No, Neil is not back yet. You picked a fine time to leave me Lucille. Don’t fret; he’ll be back tomorrow, and he did take care of all your football needs before he departed on his weekend of jocularity and depravity. Fortunately for all of you, Paul and I were warming up in the bullpen, and lucky me I get to close out the ninth – so to speak. I know you didn’t come here to listen to me ramble on incoherently, so I’ll spare you and just jump right into things.
Here are your quick hits of the day:
Batter versus Pitcher Warriors:
1. Miguel Cabrera vs Corey Kluber – 21/45 with 2 double, 5 HR & 3 BB
2. Joey Votto vs Jaime Garcia – 16/43 with 5 doubles, 1 HR & 9 BB
3. Jose Altuve vs Hisashi Iwakuma – 15/35 with 6 doubles, 1 HR & 1 BB
4. J.T. Realmuto vs Bartolo Colon – 8/20 with 4 doubles & 1 HR
5. Robinson Cano vs Collin McHugh – 10/33 with 1 double, 1 triple, 2 HR & 2 BB
Stacks to Target:
1. Rangers vs Matt Garza – Garza has allowed 4 or more runs in half of his road starts, has just 7 starts where he reached the 6th inning or beyond, and has exceeded 4 strikeouts per game in just 6 of his 18 starts. He has a 5.54 ERA, a 1.71 WHIP, and a .319 BAA on the road. The Rangers rank in the top-10 this month in virtually all DraftKings scoring categories, and those numbers go up a tick in Arlington. Over the past 7 days Gomez, Andrus, Mazara, Beltre, Beltran and Desmond have hit .300 or higher. Odor and Moreland have been cold, but Garza is susceptible to left-handed bats. I would stack away on as many of those hot Ranger bats as I could today.
2. Rays vs James Shields – James Shields leads the league in home runs allowed, and Tampa is (surprisingly) tied for third for the season and first in September in homers. Shields has 5.82 ERA with 21 home runs allowed at Cellular Field, and has given up a home run in 16 of his 20 starts for the Sox. He has allowed four or more runs to score in almost half of his starts for Chicago. Everything lines up for a potential mini-stack from the Rays. Evan Longoria and Brad Miller have both done some serious long ball damage against righties and are both raking over the past seven days. Corey Dickerson isn’t hitting for average, but his power has returned after a brief hiatus. This could also be a nice breakout game for Logan Forsythe and Kevin Kiermaier. If you can’t afford to go all Rangers, supplement your lineup with a few Rays.
Pitchers of the Day:
1. Collin McHugh vs Seattle – McHugh has faced the Mariners four times this year, limiting them to 16 hits, 8 walks, and just three earned runs (total) over 25 innings. And don’t forget the 4 wins and 24 strikeouts. Over his last 18 starts he has allowed more than three runs in a game just three times. Even if Seattle manages a few well hit balls I don’t see them scoring more than a few runs. McHugh may average 14.2 points per game on DraftKings, but he should easily exceed 20 today at a reasonable price. He is my clear-cut number once pick.
I can’t see me rostering any pitcher priced below McHugh for any reason. I also would not pay for today’s highest priced pitcher, Corey Kluber. He’s great, but 2-3 strikeouts is all that separates him from Kyle Hendricks and Tanner Roark lately – that’s not worth an extra $1,500 to $3,000 to me. J.A. Happ has also been great this year, and his DK numbers are right there with Roark. I lean towards Hendricks just for the overall numbers and matchup, but if money is an issue I would have no issue flipping a coin between Roark and Happ as my second pitcher.
Weather Factors to Target or Avoid:
- Cubs at Pirates – Thunderstorms – expect a delay, but not a cancellation.
- Brewers at Rangers – Slight chance of rain; 11 MPH wind blowing out to right
- Rays at White Sox – 14 MPH wind blowing out to left center
- Cubs at Pirates – 10 MPH wind blowing out to left center
- Diamondbacks at Nationals – Chance of rain after 8:00 p.m.
- Indians at Tigers – 13 MPH wind blowing out to left
Platoon Split Hitters:
1. Ryan Braun vs Martin Perez –Hitting .336/.409/.593 vs LHP with 5 doubles, 8 home runs and 15 walks in 113 at bats. Career line vs LHP – .335/.403/.624
2. Jose Reyes vs Adam Conley – Hitting .362/.444/.723 vs LHP with 5 doubles, 4 home runs and 7 walks in 47 at bats. Career numbers: .296 vs LHP and .322 at Marlins park.
Go to Fantasy Rundown for additional DFS picks from some of the top sites on the web.