Pitchers to Target
J.C. Ramirez – Ramirez ran into a bump in the road in his last two starts, striking out just six batters in 13 innings while giving up 16 hits and six earned runs. He was exceptional in the previous three starts, striking out 25 batters in 17.2 innings, only giving up three earned runs. A date with the White Sox should help him get back on track.
Chicago has the fifth highest strike out rate to right handers at 23.3%. On top of that, they have the second lowest wOBA and walk fewer times than any other team. Lastly, the White Sox are implied for a slate low 3.3 runs. There’s a very possible range of outcomes that include Ramirez striking out 7+ batters and giving up 0-3 runs in this one.
There are a lot of other pitchers to consider, but I’m having trouble finding anyone I feel good about endorsing. If anything jumps out at me, I’ll come back and post it.
Stacks to Target
Chicago Cubs – It looks like the wind will be blowing out to left in Wrigley and at a high rate of speed. Expect multiple home runs here. Bronson Arroyo has given up the second highest hard hit rate on the slate over the past 15 days, and that’s a recipe for disaster here. He has also given up the second highest fly ball rate. Play lefties, play righties, play anyone with a pulse that’s playing for the Cubs.
Houston Astros – The Astros are smashing right-handers and currently have the fourth highest wOBA against said handed pitching. Tom Koehler has been getting crushed by left-handed batters to the tune of a 0.479 wOBA and a 4.05 HR/9. I’m fine with any of the top of the order righties for the Astros, but will go out of my way to include the lefties like Reddick and McCann in my Astros stacks.
Batters to Target
Matthew Joyce – Joyce has finally shaken off the cobwebs and has starting swinging a heavy stick. He has traditionally crushed right-handed pitching and he gets a great matchup on Tuesday versus Chase De Jong. The rookie has given up a 0.423 wOBA to left-handed batters. On top of that, he strikes out less than 10% of batters. Yonder Alonso is also an excellent play against De Jong.
Joey Gallo – Gallo continues to pound the ball, and if Jerad Eickhoff has a weakness, it’s left-handed batters. He is allowing a 0.361 wOBA and 50% fly ball rate. If Gallo gets ahold of one, it could very likely leave the warm atmosphere in Texas.
Mike Trout – If I’m spending up it will be on Mike Trout. He’s the premier play on the slate in my opinion, and I think he will go deep in this one.
Any more questions? Hit me up on Twitter @mrclutchdfs
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