2017 Outfield Dynasty/Keeper Rankings (Top 60)

2017-dynasty-rankings-logoAfter each week of positional coverage, we will wrap things up here on Sunday with our 2016 dynasty/keeper rankings.

Players are ranked with the next five years of production in mind, so when you see Jackie Bradley Jr ranked ahead of a player like Nelson Cruz – that does not mean that we believe Bradley will be the superior short-term option.

Also, we ranked players at what we believe will be their primary position moving forward, so you will not see players like Kris Bryant or Jose Ramirez despite their eligibility. Those players will be included at whichever positions they may qualify for in our 2017 rankings which come out in January.

Taking part in our dynasty rankings will be Paul Hartman, Kevin Jebens, Jim Finch, Ron Vackar, Josh Coleman and Mike Sheehan. Our six experts each ranked their top 60 Outfielders. Players marked N/R were not ranked inside the top 60 by that particular person.

  Player Jim Mike Kevin Ron Josh Paul
1 Mike Trout 1 1 1 1 3 1
2 Mookie Betts 2 2 2 2 2 2
3 Bryce Harper 3 3 3 3 1 3
4 George Springer 4 4 4 6 6 5
5 Charlie Blackmon 6 8 8 4 4 6
6 Trea Turner 8 5 14 5 10 10
7 Starling Marte 5 6 10 7 7 19
8 J.D. Martinez 10 14 7 10 12 7
9 Giancarlo Stanton 7 11 28 8 8 4
10 Yoenis Cespedes 14 15 11 13 15 9
11 Andrew McCutchen 11 10 6 12 37 8
12 Gregory Polanco 19 9 13 16 17 14
12 Christian Yelich 12 7 26 9 21 13
14 Ryan Braun 13 19 5 22 11 24
15 A.J. Pollock 9 13 49 14 5 16
16 David Dahl 15 12 23 25 20 12
17 Kyle Schwarber 21 36 15 11 9 18
18 Justin Upton 17 23 18 20 13 25
19 Carlos Gonzalez 27 20 20 19 18 27
20 Jackie Bradley Jr 18 26 9 27 27 29
21 Ian Desmond 23 22 34 26 19 22
22 Andrew Benintendi 40 17 50 18 14 11
23 Adam Jones 16 24 19 24 35 35
24 Nomar Mazara 31 21 38 17 34 15
24 Nelson Cruz 26 37 17 39 16 21
26 Mark Trumbo 32 29 29 28 22 20
26 Byron Buxton 20 48 16 33 26 17
28 Stephen Piscotty 24 16 36 15 28 43
29 Billy Hamilton 28 18 37 21 24 39
30 Khris Davis 38 27 12 35 30 34
Page 2: Players 31 through 60

Mike Trout, Mookie Betts, Bryce Harper – it doesn’t get much better than these three gentlemen. All three are capable of posting a 100/20/20/100 season in any given year, or darn close to it. They are not only the top-three outfielders, they are each early first round options in drafts, regardless of the format. Considering they are all 25 and under they will anchor your keeper/dynasty league for years to come.

As for the remaining players, our panel shares their thoughts on each below.

4. George Springer – Astros

  • Kevin: His rookie season had some worried that he’d be a Melvin Upton type, but he’s put those concerns to rest with a 10% contact rate improvement and a very tolerable BA. He’s in his prime and has solid power, though the ground ball tilt (47% career) is going to prevent him from turning in a 40+ HR season. I like his overall game, and his floor is quite high, but  he won’t be competing for a top-5 hitter slot without further adjustments.

5. Charlie Blackmon – Rockies

  • Josh: I may be aggressive with my ranking, but so be it. Safest five-category player not named Trout or Betts. Decline in stolen bases from 2015 to 2016 (43 to 17) is a concern, but I still see a 20/20 player for years to come.

6. Trea Turner – Nationals

  • Mike: There’s likely some regression coming, but not enough to make me any less in love.  If he can show more control of the strike zone he’ll be a legit fantasy MVP candidate.  He’s a burner with a manager that has penchant for green lights and there should be plenty of runs scored in a stacked, Nats lineup.  He’s a true building block, and I’m tempted to rank him even higher.

7. Starling Marte – Pirates

  • Ron: Marte has never been an exceptional RBI producer and doesn’t score a high volume of runs. That said, he has more pop in his bat than the nine home runs he hit in 2016 and the threat to steal bases in bunches is real. 

8. J.D. Martinez – Tigers

  • Paul: Over the past three seasons J.D. has hit .299/.357/.540. That’s the 4th highest OPS of any qualified outfielder during that time; behind Trout, Harper, and N.Cruz. He’s still just 29 with plenty of big seasons ahead. 

9. Giancarlo Stanton – Marlins

  • Jim: He hit 27 home runs in each of the past two years, playing in 74 and 119 games. With a floor like that it’s hard to push him down the rankings. I know there are injury concerns, but Nelson Cruz had those same issues for the first five or so seasons – look how things turned out for him. Bank on the power and cross your fingers he stays relatively healthy.

10. Yoenis Cespedes – Free Agent

  • Kevin: He’s a veteran who’s put it all together and has found even more power than in his early seasons. A strained quad may have prevented him from putting up an MVP season — did you see what he did between the second half of 2015 and the first half of 2016? That would be 45 HR and a BA over .290. I get that the young phenom names attract more hype and value in keeper leagues, but Cespedes may put them to shame in 2017, and his 2015-16 stats aren’t a fluke.

11. Andre McCutchen – Pirates

  • Mike: A bit of a legacy rank here.  I can’t believe that he’s just finished considering he’s only 30 years old and still hit the ball hard at a well above average rate of 35.8%.  Give him a mulligan for now and we’ll reassess next year if things don’t go back to normal.  

12. Gregory Polanco – Pirates

  • Paul: Polanco flirted with his first 20/20 season at just 24 years old. He increased his LD%, FB%, and Hard Hit rate from 2015 and will likely continue to do so. He has the potential to break into the top 5-10 outfielders. 

12. Christian Yelich – Marlins

  • Jim: The batting average has been there since day one, and he hits lefties and righties equally. He can steal double-digit bases, and at age 24 we started to see his power (38 doubles, 21 homers). I’d like to think he can build on last season, but I’ll temper my expectations with runs and RBIs given the team he is on.

14. Ryan Braun – Brewers

  • Josh: At 33 it’s hard to imagine Braun having better days ahead of him. The question becomes “What will the decline look like?”. I feel rather confident .280+ is the norm. His power and speed numbers will decline at some point, but 24/14 looks sustainable well into his 30’s.

15. A.J. Pollock – Diamondbacks

  • Ron: The injury concerns should be on your mind with Pollock, but he’s going to be just 29 years old this coming season and should be fully recovered and ready to resume a high level of production. 

16. David Dahl – Rockies

  • Mike: A young stud, who has been compared to Mike Trout, who also happens to play in Coors Field… sign me up!  Coors has produced three of the last four batting champs.  This included average players like Michael Cuddyer and a past his prime Justin Morneau.  Trust Coors and trust the pedigree, Dahl is going to be a monster.

17. Kyle Schwarber – Cubs

  • Paul: Schwarber has a ton of power, and the ability to hit for average as well. He could easily be one of baseball’s top offensive forces. My only concern is his defense and whether that ends up taking some at bats away from him late in games. 

18. Justin Upton – Tigers

  • Kevin: I’m disappointed that his career hasn’t had more years like 2009 and 2011 given his talent level. The BA decline the last two years is also sad, and you can’t write it off as a fluke. That said, his power is legit and steady, so more 30 HR seasons are possible, even likely. He’s just 29 entering 2017, so you can get several solid seasons out of him.

19. Carlos Gonzalez – Rockies

  • Ron: There’s going to be a chance Carlos Gonzalez gets moved out of Coors in the near future. Until then, enjoy the ride. Just know that the current version of CarGo no longer includes the threat to swipe 20+ bags. This might be a good thing though as he has managed to play 150+ games each of the last two seasons. R+RBI and HR production should continue to be as expected. 

20. Jackie Bradley Jr – Red Sox

  • Jim: It took a few years, but we’re finally seeing the Bradley we expected to. There is 20+ home run power and the ability to steal 8-10 bases. In a lot of ways he is similar to Christian Yelich, although with a lower batting average but better surrounding cast. I’ll bump him up a few spots if he ever figures out how to hit away from Fenway Park.

21. Ian Desmond – Free Agent

  • Josh: Desmond’s last two seasons have built back his stock to some degree. The power/speed skill set is desired by all, but beware of his big Home/Road split from 2016 and the threat of a .240 AVG.

22. Andrew Benintendi – Red Sox

  • Paul: Benintendi hit .295/.359/.476 in his brief cameo in Boston last year. He’s got the potential to go 15/20 as soon as this season, with a high batting average and OBP – and that’s playing more than half the season as a 22-year-old. Invest heavily!
  • Kevin: He has a solid prospect profile, I simply can’t rank a guy that barely played in the majors within the top-40. He should have a good all-around game, but unless his power really develops, I see him more as a high-BA guy with 15/15 potential. Good, but not elite.

23. Adam Jones – Orioles

  • Jim: Six straight years with at least 25 home runs and 82 RBIs, plus 88 or more runs in four of the past five seasons. The batting average may have dropped some, but the counting stats have remained steady and consistent. I’ll take steady and consistent of risk/reward players.
  • Mike: He’s not as good as he was, but he’s still reliable.  As boring of a pick as he’s ever been – still, you have a good idea what you’re getting.  I’m personally ready to ship him off for younger talent since his best years are probably behind him, but I don’t see an imminent drop off coming.

24. Nomar Mazara – Rangers

  • Ron: Mazara has a sweet swing. He passes the eyeball test for sure! Mazara made lots of a medium contact in his first go around. I expect the hard contact and fly ball rate to climb steadily as he approaches his prime years. 
  • Josh: Many love him, but I feel his value will be counting stat dependent. His AVG and HR totals will play, but neither will be among the upper tiers. Others will value him more highly than the .270 23 HR player I see.

24. Nelson Cruz – Mariners

  • Josh: Age tends to become a 6th category in Dynasty formats. At 36 the perception of Cruz isn’t that of a “write it in Sharpie” .275 hitter with 33 HR and 90+ runs and RBIs, but it should be.
  • Ron: 150+ games and 40+ HR in three straight seasons. I don’t care how old Cruz is – he rakes! We get obsessed a little too often with age in dynasty formats. If you’re going for the win now, Cruz is a guy you want to have for the next couple seasons. 

26. Mark Trumbo – Free Agent

  • Kevin: After two off years the dude proved he can still mash. His HR/FB was crazy high, but  was also consistent all season, and he keeps his FB% above 40 so the homers are not a fluke. The down side is that his BA is very BABIP dependent, so any bad luck there kills him. Still, you want to roster a guy who has a legit shot at 50 HR in 2017.
  • Jim: I like him as a number three outfielder. The second half of his 2016 season (19 home runs – .214 average) is the reason he will never be valued as more than that, even though he is capable (at times) of outproducing his projections and value.

26. Byron Buxton

  • Paul: After his latest call up from the minors (after disappointing in the bigs), Buxton hit .287/.357/.653 in the season’s final 29 games. He hit 9 home runs in that stretch and a couple of triples. The talent is there, and if he can shave some strikeouts off his resume he could be a top-5 OF.
  • Mike: The kid was touted as being the next big thing and has largely disappointed so far.  He’s too young and the tools are too real to cast him aside just yet.  Look for some incremental improvement in 2017 and still expect him to be a star long-term.  Now’s a good time to target him in dynasty if the price is deflated.

28. Stephen Piscotty – Cardinals

  • Ron: Piscotty will not be the most exciting pick you make, but he looks like a guy who is reliable with a high floor. You need guys like Piscotty to anchor your roster, and a player like him allows you to take chances elsewhere. 
  • Paul: I like Piscotty, but I’m not reaching as I don’t know how much more he can bring to the table than he did last season. Still, 20+ HR potential with a handful of stolen bases isn’t going to hurt you. 

29. Billy Hamilton – Reds

  • Mike: Where would we rank a player who is a threat for 80 HRs?  We should probably rank Hamilton similarly, since he’s a threat for those kind of totals with SBs, which are actually more scarce.  He was also showing some improvements at the plate before his injury.  Make no mistake, he’s ugly to watch as a real world player, but don’t let that make you value him too low.
  • Jim: That’s three straight seasons with 50+ stolen bases. More line drives and ground balls led to an improved batting average. I’d like to rank him higher, but he offers zero help in home runs and RBIs, the run total hasn’t been there. Still, you gotta like a guy who can win you a category single-handedly.

30. Khris Davis – Athletics

  • Kevin: A lot of loft and an elite HR/FB means he’ll keep hitting 40 HR. It seems all you can hope for is a .250 average, but there’s nothing to dislike when he pairs that with 100 RBIs. Despite all the home runs hit in 2016, you want a masher like this on your team.
  • Josh: Hitting south of .250 is a real detriment to ones team AVG. If a player hits 40 HR that AVG is much more tolerable, but middling production in HR can tank the run and RBI totals. The further we distance ourselves from 2016, the more the outlier it will appear.

Continue to Page 2: Players 31 through 60

The Fantasy Assembly Team

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A combined effort of the greatest fantasy sports minds money can buy. Maybe that is an exaggeration..... but it sounds good.

2 thoughts on “2017 Outfield Dynasty/Keeper Rankings (Top 60)”

  1. I see Kepler made onto honorable mention, but I see him as a big time sleeper next season. Now that he should have an every day role, I think he will shine and surprise!

    1. I was one of the people who ranked Kepler. He has sleeper potential for sure. But given that OF is such a deep position, there will be a lot of players who produce a profit in any given year. I’m optimistic, but I wouldn’t overreach on him either.

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