6 Comments

Start or Sit Week 13

For a lot of people this is the last chance to clinch a playoff spot or play in a meaningful fantasy football game. For some this could be the start of the fantasy playoffs.

If you haven’t clinched or are in a “win and in” type situation, these are the start sit decisions you will have to second guess for a while. 

I am sure regardless of what happens the people who lose will second guess themselves. Don’t! Go through the data, check the matchups, injuries, etc.., and make the best educated decision. If that educated decision doesn’t work out, there’s nothing you can do.

Sure, if you needed a win last week and you started Julio Jones over Taylor Gabriel you were wrong, but c’mon. you made the right call. It just didn’t work out.

Do your research and there is nothing to second guess. Even the best decisions don’t work out half the time in this crazy game.

One last thing. I have seen, heard, been made aware of many of these types of questions over the years. The “if I lose I can prevent this really good team from making the playoffs” type argument. Essentially trying to lose or tie on purpose. Don’t do it. Don’t mess with something that is supposed to be fun. Beat your friends on the virtual field. 

But if you do choose to do this there is only one thing I can really say. I hope you lose to the team that you ended up letting into the playoffs.

If you have any players you have a question on feel free to ask in the comment section below or on Twitter.

Finally, please check out No Halftime, it is the ultimate start and sit DFS platform. Think Eli Manning outscores Cam Newton? Put a contest out there and put your money where your mouth is, or find an existing challenge to accept. No Halftime also has contests in other sports as well.

No HalfTime BannerQuarterback

Start

Matt Stafford @ Saints: It’s a road game, but a road game in a dome. Any game in New Orleans sets up for a high scoring affair. I am finally back on the Stafford train, although it might only be for a week.

What you can expect: 325 yards, three touchdowns

Derek Carr vs. Bills: The Bills have a good season long record of holding opposing quarterbacks to low totals, but the good ones they faced have put up numbers. The only legitimate starting fantasy quarterback to score under 18 points was Andy Dalton the week AJ Green was injured.

What you can expect: 300 yards, two touchdowns

Philip Rivers vs. Buccaneers: This is the start of the great stretch run if you have or traded for Rivers. Melvin Gordon hasn’t scored much lately, I can’t imagine that continues, but Rivers should continue to be a good bet for 275 and two touchdowns as a floor from here on out.

What you can expect: 275 yards, two touchdowns

Colin Kaepernick @ Bears: Broken record here. The running floor is great. He doesn’t have to do much through the air to have a good day, but if he does have even a decent day through the air the ceiling is like last week.

What you can expect: 250 yards, one touchdown, 60 yards rushing

Sit

Cam Newton @ Seahawks: His week ended up fine last week, but about halfway through the third quarter he was something along the lines of 3 for 13 through the air. He is fine this week, but he would be outside my top-10.

What you can expect: 225 yards, one touchdown, one interception, 20 yards rushing

Andy Dalton vs. Eagles: There is a lack of weapons for him to get the ball to. I can’t see him in any starting lineup outside a two quarterback league as long as Green is out.

What you can expect: 250 yards, one touchdown, one interception

Running Back

Start

Carlos Hyde @ Bears: Hyde “lost” a lot of rushing yards to Kaepernick keeping it more on the read option last week. I will always love his floor for touches regardless of game flow because of the fast pace of the offense.

What you can expect: 90 yards rushing, one touchdown, two catches for 15 yards

Doug Martin @ Chargers: He has 25 plus touches the past two weeks, both in tough matchups. The touches are going to be there regardless of what backups return from injury. The Chargers have been good at holding running backs to low totals, but they have, even though I don’t put much stock into it, given up at least one rushing touchdown to running backs in all but three games this season.

What you can expect: 90 yards rushing, one touchdown, two catches for 15 yards

Jeremy Hill vs. Eagles: In his first game without Bernard he got a career high six catches. He is going to be the focal points, or at least he should be, of the offense. His floor is now closer to 80 yards and he still has a better than 50/50 shot at finding the end zone.

What you can expect: 80 yards rushing, one touchdown, three catches for 20 yards

Sit

Rashad Jennings @ Steelers: Jennings had his chance to have a big game in a nice matchup last week but did nothing. This should be a passing game so maybe Jennings gets some catches, I would expect the carries to be closer to the 12-15 than the 18 plus.

What you can expect: 50 yards rushing, two catches for 10 yards

Rob Kelley @ Cardinals: Last week finally showed why some where scared off of Kelley. In his second straight tough matchup he might be phased out based on game flow.

What you can expect: 40 yards rushing

Jonathan Stewart @ Seahawks: The Panthers just sent their starting and backup centers to the IR. I can’t imagine that is a good thing as they head into a matchup in Seattle.

What you can expect: 5o yards rushing, one catch five yards

Digging deep

Tim Hightower vs. Lions: Ingram is way better. It doesn’t matter if they are going to get just about the same work. The floor should be decent enough that if he doesn’t find the end zone you can survive. The Saints should have plenty of scoring opportunities so I wouldn’t be surprised if he scores. It doesn’t hurt that Ingram has also missed practice this week with a toe injury.

What you can expect: 60 yards rushing, one touchdown

Kenneth Dixon vs. Dolphins: This could be the week he finally takes over for West. The risk that he doesn’t is still there. If he isn’t owned for some reason grab him immediately.

What you can expect: 55 yards rushing, three catches for 20 yards



Wide Receiver

Start

Michael Thomas vs. Lions: I get the whole Brandin Cooks is in for a big week stuff, kind of, but I still think Thomas is the best option.

What you can expect: Six catches for 90 yards, one touchdown

Tyrell Williams/Dontrelle Inman vs. Buccaneers: If Williams is active he is a wide receiver-two, and Inman more of a borderline flex. If he isn’t Inman becomes a borderline WR2/flex for me. Below is what I predict if Williams plays. 

What you can expect (Williams): Six catches for 85 yards, one touchdown
What you can expect (Inman): Five catches for 75 yards

Sit

Allen Robinson vs. Broncos: If you need Robinson this week I really hope you have another option. You probably do, you just don’t want to admit it. Robinson would be outside my top-40 this week.

What you can expect: Two catches for 25 yards

Kelvin Benjamin @ Seahawks: It is a tough matchup, and contrary to what I hoped/thought he hasn’t gotten back on track. The Panthers don’t have a guy that is guaranteed to get involved outside of Greg Olsen.

What you can expect: Three catches for 35 yards

Digging deep

Tyreek Hill @ Falcons: I like him as a wide receiver-three this week. He has been getting a decent amount of touches and has the big play ability with his speed. If he doesn’t break one it’s an ok day that doesn’t kill you. If he does it’s a good day. Maclin returning should knock him down a tad, but I wouldn’t worry too much.

What you can expect: Six catches for 85 yards, 10 yards rushing

Tight End

Start

Vance McDonald @ Bears: He has been involved in the offense more since the bye with 14 catches for 240 yards and two touchdowns in those four games. Doesn’t sound like much, but 36 points in four weeks is nine points per game, also known as Greg Olsen’s per game output this year.

What you can expect: Five catches for 55 yards, one touchdown

Vernon Davis @ Cardinals:  The matchup is really bad so it is a bit of a buzz kill. I would still start Davis because of the upside at tight end.

What you can expect: Six catches for 60 yards

C.J. Fiedorowicz @ Packers: Never super exciting, but always involved in the offense.

What you can expect: Five catches for 60 yards

 

Fantasy Rundown BannerIf you’re not visiting Fantasy Rundown. for all your fantasy football needs, you’re doing it wrong.

Related Posts

The following two tabs change content below.
Andy Germani
I am a lifelong Pittsburgh sports fan and a graduate from Penn State. Baseball was my first love and I still play to this day in an adult baseball league. I always love helping people with their questions on Twitter so feel free to follow me and ask questions.

6 comments on “Start or Sit Week 13

  1. Need 2 to start this week: Cooks, Crowder, Tyrell Williams, Inman, Stewart, or Dixon. I’m leaning cooks (rebound game) and Williams. And Crowder or Inman if Williams is out. Thanks and best of luck this week.

    • I would lean Cooks and Williams as well. It looks like even with a torn labrum he has range of motion and all that. As long as you dont get some Sunday morning reports that say he is going to be limited I would go with him.

      Crowder would be my next man up if Williams is either limited or out.

  2. Need to start two: Allen Robinson, J Stewart, Watkins, Hopkins, Wilson (Chicago) and Smallwood

    • I think I would go Stewart and Hopkins.

      I dont love either this week but Robinson is unstartable, I cant trust Wilson to start yet, and there is a lot of risk with Watkins with a similar floor to Stewart and Hopkins.

      When it comes to Smallwood if he can get 12 or more carries he is in good shape but the Eagles get away from the run too early sometimes and that is Sproles time.

  3. Who to start Miller or Martian

Comments are closed.