We have been there on a few occasions, but this is really when it starts to happen. The time where we are looking at our fantasy lineups and saying if you told me blank on draft day I would have thought you were nuts.
Here are some of my “if you told me that on draft day” things for week 11.
If you told me…
- Jay Ajayi will be a no doubt starter over Todd Gurley
- I would feel safer starting Rob Kelley than Gurley
- Frank Gore is a top-10 option
- I could sit DeAndre Hopkins for Davante Adams
There are many more. We will see them pop up here soon, whether it is someone like Damien Williams being a top-15 back because Ajayi got hurt. Last season it was guys like David Johnson, Christine Michael, and Tim Hightower.
Feel free to name some of your “If you told me” things in the comment section below.
If you have any players you have a question on feel free to ask in the comment section below or on Twitter. Follow @TheSportsGuy40
Finally, please check out No Halftime, it is the ultimate start and sit DFS platform. Think Eli Manning outscores Cam Newton? Put a contest out there and put your money where your mouth is, or find an existing challenge to accept. No Halftime also has contests in other sports as well.
Ben Roethlisberger @ Browns: Roethlisberger is in a great matchup and tends to do well against the Browns, but then again who doesn’t. The only point of concern with the Steelers this week is how they tend to play down to opponents on the road. I don’t think it happens this week though.
What you can expect: 275 yards, two touchdowns
Marcus Mariota @ Colts: He is on a crazy hot streak right now, throwing at least two touchdowns in six straight weeks, and he gets to face a defense that has given up at least two touchdowns in six straight weeks. He also has an absurd 30 touchdowns and no interceptions in his career in the red zone.
What you can expect: 275 yards, three touchdowns, one interception, 20 yards rushing
Tyrod Taylor @ Bengals: Taylor played one of his best games of his career last week against the Seahawks. He comes out of the bye getting a Bengals team on a short week that allowed 698 yards and five touchdowns over the past two weeks.
What you can expect: 275 yards, two touchdowns, 30 yards rushing
Derek Carr vs. Texans: I don’t love the matchup and I am a little worried with how the elevation of this game is going to effect the game plan for either team. He would be outside the top-10 for me this week.
What you can expect: 250 yards, one touchdown, one interception
Carson Palmer @ Vikings: Even with the Vikings struggling as of late, the defense has held up pretty well against the pass. Palmer is due for some positive touchdown regression at some point, but I don’t think it happens this week.
What you can expect: 275 yards, one touchdown, two interceptions
Isaiah Crowell vs. Steelers: No Cam Heyward is bad news for the Steelers run defense. Crowell has been declining after a great early season start, but if given double-digit touches he should be in for a solid week.
What you can expect: 60 yards rushing, one touchdown, two catches for 15 yards
Theo Riddick vs. Jaguars: The last time the Lions played it was weird. Riddick got 15 touches (not weird), but he got 14 carries and just one reception. I would expect the total workload to stay the same but for him to get more work in the passing game.
What you can expect: 55 yards rushing, five catches for 45 yards
Rob Kelley vs. Packers: The Packers run defense is not what it was early in the season. Kelley is a bit of a risky play going against the Packers because this could be a shootout and Kelley is a non-factor in the passing game.
What you can expect: 85 yards, one touchdown
Carlos Hyde vs. Patriots: He did very little in his first game back last week. Something tells me Bill and the Patriots will have a defensive game plan to stop the read option.
What you can expect: 30 yards rushing, two catches for 15 yards
Terrance West @ Cowboys: He is sharing time, and the Cowboys control the clock offense doesn’t allow for an opposing team to do much on the ground.
What you can expect: 30 yards rushing
Todd Gurley vs. Dolphins: It’s time. If you haven’t already gotten away from Gurley you need to now. He has no big plays this year and hasn’t topped 100 total yards once this season. If he doesn’t score, something he has only done in two games this year, he is going to have a disappointing day.
What you can expect: 50 yards rushing
Kenneth Dixon @ Cowboys: I don’t like West, but part of the reason is Dixon is getting an increased role. I wouldn’t be really excited to start him this week, but as a flex or a desperation second running back he is fine.
What you can expect: 50 yards rushing, three catches for 20 yards
James Starks @ Redskins: Came back last week and got 10 touches and scored on a reception. People are going to think Christine Michael is going to take over or fight for carries, but I don’t think he factors in much, and definitely not this week.
What you can expect: 50 yards rushing, one touchdown
Julian Edelman @ 49ers: No Gronkowski or Chris Hogane this week. This just takes targets going to those guys now to be split between Edelman and the rest of the skill position players. The matchup is pretty awesome too.
What you can expect: Seven catches for 85 yards, one touchdown
Davante Adams @ Redskins: He has either 70 yards or a touchdown in six of his last seven games.
What you can expect: Six catches for 80 yards, one touchdown
Donte Moncrief vs. Titans: I expect this to be a high scoring game. Even though the yards haven’t been there he has been able to find the end zone in three of his four games since returning.
What you can expect: Four catches for 65 yards one touchdown
Jarvis Landry @ Rams: He is a low floor low ceiling receiver that doesn’t score.
What you can expect: Four catches for 40 yards
Cameron Meredith @ Giants: I am just not buying that he goes right to top receiver and great fantasy play with Jeffery out. Besides him and Cutler not having good games together, nobody in the passing game was really clicking the last couple weeks.
What you can expect: Three catches 35 yards
Eli Rogers @ Browns: The ceiling isn’t high as a slot receiver in most cases. With Coates and Wheaton playing next to no role in the offense, Rogers has easily taken the slot role in what is a high powered passing attack.
What you can expect: Five catches for 70 yards
Danny Amendola @ 49ers: As noted with Edelman, no Gronk or Hogan this week. Amendola should see some more work even though he and Chris Hogan play different roles.
What you can expect: Six catches for 65 yards
Martellus Bennett @ 49ers: Seems like an easy call. Just remember that without Gronk earlier this season he was used a lot as a blocker. Then again, that was also without Brady.
What you can expect: Six catches for 65 yards, one touchdown
C.J. Fiedorowicz vs. Raiders: He had a bad week last week as the other tight ends in the offense scored. The matchup with the Raiders is great, and I expect more often than not for Fiedorowicz to be the one to score.
What you can expect: Four catches for 45 yards, one touchdown
Jack Doyle vs. Titans: Even with Dwayne Allen back he is the tight end I want to own for the Colts. However, he does have less appeal now that Allen is back.
What you can expect: Five catches 50 yards one touchdown
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