be the closest to getting the call, but I still think he is a player to flip when he comes up.



Who’s hot

Scott Kingery 2B – Phillies (AA)

  • 2017: .289/.366/.651, 13 HR, BB: 16 (9.2%), K: 31 (17.9%), 9 SB
  • May 7-21: .288./.354/.712, 7 HR, BB: 5 (7.7%), K: 8 (12.3%), 4 SB

I love what Kingery is doing this year with the power after showing 30 steal speed last year. But I don’t believe in the power at all.

Kingery is an interesting prospect for his ability to steal some bases, and I think he can hit enough homers to keep him interesting – do not buy into the 20-25 homer power he is going to show this year.

Kingery has 13 homers in 173 plate appearances this year. He had eight in 197 games in his first two seasons. I would credit this power output to the hitting friendly environment in Reading.

Sell him if you own him, and add him if he is available. If you don’t have prospect crazy people who you can sell him based on numbers alone he could help get you a better return in a couple of months.

Fernando Tatis Jr. SS – Padres (A)

  • 2017: .285/.367/.481, 6 HR, BB: 18 (10%), K: 54 (30%), 9 SB
  • May 7-21: .392/.475/.784, 4 HR, BB: 6 (10.2%), K: 18 (30.1%), 3 SB

Sunday ended his 15 game hitting streak, but he still has reached base in 17 straight games.

At his age Tatis Jr. is all upside. The belief is that he will be able to have above average power and his hit tool will be good enough. He can run a little bit, but I wouldn’t expect 20 steal potential.

It is going to be a long ride if you own him, and it could be four years before you get anything from him. The high upside, far away guys, are constantly dealt in fantasy trade deadlines. Winning teams don’t want them and rebuilding teams always want upside.

He is playing shortstop now, but I assume he will be playing third base by the time he makes it to the majors.

Keith Law is the highest prospect guy, that I know of, on Tatis Jr. ranking him at 47 this offseason.

Willie Calhoun 2B/? – Dodgers (AAA)

  • 2017: .310/.359/.570, 9 HR, BB: 11 (7.2%), K: 17 (11.1%), 3 SB
  • May 7-21: .308/.400/.718, 5 HR, BB: 6 (13.3%), K: 4 (8.9%), 0 SB

I think this is my first double up of the season, writing about someone in this series more than once.

In his first 18 games he didn’t homer, but in his last 20 he has nine and is slugging .704. I loved Calhoun in the preseason, and not a lot has changed. He still has no obvious position. The bat is so good that some team will stick him somewhere where he will bee good enough to play everyday.

I still think you can get Calhoun extremely cheap in a trade. Very few are as high on him as I am. Many do not even have him as a top-100 guy so you might even be able to pick him up off the wire.

Colton Welker 3B – Rockies (A)

  • 2017: .353/.392/.537, 4 HR, BB: 8 (5.4%), K: 19 (12.8%), 4 SB
  • May 7-21: .422/.426/.733, 2 HR, BB: 1 (2.1%), K: 4 (8.5%), 0 SB

Welker was a fourth round pick out of high school last year and played well in his first season, hitting .329 with five homers.

The scouting report on Welker is an average hit tool and average power with very little speed. He will probably outplay the average tools he has while traveling through the hitter friendly Colorado system, and if he manages to make it to Coors Field, will outperform his tools there too.

Overall Welker is more of a “keep an eye on him” player – don’t believe the numbers. He, like many Rockies hitters, will have trade value for numbers scouts.

Walker Buehler P – Dodgers (AA)

  • 2017: 24 IP, 1.50 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, K: 39 (41.1%), BB: 7 (7.4%)
  • Last three starts: 11 1/3 IP, 2.38 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, K: 20 (40.1%), BB: 4 (8.2%)

Buehler was drafted in 2015, but never pitched for the Dodgers as he underwent Tommy John Surgery. The Dodgers were able to get him at a discount in the back half of the first round with his injury questions.

He has been nothing short of spectacular in his extremely limited minor league sample size, just 29 innings.

Buehler is coming off of a start at AA where he struck out nine batters in 3.2 innings. The notable thing here is that is he is pitching in AA. The start was his second at AA as he earned a promotion after just 16.1 innings at high-A this year and five innings of pitching last year.

Buehler seems to be on the fast track for the majors even after his injury issues. I would expect him to be up at some point next year. Remember guys like Buehler in a few weeks when guys slide in the draft because of injury issues. There will be discount opportunities.

Checking in

Week 6

  • Derek Fisher has three homers and four steals in his last 10 games.
  • Kolby Allard struck out six and walked one and allowed three earned over six innings in his last start.
  • Mitch Keller left his last start after one inning with lower back stiffness.
  • Carter Kieboom is on the 7-day DL.
  • Dustin Fowler has homered in two straight games.

Week 7

  • Brendan Rodgers has hit .333 in his last 10 games dropping his season long average to .356.
  • Raimel Tapia was sent back down to the minors. There might not be a better buying opportunity for the rest of his career.
  • Triston McKenzie struck out six, but walked five in his last start.
  • Ronald Acuna has hit two homers and stolen nine bases in 14 games at AA, but has been caught stealing five times.
  • Dylan Cozens has six homers in his last 10 games, but is still striking out too much.
  • Rhys Hoskins has really cooled off with just seven hits in his last 34 at bats.
  • Jacob Faria bounced back from a sub-par outing with nine strikeouts in 6.1 shutout innings.
  • Austin Riley has gone ice-cold and has more strikeouts (9) than hits (6) in his last 10 games.

 

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Andy Germani
I am a lifelong Pittsburgh sports fan and a graduate from Penn State. Baseball was my first love and I still play to this day in an adult baseball league. I always love helping people with their questions on Twitter so feel free to follow me and ask questions.
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2 comments on “Minor League Report: Promotions are coming

  1. Is there any chance someone gives Calhoun a shot at second? By all indications he is a terrible defender EVERYWHERE.

    • There is always a chance. He hasn’t played anywhere but second in his minor league career, and he is already in AAA. That makes me think that while he is a below average defender there the Dodgers haven’t given up on the idea of him playing second. But all the scouting reports say he will likely move off the position

      He played outfield and third in college, although I don’t really know how much outfield he played. He was drafted as a third baseman.

      I think the bat should be able to play at any position, but if it is at second base that is likely better for fantasy owners. I just wouldn’t bank on it happening.

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