We wrap up each week of positional coverage with our 2017 rankings. In addition to the rankings we will pose a number of questions to our panel covering topics such as reaches and targets, players to avoid and late round impact players.
Taking part in our rankings will be Kevin Jebens, Jim Finch, Ron Vackar, Josh Coleman, Andy Singleton, Mike Sheehan and Neil Kenworthy. Our seven “experts” each ranked their top-30 third basemen for the 2017 season.
Players marked N/R were not ranked inside the top 30 by that particular person. We used a 10 games started minimum requirement for eligibility, so if you do not see a player here that may qualify in your league, that’s why.
If you feel we overlooked someone or would like to debate a player’s ranking, feel free to do so in the comment section below.
|3||Josh Donaldson||Blue Jays||3||4||3||4||3||1||4|
|10||Todd Frazier||White Sox||11||13||12||8||7||10||6|
|Yoan Moncada, Danny Valencia, Pablo Sandoval, Travis Shaw, David Wright, Martin Prado|
Third baseman you will reach for
if you don’t take one of the Big 4 in round 1?
Jim: Kyle Seager, period. His floor is 25 home runs with 80 each for runs and RBIs and a .270 average. There are other third basemen that could do the same or better, but none come with a guarantee. If I don’t get one of the big four I want safety, consistency and reliability.
Kevin: In redrafts could do worse than to take Adrian Beltre, but I’d probably opt for the reliable and younger Kyle Seager. Jonathan Villar is an option due to his extreme SB profile, but he’s far more valuable as an MI.
Ron: For the longest time it seemed that Evan Longoria was overrated. The shine on Longoria’s name has disappeared, yet last year was about as good as he’s ever been. I believe in the changes he made to up his production and will gladly reach a round earlier than his ADP to roster him.
Andy: I have been a supporter of Alex Bregman from day one and believe the tools are real, and unlike last year his universal love is through the roof. If I grab him and he gets off to a slow start, he should still fetch nearly 99 cents on the dollar in trade. Of course, the caveat being if I have the cojones to trade him in such a scenario.
Josh: With the depth of talent at the position and many similar profiles, I see no reason to reach. For the sake of naming someone I’ll go with Matt Carpenter. At an overall ADP of 71 in NFBC drafts, Carpenter has a similar skill set to Beltre, Seager and Longoria, but with multi-position eligibility and a better bet for a Top 25 would have me willing to reach a round early.
Mike: I would reach for Alex Bregman, and I wouldn’t be shocked if he moves into that elite tier as soon as this year.
Neil: If I miss out on one of the big four I’ll be setting my sights on Kyle Seager. He’s averaged 25 HR and 80+ RBIs over the last five seasons. In my opinion, he’s the best and most consistent option outside of the four first rounders.
Which Third basemen do you plan on avoiding in the draft?
Jim: I’m avoiding Miguel Sano for his ADP, Adrian Beltre for his age and potential for regression, and Justin Turner for his unrepeatable career year. I will own zero stock in any of these guys.
Kevin: I’ve finally moved on from praising Anthony Rendon, which means he’ll probably break out this year. He’s a fine mid-rankings option, but I don’t see the big upside anymore; he is what he is. If people are still hoping he’ll break out, they’ll pay more, and that’s too much for me.
Ron: The least appealing name to me based upon ADP is probably Jose Ramirez. Some like to get a little sneaky speed from a position that doesn’t traditionally contribute much to the SB category, but all I see is a glorified version of what Josh Harrison will provide at 2B. I’ll pass.
Andy: While Todd Frazier hits a bunch, it’s a lot to assume he repeats on his career high of last year. After the bombs, there’s not much left to his game – and he may be hounded by trade talks all year. Another guy I will be avoiding is Adrian Beltre. Consummate professional, and as consistent as you could ask for, but the home run spike was unexpected, and he’s yet another year closer to turning 40.
Josh: For years I’ve been more than willing to take on batting average risk. As one could surmise AVG has often been a struggle. With the well-rounded talent at this position there is no need whatsoever to take on Todd Frazier and his sub .240 AVG at 72 overall.
Mike: I want no part of Evan Longoria. I’m not willing to pay for last year’s numbers.
Neil: Despite finishing with great counting stats, I’ll be avoiding Todd Frazier. His selling out for power lowered his average to a career low, and power is simply easier to come by now. I’ll be passing on Frazier for some of the same reasons I mentioned with Chris Davis in our first base rankings.
Who is your top CI target once your third base slot is filled?
Jim: I like both Yasmany Tomas and Jose Ramirez for their numbers and OF eligibility. It is a nice luxury to have that flexibility in case I end up with another CI option either later in the draft or off waivers during the season..
Kevin: Nick Castellanos and Mike Moustakas are two later options. Both are risks as your full-time third baseman due to missed time (and opinions on whether breakouts were legit), but as a CI it’s worth the risk.
Ron: To limit myself to just one player I would target to fill my CI position is a challenge. Names like Ryon Healy and Nick Castellanos are of high consideration. But to choose just one, I will plant my flag on Justin Turner. He still gets the role player treatment from the fantasy community on draft day but his game has evolved far beyond being a Sean Rodriguez type contributor.
Andy: Turning back to question number 1, if I reach for Bregman, I would be happy to land Jake Lamb or Maikel Franco as my Corner Infielder. For more on Franco, we covered him a few weeks ago on the baseball show.
Josh: It has been a long time since I’ve targeted 3B to fill my CI spot, but that will be the case this season. Mike Moustakas is certainly a name I hope to have many shares of. I see a real path to success as explained in my article, and his lost 2016 has pushed his ADP into the 200’s.
Mike: While he may go much higher, I would love to get Maikel Franco later on. I think there’s a 30ish home run bounce back in the works.
Neil: Not only is Jose Ramirez among the most versatile players in fantasy, but last season he was basically 2014 Micheal Brantley with fewer HRs. He has the chance to be a bargain in drafts and can contribute in average and steals which are two categories every owner would like to solidify.
Late round pick that could make an impact?
Jim: Ryon Healy hit .285 in High-A and over .300 in AA and AAA along with power to hit 20 home runs. He’ll be overlooked. Also Jung-ho Kang has fallen due to a possible suspension. Still, he hit 21 HR with 62 RBIs in just over 300 at bats last year.
Kevin: A lot of potential values for the late rounds. Jedd Gyorko and Luis Valbuena could offer nice power, and a 500 AB season from Wilmer Flores could result in a 25 HR season if all goes well.
Ron: Yoan Moncada is a tempting consideration here. I think the point in the draft he is selected could be the most inconsistent of any player in 2017 drafts. If his maturity gets on the fast track, the payoff could be huge. I’ll throw a bone to Jurickson Profar as well. He seems like the fallback option at nearly every position for the Rangers and I’d be intrigued to find out what he could do if he fell into 500 plate appearances.
Andy: Castellanos, Solarte, Suarez, and Prado are all overlooked productive players that can be had late. However, I am swinging for the fences with the Nick Senzel, who not only the skills to make a quick ascent, but also the path playing. Look for his impact in the second half of the season. Also, Jung Ho Kang is unwarrantedly flying under the radar wih a current ADP of 237.
Josh: The position depth at 3B is apparent when you look at those being drafted outside of the Top 300. While I don’t necessarily buy into Travis Shaw I would not be shocked to see a breakout season. He’s 26, has a second chance with a new organization, and has enough skills to make it all work. .270 with 25 HR is certainly a possibility with the 28th 3B off the board. .
Mike: I like Yulieski Gurriel late – he had even better numbers than Jose Abreu in Cuba. The rusty and unspectacular start means he should come much cheaper this year.
Neil: Martin Prado seems to find his way onto my fantasy squad every year. He hovers around that .280-.300 mark throughout the season and provides decent runs and RBIs. This isn’t a flashy pick by any means, but Prado provides solid depth coming late in drafts.
That Wraps up our third base rankings. Check back next week as we bring you our top-30 shortstop options for the 2017 season.