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Prospect Values: Outfielders Part 2

As I noted last week, outfield is a deep position. So this week we dig a little further for those that play in deeper leagues. This weeks version of the values will be off the radar players that wont show up on more than one list (if they’re lucky). For the most part these guys will all come very cheaply or off the waiver wire.

If you have any questions on any players feel free to ask about them in the comment section below or on Twitter

If you are looking for the prospect outfielder rankings click here. We will continue to have prospect rankings on Friday’s and my values the following week.

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Greg Allen: Allen’s biggest asset is his speed – 121 steals in 312 minor league games. Sometimes stolen base numbers can be deceiving with average and below average speed players taking advantage of low-level pitchers and catchers, but that isn’t the case with Allen who has great speed.

He has seen a steady increase in his slash line as he has climbed the minor league ladder and had a .295/.416/.413 line last year. One thing might jump out to there. Allen had a higher on base percentage than slugging percentage. You could look at it glass half full or half empty. Sure he doesn’t have a ton of power, maybe 12 homer power in a good year. The glass half full approach? He had a 12.7 percent walk rate.

Allen could be one of the real breakout minor leaguers this year that isn’t going to be on many (any) top-100 lists.




Estevan Florial: A typical young toolsy outfielder that we want to be able to hit enough to become a major league asset.

He has a power speed combination that is interesting enough to ignore the fact that he is striking out nearly 26 percent of the time and hasn’t played 10 games above rookie ball.

If you invest in him now you are hoping the strikeout rate doesn’t rise and stays in the 20s, but I could see it rising as he advances levels. I think he will have more power than speed as he naturally grows and adds more weight – he just turned 19.

If Florial has a big year at the low levels he could be a flip guy in deeper leagues. The average might be able to survive the lower level pitching, but as he climbs the ladder that strikeout rate might become a bigger factor. Either way, he is a low-cost add in any dynasty league.

Heath Quinn: Quinn was a third round pick out of Samford last season and he hit the ground running. Quinn slashed .344/.434/.564 in 60 games, mostly in low-A, with nine homers and a 21 percent strikeout rate. He profiles more as a power hitter than his average last year might indicate. The upside could be 30 homers if everything works out.

The Giants never seem to have the prospects that everyone loves from day one, but then they get to the majors and have success. Boring maybe, but successful nonetheless.

If the average he showed in his limited time in the minors sticks he could fly through the minors and be a really interesting option this time next year.

Daniel Palka: The 2013 draft class seems so far away for some people because of the flock of new players we get each year. Palka was a third round pick in a draft that featured sluggers like Kris Bryant and Hunter Renfroe. He slugged 34 homers last season and 29 in 2015. It isn’t surprising that Palka also strikes out a ton, 32.7 percent last year.

But the power is intriguing enough that the strikeouts are worth the risk. He isn’t going to cost you much. and he might come with the same upside, and downside, as someone like Joey Gallo.

Rafael Bautista: This is a name for the crazies in leagues that go 400 prospects deep; I play in a 600 prospect league so I know your pain and joy there.

Bautista opened some eyes in his years in rookie ball – 47 steals with a .329 average in the Dominical Summer League and .322 with 26 steals in his debut in the US.

In 2014 he had his true breakout in A-Ball with 69 steals and a .290 average. He wasn’t able to improve, or sustain, the breakout in 2015 as he was hurt and only played 66 games. Last season he came back where he left off in his last fully healthy season and hit .282 with 56 steals.

Bautista will be 24 on opening day, should get time in AAA, and be on call if something happens to one of the Nationals outfielders, although Michael Taylor might still be ahead of him in the pecking order.

If it wasn’t assumed by now, there is little to now power here. This is a steals and average source only, a Ben Revere light. With the way baseball is going, big time steals prospects might be taking the spot power prospects have had for years.

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If you have any questions or players at a position I haven’t gotten to yet also leave them in the comment section below and I can do some digging and maybe they will be included when I get to that position.

Previous Prospect Values
Catcher First BaseSecond BaseThird BaseShortstop Outfield pt 1Starting Pitcher

 

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Andy Germani
I am a lifelong Pittsburgh sports fan and a graduate from Penn State. Baseball was my first love and I still play to this day in an adult baseball league. I always love helping people with their questions on Twitter so feel free to follow me and ask questions.

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