Daily Fantasy Quick Hits – August 22

Thanks to both Paul and Jim for admirably filling in for me while I had a last-minute vacation this weekend.  I am back at it today, and we have a short slate Monday with one lonely afternoon game.  I will ignore that game (with one BvP exception) as DraftKings does not let you play that slate and it is very risky to play a full day slate on FanDuel since your night game rosters would lock in the afternoon.  I like pitchers today, so finding hitting value is key.  Let’s see how we do.

As always, all stats are courtesy of rotowire, rotogrinders, fangraphs, baseball-reference and ESPN. Here are your quick hits of the day.

Batter versus Pitcher Warriors:

  1. Adrian Gonzalez vs. Homer Bailey – 10/23 with 2 doubles, 5 homers and a walk
  2. Miguel Montero vs. Edwin Jackson – 6/15 with 3 doubles, a homer and 2 walks
  3. Adam Lind vs. Michael Pineda – 5/14 with 2 doubles and 2 homers

Stacks to Target:

  1. Rockies vs. Jimmy Nelson – While the Rockies are not at Coors today, I still like them against Nelson.  The Brewers’ righty really struggles to get left-handed batters out, allowing a .345 wOBA to lefties this year which is actually better than his woeful .356 career mark.  The Rockies have a host of good lefties including Carlos Gonzalez, David Dahl and Charlie Blackmon (if he plays – Gerardo Parra if he does not).  Pair those three lefties with LeMahieu and Arenado and that is a dangerous stack today.
  2. Red Sox vs. Blake Snell – Snell is pitching decently this season as evidenced by his 3.06 ERA, but he has definitely been a bit lucky that his 5.11 BB/9 has not led to more runs allowed.  His 4.56 SIERA is proof that his run prevention is a bit fortunate.  The Red Sox are extremely dangerous, extremely patient, and knocked Snell around for a career high 8 hits back on June 27.  I like them to do even better today.

Pitchers of the Day:

  1. David Price vs. Rays – Price has accumulated 10+ strikeouts against the Rays twice already this year.  And it is not only Price who does well striking out the Rays, as they have a very high 25.3% K-Rate against lefties.  Price has a 24.0% K-Rate on the year and a decent xFIP of 3.42.  This should be a banner performance.
  2. James Taillon vs. Astros – Speaking of strikeout prone teams, the Astros certainly fit that bill.  Houston has a 24.2% K-Rate against righties, and Taillon has found his strikeout pitch recently.  Taillon’s K-Rate is up 20.8% in the 2nd half and his 2nd half ERA is an elite 2.37.  He is comparatively cheap on the big sites and is a nice GPP play.

Weather to Target or Avoid:

  • NONE!  Let’s play ball

Platoon Split Hitters:

  1. Hanley Ramirez vs. Blake Snell – Hanley is pummeling lefties this year with a .442 wOBA and 178 wRC+.
  2. David Dahl vs. Jimmy Nelson – Dahl is hitting well against righties with a .406 wOBA and 137 wRC+.

Any more questions? Hit me up on Twitter @AssemblyNeil

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Neil
Neil has been an avid fantasy sports player since 1991 and a profitable low stakes DFS grinder since 2014. Neil is ranked in the top 20% of DFS players in 3 sports and in the top 10% of DFS players for his stakes per RotoGrinders rankings. As a native Montrealer Neil hopes to get a Major League Baseball team back to his hometown some day soon.