Midseason top-100 prospect update

2016 Prospect Ranking LogoIt’s that time of year where we all want to see what has changed in the world of prospects with midseason updates. This list is created for fantasy purposes only. Players with elite defensive tools are going to be ranked lower here than other places.

The only way defense is factored in is when taking into account a player staying at a position or having the defense lengthen his potential major league career.

For this list, all prospects that are prospect eligible were considered. Players that appear to be in the major leagues for good like Tim Anderson, Blake Snell, Willson Contreras, etc. were left off this list.

Any stats that were used were as of July 7th.

Rank Player Position Team Level Age
1 Lucas Giolito P WAS AAA 21
This is an ace in the making. Buy “low” based on his last start if you somehow can.
2 Yoan Moncada 2B BOS AA 21
Will be a 20/20 machine in the majors with even more steals upside. 
3 Julio Urias P LAD AAA 19
Only reason he is not number two is I think it is a while before the Dodgers really let him loose, and by then Moncada might already be up and dominating.
4 Alex Bregman SS HOU AAA 22
He is just dominating at every level and is already knocking on the door for a promotion.
5 Alex Reyes P STL AAA 21
Hitting a rough patch right now, but don’t worry. Buy low if you can.
6 Tyler Glasnow P PIT AAA 22
Walks are an issue, but the stuff is great. 
7 Austin Meadows OF PIT AAA 21
No where to play in the majors at the moment, but the talent is worthy of the ranking.
8 Brendan Rodgers SS COL A 19
He’s 19 in A ball and already this high. Oh and his future home field is in Colorado
9 Jose Berrios P MIN AAA 22
He had a few bad starts in the majors. If he had just stayed in the minors no one would have him outside thetop-10
10 Joey Gallo OF TEX AAA 22
The power potential is still there. The strikeouts and average are what keep him out of the top-5
11 Clint Frazier OF CLE AA 21
Quietly having a great season in AA.
12 David Dahl OF COL AAA 22
The potential stats he could put up in Colorado are mouth watering.
13 Andrew Benintendi OF BOS AA 21
Had a rough start to AA, but he is back on track now.
14 Bradley Zimmer OF CLE AA 23
I have gone back and forth on him 100 times. Strikeouts are scary but the power speed combination is so interesting.
15 Trea Turner SS WAS AAA 23
As time goes on I get less and less interested. With that said he is still a top-20 prospect.
16 Lewis Brinson OF TEX AA 22
Having a really bad season. I still have faith.
17 Dan Vogelbach 1B CHC AAA 23
On another team he would probably be in the majors right now putting up eye popping rookie numbers. The power isn’t elite, but it is still plus.
18 Manuel Margot OF SD AAA 21
He might hit 10 homers per season in the majors. You’re hoping for 30 plus steals if you are investing.
19 Rafael Devers 3B BOS A+ 19
Really struggle to find his stroke this season.
20 Dansby Swanson SS ATL AA 22
He is officially the shortstop of the future. If you like safety he is your prospect.
21 Jorge Mateo SS NYY A+ 21
Don’t expect any power whatsoever, but 50 plus steals is a possibility.
22 Victor Robles OF WAS A+ 19
He isn’t putting up the insane numbers he was putting up in low-A but he still looks like a future MLB player. There is a lot of risk here though.
23 Aaron Judge OF NYY AAA 24
He is starting to live up to the potential finally. I would be surprised if he doesn’t get a look this season. Wrote about him 2 weeks ago.
24 Raimel Tapia OF COL AA 22
Extra base hits should be easy for him. The field could help him hit 20 HR with 25 steals, but the power might be closer to 15 HR. It should all come with an average near .300
25 Josh Hader P MIL AAA 22
Two awful starts in the hitter friendly PCL. I am still drinking the Haderaid.
26 Frankln Barretto SS OAK AA 20
He is improving and I like his speed and hit tools more than another shortstop prospect that you might think I forgot about.
27 Josh Bell 1B PIT AAA 23
He can hit but the power won’t be anything to write home about for a first baseman.
28 Nick Williams OF PHI AAA 22
No elite tools but being on the cusp of a promotion and being able to provide decent numbers across the board is worth investing in.
29 J.P. Crawford SS PHI AAA 21
He only has 22 homers over 1400 AB, and while he has 60 steals he was caught 30 times. He will have a long career and that is great, but he’s never going to be much more than borderline top-10 shortstop.
30 Ozzie Albies 2B ATL AA 19
Held his own against much older competition in AAA. Now back in AA playing 2B alongside Dansby Swanson.
31 Jose De Leon P LAD AAA 23
Injuries haven’t let him pitch a lot, but the numbers have been great. If it wasn’t for his injuries he might already be in the majors.
32 Jeff Hoffman P COL AAA 23
Colorado is always going to scare me but this is a bet on the talent. If it wasn’t for his future place of emplyoment he might be 10-15 spots higher.
33 Hunter Renfroe OF SD AAA 24
He should be the next man up once there’s an opening in the OF. There is strikeout risk, but he should be a future 30 home run hitter in the majors.
34 Ian Happ 2B/OF CHC AA 21
The jump to AA has come with even better numbers. Happ could be a nice five category player. Good thing he has a clear path to playing time, just kidding.
35 Derek Fisher OF HOU AA 22
I was excited about him after last season. This season is just adding to it. He is on his way to a 25-30 after going 24 and 34 last season.
36 Willie Calhoun 2B LAD AA 21
Once the low BABIP normalizes the average will get near .300 again. The strikeout rate is near elite levels, and he has 25 plus HR power.
37 Amir Garrett P CIN AAA 24
There is so much potential here. If he can figure out his walk issues he could be a top of the rotation arm. He should be in the majors this year. 
38 Reynaldo Lopez P WAS AAA 22
His strikeout rate is great. He is close to a call up, maybe as a bullpen arm for this season.
39 Kyle Tucker OF HOU A 19
The power hasn’t come at all like it was supposed to, but he is on a crazy stolen base pace.
40 Jacob Nottingham C MIL AA 21
It pains me to have a true catcher this high. The average and home runs don’t serve justice for what he can do in the majors.
41 Gleyber Torres SS CHC A+ 19
Having a bit of a power breakout this season. He has 15 steal potential, and if the power is legit this could be a high end shortstop in a few years.
42 Alex Verdugo OF LAD AA 20
On a 20 homer pace and he has a .293 average. There is more room for upside. His BABIP is significantly lower than his career average.
43 Anderson Espinoza P BOS A 18
He throws hard which could put him at risk for injury. The fastball is so good that I wouldn’t worry about the numbers yet, he is still learning how to pitch.
44 Brett Phillips OF MIL AA 22
The strikeout rate is really high this season, maybe a result of selling out for more power. This could lead to a 30/15/.260 future instead of a 20/20/.290 one.
45 Ryan McMahon 3B COL AA 21
The numbers this year are sickening. He has always had a high K rate, but it is even higher this year. This could be a make or break second half for him.
46 Jesse Winker OF CIN AAA 22
Where is that power we were supposed to get? If you’re investing you are hoping for 10 plus homers in the seond half.
47 Joe Musgrove P HOU AAA 23
No one expected him to keep up his AA numbers, but AAA has been rough for him. No elite upside but he should deliver a solid ERA, WHIP and K rate.
48 Brent Honeywell P TB AA 21
I am not really sure why he is still in high-A. Expect a promotion soon. The screwball can let him get both lefties and righties out.
49 Bobby Bradley 1B CLE A+ 20
He hit 27 HR in 401 AB last season and is on pace for a similar season. He is looking like a three true outcome player in the majors, if he makes it there.
50 Jake Thompson P PHI AAA 22
Upside? Not so much. The safety and proximity to the majors is good enough at this point.

Rank Player Position Team Level Age
51 Corey Ray OF MIL A+ 21
They sent him directly to high-A. Ray is safe and he can provide numbers across the board.
52 Jason Groome P BOS R 17
He is here provided that he signes with the Red Sox before the deadline. He has by far the most upside of any player from this year’s draft.
53 Kolby Allard P ATL A 18
I still love his upside. Ignore the season long stats and invest now if you can.
54 Kyle Lewis OF SEA R 20
The most power from this year’s draft class. He already has three homers in his short time in the minors. 
55 Jorge Alfaro C PHI AA 23
There is a really interesting combination of power and average, and his 16 SB in 2013 can’t go unnoticed for a catcher.
56 Ahmed Rosario SS NYM AA 20
The average has been fantastic this year, and I think there is more potential for steals. But if he doesn’t steal 20 bases he’s not worth this high of a rank.
57 Tyler O’Neill OF SEA AA 21
Maybe the most underrated player to have 60 HR across two seasons. This year we saw a bump in batting average and decreased strikeout rate.
58 Trey Mancini 1B BAL AAA 24
Wrote about him recently. He is really making a case to get called up. The problem is there is absolutely no place for him to play.
59 Chris Shaw 1B SF AA 22
Already in AA after being drafted last season. He has is nearing the 30 home run mark for his career in only about 500 at bats.
60 Nick Senzel 3B CIN A 21
He is really safe. I don’t know if he ever has a top-5 season at the position, but year in and year out he should be starting calibar.
61 Robert Stephenson P CIN AAA 23
The walks are still an issue but he is managing to work around them. He had a couple good starts in the majors this season.
62 Rowdy Tellez 1B TOR AA 21
Has been on an absolute tear after a bad start. 
63 Orlando Arcia SS MIL AAA 21
I am not super excited about his potential. He should be in the majors at some point this season. Use that chance to flip him for something else.
64 Brady Aiken P CLE R 19
That upside that made him the number one pick a couple years ago is still there.
65 Eloy Jimenez OF CHC A 19
A big 2016 breakout this season. I worry that a large part of it is due to an increased BABIP.
66 Blake Rutherford OF NYY R 19
Went from one of the top players to the middle of the 1st round because his senior season wasn’t an improvement over his impressive junior year.
67 Roman Quinn OF PHI AA 23
This is all about the steals potential. He might steal 50 this season.
68 Harrison Bader OF STL AAA 22
A boring Cardinals prospect that will probably get to the majors and be a good, but not great, fantasy asset in a packed lineup.
69 Ronald Acuna OF ATL A 18
Flying up lists because he could be “this year’s Robles” by many accounts. I am interested but temper the expectations a bit for now.
70 Cody Reed P ARZ A+ 20
Having a tough time at high-A so far, but has looked good overall this season.
71 Rhys Hoskins 1B PHI AA 23
Unlike his teammate Dylan Cozens he is doing it at every ballpark.
72 Christin Stewart OF DET A+ 22
Your home run leader from the 2015 draft class.
73 Grant Holmes P LAD A+ 20
Another solid season and still only 20. Maybe he gets moved at the deadline. Either way he still has a few years before he is major league relevant.
74 Cal Quantrill P SD R 21
Remember when you see his final numbers he missed time due to Tommy John. Without injury concerns he might battle Groome as the top arm from the draft.
75 Sean Reid-Foley P TOR A+ 20
He is really looking good this season. The great numbers haven’t stopped even after a promotion to high-A.
76 Gary Sanchez C NYY AAA 23
Mid teens power with not the greatest average, but at catcher at this point if you can walk and chew gum at the same time you might be borderline top-10.
77 Sam Travis 1B BOS AAA 22
A torn ACL ended his season. Don’t forget about him though.
78 Ke’Bryan Hayes 3B PIT A 19
He hasn’t done anything special to date, but I am a believer in his hit tool.
79 Willy Adames SS TB AA 20
A power outburst this season. That outburst still only has him on pace for the mid teens in homers. I think that is his ceiling. This is a safety pick, not upside.
80 Cody Bellinger 1B LAD AA 20
The power isn’t as good as last season. I still think he can hit 25 homers in the majors consistently.
81 Sandy Alcantara P STL A 20
That strikeout potential is so mouth watering.
82 David Paulino P HOU AA 22
Over a strikeout per inning with a miniscule ERA and WHIP this season.
83 Riley Pint P COL R 18
High risk high reward. Throws hard and plays in Colorado.
84 Hunter Harvey P BAL SS 21
This is the last time he makes one of my lists, I swear. Unless he has a good year then you’ll be seeing him again.
85 Josh Naylor 1B MIA A 19
He is 19 and still has a lot of power potential to grow into.
86 Tyler Jay P MIN A+ 22
Could be a nice middle of the rotation starter. It just might not be until hes 25.
87 Nick Gordon SS MIN A+ 20
Doesn’t have the speed like his brother has but the hit tool along with solid speed is good enough.
88 Domingo Acevedo P NYY A+ 22
Just wrote about him last week
89 Aaron Blair P ATL AAA 24
He is not a stud in the making but he is a solid pitcher. Don’t forget about him because he had a handful of bad starts in the majors.
90 Raul Mondesi Jr. SS KC AA 20
The power this year is nice to see. I just don’t know if I believe it. If it’s for real he could be top-50 next year. If not he isn’t worth anything to me.
91 Marcos Diplan P MIL A 19
Putting up some pretty nice numbers this season. 
92 Chris Paddack P SD A 20
He has a great changeup and that is a big reason for his success. I would love to see what he can do in AA.
93 Zach Collins C/1B CHW R 21
He has a slightly better chance to stay at catcher than the next guy and has a really good hit tool.
94 Matt Thaiss C/1B LAA R 21
It doesn’t look like he will stay at catcher. The bat is still good enoguh to play elsewhere.
95 Francis Martes P HOU AA 20
He is bouncing back after a pretty ugly start to the season.
96 Mickey Moniak OF PHI R 18
He is safe with a nice hit tool and speed. If he can develop power look out. I don’t know if he does.
97 Jake Bauers OF TB AA 20
The numbers he is putting up in AA are good, and he’s only 20.
98 Jack Flaherty P STL A+ 20
He has had a strikeout per inning since joining the majors. He is in a good organization for development too.
99 Jacob Faria P TB AAA 22
Something happened in AA last season. Since then he has been striking out 10 plus batters per nine. The big issue is the walks which is bordering on 10%.
100 Tyler Beede P SF AA 23
Reports say his velocity is back up and he has improved the walk rate in a second go around at AA.

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Andy Germani

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I am a lifelong Pittsburgh sports fan and a graduate from Penn State. Baseball was my first love and I still play to this day in an adult baseball league. I always love helping people with their questions on Twitter so feel free to follow me and ask questions.

2 thoughts on “Midseason top-100 prospect update”

  1. Thanks for putting this together. I hope you take a closer look at Adames for your next list. As a 20 year old in AA, that’s plenty of power. As a SS in AA, that’s plenty of power. As a 20 year old SS in AA, that’s superstar potential. 48 XBH in 480 PA. What more power do you want?

  2. I think the power this season is more of his ceiling than something we can expect year in and year out. In the end he only ended up with 11.

    While it came as a 20-year-old in AA, which means it could easily be improved upon as he matures, I would rather see him do it again before I believed in it as a weekly thing. Prior to this season he had 13 career homers in 1237 PAs.

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