With the American League Bold Predictions being posted last week, it is time to go to the National League.
As with the American League post the same disclaimer holds true. I am trying to be bold while being reasonable.
The main goal here is to show players, and skills, I like and don’t like. If I project someone for 35 homers and he hits 31 – that really isn’t a loss to me. The prediction of power showed up, and if you picked him up hoping for the 35 homer power I assume you are happy with only 31.
As usual if you have any questions on any players, feel free to ask about them in the comment section below or on Twitter Follow @TheSportsGuy40
Feel free to post your prospect bold predictions in the comment section.
- Jasrado Chisholm goes 25/25 and hits .285.
Why it could happen: He has a nice power speed combination and is in the really low levels of the minors where steals are easy to come by.
Why it won’t: He might strike out too much and I am not sure he can hit 25 homers. Twenty is probably his ceiling.
- Kolby Allard has an ERA under 2.50 while striking out 10 batters per nine and spends a lot of time in AA.
Why it could happen: Allard, at just 18 years old, pitched well in A-ball last year, and could move to AA quickly if he does what I think he can with his three plus pitches and plus control.
Why it won’t: The only thing holding him back is he is still learning and he has had back issues in the past.
- Jose Albertos lights up the rookie league with a 14 K/9 and an ERA under 2.50.
Why it could happen: In his brief, extremely brief, four inning stint last year, Albertos sent the prospect people crazy with a mid to upper 90s fastball and a great changeup.
Why it won’t: They might not let him throw more than 70-80 innings and be extra careful with his arm.
- Jesse Winker comes up and puts up Stephen Piscotty type numbers, .275 with a 22 homer pace, without any fanfare.
Why it could happen: This might not be a really bold call, but I think a lot of people are forgetting about a guy who was, and still is, highly thought of among scouts.
Why it won’t: The power drop that he has had in recent years wasn’t because of the injury, it was a change in approach.
- Raimel Tapia hits .350 with 15 homers and 25 steals between the minors and majors this year.
Why it could happen: Tapia can hit minor league pitching and has proven it year after year. He will either spend a lot of the year against inferior pitching or in one of the most hitter friendly parks in baseball.
Why it won’t: Tapia has solid power, but nothing to get super excited about. For him, 15 homers might be too high.
Los Angeles Dodgers
- People will board the Willie Calhoun bandwagon with me when he hits 30 homers with a .280 average.
Why it could happen: Calhoun had some bad luck last year. A big power output came with a strikeout rate under 12 percent. I don’t expect Calhoun at his size to be a high BABIP player, but I don’t expect .244 either.
Why it won’t: He might not have 30 homer power, even though he hit 27 last year.
- Braxton Garrett has an ERA under two with 11 K/9 while taking over as the top left-handed pitching prospect in the minors.
Why it could happen: I think he has elite stuff and he was one of my favorite arms in the draft.
Why it won’t: He is so far away it is hard to become so highly regarded prospect wise. Hader might not graduate and Groome is still a step ahead right now.
- Corey Ray improves on his injury-shortened 2016 campaign and hits .280 with 15 homers and 30 steals
Why it could happen: He was one of the best all-around prospects in the draft with above average hit, power, and speed tools.
Why it won’t: He struggled a bit with his average and power last season, I would call it more of a short sample slump than something to worry about.
New York Mets
- Thomas Szapucki picks up where he left off last season and strikes out 150 batters while holding an ERA under 2.50.
Why it could happen: He has two really good pitches and is in a system that is pretty well-known for developing pitchers lately.
Why it won’t: There are some concerns about him being a starter long-term, but based on last season I would have to assume the Mets are willing to see where he can go as a starter.
- Roman Quinn steals 30 bases in the majors.
Why it could happen: His speed is no joke.
Why it won’t: He can’t stay healthy.
- Kevin Newman quietly comes up and has one of the better seasons of any rookie, hitting .320 with five homers and five steals.
Why it could happen: Newman has one of the best hit tools in the minors and the Pirates don’t have a ton in his way.
Why it won’t: It is the Pirates and they don’t like to spend money they don’t have to. Odds are he doesn’t get the call this season.
San Diego Padres
- My man crush Michael Gettys hits 20 homers and steals 40 bases with an average above .270.
Why it could happen: Gettys has great power and great speed.
Why it won’t: He strikes out a lot.
San Francisco Giants
- Sandro Fabian hits .330 with 10 homers and 10 steals.
Why it could happen: There is really interesting power speed potential here, and it doesn’t come at the expense of a terrible average or a lot of strikeouts, so far.
Why it won’t: He is so young, and the limited sample he has could just be a fluke.
St. Louis Cardinals
- Delvin Perez hits 10 homers with 40 steals in his first full season in the minors.
Why it could happen: His speed was on display last year in a limited sample and he is expected to be a steals contributor in the future.
Why it won’t: His power didn’t show up. The failed PED test will always have people wondering, until he shows he can do it without them.
- Rafael Bautista steals 70 bases while hitting .290, and gets traded as the “other guy” in a deal at the deadline that includes a better prospect.
Why it could happen: Bautista has shown his speed for a few seasons now but is blocked everywhere in the Nationals system.
Why it won’t: Easily, he just doesn’t get traded. He also might not hit as well against AAA pitching.
Latest posts by Andy Germani (see all)
- Minor League Report: Promotions are coming - May 23, 2017
- Minor League Report: When can we trust 2017 numbers? - May 16, 2017
- Minor League Report: How the new DL rules could change things - May 9, 2017
- Minor League Report: Not the typical May - May 2, 2017
- 2017 NFL Draft - May 1, 2017