We are just about halfway through the regular season. If you haven’t already it is time to believe the 2016 season over the 2016 preseason. Matt Ryan is an elite fantasy quarterback; Aaron Rodgers is not. DeMarco Murray is an elite back again, Todd Gurley is a great talent in a bad situation.
Don’t be caught up on what you paid to acquire a player in the draft. It is irrelevant now, and has been for weeks. Yes, Todd Gurley was a consensus first round pick, but there is no chance he goes there now. Don’t hold someone like Gurley hoping someone will give you first, or even second, round value from the preseason.
Use all the information you have to determine what you should be doing in a trade. Touches, targets, yards, red zone work, etc. are all really important. Talent matters, but so does the situation.
Don’t forget players on the Buccaneers and Vikings are now added to the list of guys who don’t have a bye and, assuming health, will play every game from here on out.
Happy trading this week, and don’t forget to give me a follow on Twitter for Sunday morning active and inactive players as well as in-game injury news and anything else football related. Follow @TheSportsGuy40
RB – C.J. Anderson
You are probably asking yourself “wasn’t he just a sell last week?” The answer to that question is yes. There was worry that Anderson would lose snaps to Booker, and that still exists, but Thursday the snaps trended back into Anderson’s favor. On Thursday, in a game the Broncos were trailing almost from the start, Anderson played 57 of 73 snaps compared to just 15 for Booker. Anderson has had a few bad games in a row and I think you can get a panicked owner to buy.
Potential buy-low offer: Jarvis Landry for Anderson
RB – Mark Ingram
The Saints refusal to give him the ball inside the five can’t continue, can it? The good news is that Ingram did get 16 carries. The bad news is the Saints scored five touchdowns and Ingram didn’t get any. The Saints will always be a high scoring offense. Ingram will have weeks like this that he wont score but he will find the end zone too. Get him from an expectedly frustrated owner.
Potential buy-low offer: Jordan Matthews for Ingram
RB – Jamaal Charles
He didn’t play a ton of snaps and Ware got a far larger amount of touches. I am happy to see what Charles did. He had 11 touches for 47 yards and a touchdown. The Chiefs might use a 1-2 punch with Ware being the run out the clock back. If Charles can consistently get 15-18 touches, and I think he will most weeks, he is going to be a top-15 back. A lot of owners are going to panic about what happened today. Use that to your advantage.
Potential buy-low offer: Emmanuel Sanders for Charles
WR – Marvin Jones
He has had back-to-back low yardage games saved by finding the end zone. The Lions haven’t had a ton of passing yards the past couple weeks so I would expect Jones to be able to get the yards when the offense starts to do more damage through the air. The good news for Jones is he does a great job of finding the end zone.
Potential buy-low offer: LeGarrette Blount for Jones.
RB – James White
White is going to have big boom weeks like this from time to time. He isn’t going to score too often, and might not score twice again. With such limited upside I would try to sell him now. There is no guarantee Dion Lewis comes back anytime soon, but once he does White loses all value. Get something for White while you still can.
Potential sell-high offer: White for Stefon Diggs
RB – Matt Jones
Want to see something crazy?
Washington HB snap count today: Chris Thompson 36, Matt Joens 30, Rob Kelley 9. Out of 74
— Nathan Jahnke (@PFF_NateJahnke) October 16, 2016
Yea, Jones had the crazy game, but he trailed passing downs back Chris Thompson in snaps in a game the Redskins won and were never really in catch-up mode. I have never really been a big fan of Jones so maybe you want to take this recommendation with a grain of salt. I just can’t trust him.
Potential sell-high offer: Jones for Julian Edelman
WR – Terrelle Pryor
What he is doing as a converted quarterback is fantastic. Pryor has been a WR2 lately, but almost only because of the touchdowns. The 75-yard performance is his second highest of the season. He is an exciting player because of the chances to get some quarterback snaps; use that to your advantage on the trade market.
Potential sell-high offer: Pryor for Jerick McKinnon
TE – Coby Fleener
Something tells me Fleener isn’t going to get too many rushing touchdowns. I guess he is no different than any of the other tight ends outside of the elite group. Fleener is going to have weeks where he does nothing with a random boom here and there. The thing is, like I just said, he isn’t any different from those other guys. People perceive him as better, I think, and you can deal Fleener for something to help you elsewhere and start someone like Zach Miller.
Late edit – After looking at snap counts Fleener was actually out snapped by the Saints other tight end in week six, Josh Hill.
Potential sell-high offer: Fleener for Cameron Meredith
RB – LeSean McCoy
He was criminally underrated in drafts coming into the season. McCoy is now just outside the elite top group of Bell, Johnson, and Elliott, but I wouldn’t argue with anyone who wanted to put him in that group.
Potential buy-high offer: A.J. Green for McCoy
QB – Aaron Rodgers
This is a combination of my devaluation of quarterbacks and his struggles to this point in the season. Rodgers still has the name value that will get you interest on the trade market so you shouldn’t have too much trouble finding suitors like you might if you are trying to trade a Matt Stafford or Philip Rivers type. Something is not going right with the Packers offense right now, and I wouldn’t want to wait around with Rodgers in my lineup until they figure it out.
Potential sell-low offer: Rodgers and DeMarco Murray for Le’Veon Bell
Looking for additional buy/sell trade advice or waiver wire pick-ups, head on over to Fantasy Rundown.