2017 Outfield Rankings: Top 75

We wrap up each week of positional coverage with our 2017 rankings. In addition to the rankings we will pose a number of questions to our panel covering topics such as reaches and targets, players to avoid and late round impact players.

Taking part in our rankings will be Kevin Jebens, Jim Finch, Ron Vackar, Josh Coleman, Andy Singleton, Mike Sheehan and Neil Kenworthy. Our seven “experts” each ranked their top-75 outfielders for the 2017 season. Players marked N/R were not ranked inside the top 75 by that particular person.

If you feel we overlooked someone or would like to debate a player’s ranking, feel free to do so in the comment section below.

  Player Team Neil Andy Ron Josh Kevin Mike Jim
1 Mike Trout Angels 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
2 Mookie Betts Red Sox 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
3 Kris Bryant Cubs 3 3 3 3 3 3 4
4 Bryce Harper Nationals 4 4 5 4 8 4 5
5 Charlie Blackmon Rockies 6 6 6 5 4 6 3
6 Starling Marte Pirates 7 13 7 6 7 8 7
7 Trea Turner Nationals 5 5 4 13 14 7 11
8 George Springer Astros 9 11 8 9 12 5 6
9 Nelson Cruz Mariners 15 12 10 12 6 9 10
10 Ryan Braun Brewers 13 8 13 7 9 11 15
11 J.D. Martinez Tigers 8 14 12 14 21 13 9
12 Yoenis Cespedes Mets 19 9 17 15 5 14 13
13 Christian Yelich Marlins 10 7 15 16 13 15 25
13 Giancarlo Stanton Marlins 12 10 9 8 33 21 8
15 A.J. Pollock Diamondbacks 16 16 11 10 29 10 14
16 Andrew McCutchen Pirates 18 21 19 17 16 12 12
17 Gregory Polanco Pirates 14 18 16 19 11 17 23
18 Ian Desmond Rockies 17 22 14 11 25 16 18
19 Carlos Gonzalez Rockies 11 20 18 29 15 19 17
20 Justin Upton Tigers 20 29 21 22 17 26 16
21 Mark Trumbo Orioles 24 19 20 18 27 20 24
22 Jose Bautista Blue Jays 21 23 28 23 31 18 27
22 Khris Davis Athletics 27 17 25 27 10 33 32
24 Adam Jones Orioles 23 31 31 31 18 27 19
24 Billy Hamilton Reds 25 33 24 20 26 23 29




Who is your top outfield target if you don’t
take Trout, Betts or Harper in round one?

Jim: George Springer and Giancarlo Stanton are being taken (on average) in round three – that’s terrific value if they fall here. More than likely I’ll target Ryan Braun and Nelson Cruz who may slip due to their age – everyone loves the new and shiny toys.

Kevin: Charlie Blackmon is already putting up elite numbers, but he doesn’t seem to bring the hype that other top-5 OF get. Also, Nelson Cruz gets ignored because of his age, but in redraft leagues there’s no reason to discount him.

Ron: JD Martinez doesn’t get the same respect as other power hitters, but he hits the ball just as hard, has a tolerable K%, and will cost less on draft day, allowing you to lock him up as a legit number one outfielder while filling other positions with your first four or five picks.

Andy: Trea Turner has all the upside of what Mookie Betts has become, and as Betts used to offer, gives you positional versatility. I’ve dubbed him ‘The Philanthropist’, and you can learn the background for that in our coverage of him on The Baseball Show.

Josh: In a deeper format I feel Charlie Blackmon is worthy of a 1st Round pick. At 31 I don’t see another 40 SB season, but a clean bill of heath could get him into the mid 20’s. 82% contact rate atop of an excellent lineup all but guarantees 100+ Runs. Coors Field effect plus solid road splits make .310/23/110/70/25 a reasonable expectation.

Mike: I’ll been waiting on AJ Pollock and/or JD Martinez as my first outfielder or pair of outfielders.  Love the value they’re coming at in mocks so far, though that may change as we get closer to draft day.

Neil: Despite missing 40+ games with an elbow injury last year, J.D. Martinez still managed to hit .307 with 22 HR and 68 RBI. Add to that his average season the last three years has him hitting .299 with 28 HR and 82 RBI which makes his NFBC ADP of 51 sound like a bargain.

  Player Team Neil Andy Ron Josh Kevin Mike Jim
26 Matt Kemp Braves 39 30 26 21 20 25 30
27 David Dahl Rockies 35 15 23 53 43 22 20
28 Jackie Bradley Jr. Red Sox 28 32 32 45 24 32 22
29 Kyle Schwarber Cubs 26 24 22 30 36 35 46
29 Andrew Benintendi Red Sox 30 27 33 35 35 28 31
31 Stephen Piscotty Cardinals 22 46 35 28 51 24 26
31 Adam Eaton Nationals 29 47 34 26 23 31 42
33 Lorenzo Cain Royals 33 36 36 25 34 36 34
34 Odubel Herrera Phillies 34 25 29 33 32 45 37
35 Jose Ramirez Indians 32 39 27 32 45 39 38
36 Miguel Sano Twins 38 37 30 24 65 29 33
37 Marcell Ozuna Marlins 31 26 44 46 40 41 39
38 Kole Calhoun Angels 40 43 43 43 28 52 35
39 Dexter Fowler Cardinals 44 42 41 39 38 34 47
40 Jay Bruce Reds 48 53 48 34 22 49 62
41 Michael Brantley Indians 41 N/R 61 44 39 30 21
42 Yasmany Tomas Diamondbacks 69 63 37 69 19 43 28
43 Adam Duvall Reds 36 48 50 52 30 50 64
44 Nomar Mazara Rangers 53 28 49 47 75 40 40
44 Carlos Gomez Rangers 64 61 40 37 37 48 45
46 Joc Pederson Dodgers 43 52 51 61 41 51 36
47 Ben Zobrist Cubs 45 44 42 48 64 44 51
47 Hunter Pence Giants 46 45 53 54 50 47 43
49 Byron Buxton Twins 51 34 39 59 48 57 53
50 Carlos Beltran Astros 42 50 59 42 57 38 54
Page 2: Players 51 to 75plus honorable mentions

Which outfielder(s) do you plan on avoiding in the draft?

Jim: I’m not touching Christian Yelich. Despite a .185 ISO and 38% hard hit rate, I don’t see another 21 home runs with a 20% fly ball rate and 5.6% infield fly ball rate. Stolen base total & success rate dropped, and contact percentage fell for the second straight year.

Kevin: I’ve been saying it for two years: Giancarlo Stanton. The elite HR potential doesn’t offset his injury risk and low AB totals. You can’t pay a top-10 OF price for someone who has proven he can’t stay on the field.

Ron: Yoenis Cespedes is my top avoid as I see little difference between him and guys like Kemp, Upton, and Bautista going 25 to 45 picks later in early drafts. Count me out on Billy Hamilton too. Single category wonders are not appealing to me until I get to the Rajai Davis/Jarrod Dyson price range. Finally, I don’t think Adam Duvall comes close to 33/100. He hit 4 or fewer home runs in 4 of 6 months, and his K% will tank your batting average and could lead to a lower spot in the lineup or a platoon.

Andy: I would gladly take Ryan Braun if I woke up and he was on my roster. But for that to happen, I’d likely also have a bad headache, an achy stomach, an empty wallet, and be in some cheap motel in Milwaukee. He’s going as a Top 10 Outfielder (right on the verge at least), but that’s a risk I’m not willing to bet a 33-year-old with a bad back can handle.

Josh: I like what Starling Marte offers, but I’m just not willing to pay the price. Big ground ball lean suppresses HR totals and a .380 BABIP could have been the biggest reason for the .300+ AVG. Marte doesn’t walk or hit enough to suggest he clears 90+ Runs or RBIs. A .290/15/85/75/35 slashline doesn’t do it for me with an ADP of 23.

Mike: No shot I’m getting Kyle Schwarber.  I get the appeal at catcher (on Yahoo), but why reach for him with the injury risk and the fact that he’s a defensive liability on a stacked team?  The Cubs will bench him if he doesn’t produce; just ask Jorge Soler.

Neil: A healthy Kyle Schwarber is something all baseball fans should be excited about, but I’m taking the cautious approach. He will he not be catcher eligible in 2017 (other than Yahoo), and the Cubs’ lineup flexibility presents plenty of scenarios for Javier Baez to get some time in left field making Schwarber seems like a risk to provide top-25 OF numbers which is where he is currently being drafted.

PAGE 2: Players 51 to 75 – plus honorable mentions

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