Minor league report: Tellez bounces back after a rough start

This week is a little different than past weeks. There are no guys who were consistent top-100 prospects according to preseason consensus ranks that are trending up. There were more prospects that intrigued me this week that were pretty far off the radar than prospects that were highly touted preseason.

Feel free to ask about any prospects in the comment section below or prospects to take a look at in future editions.

Outside the top-100

Rowdy Tellez

  • May 22-June 5: .327/.419/.615, 7 2B, 2 HR, 10 K, 7 BB, 0 SB
  • 2016: .251/.366/.482, 13 2B, 9 HR, 43 K, 34 BB, 0 SB

Tellez has really turned it around after a really bad start to the season where he was hitting in the .140s in mid-May. Tellez really turned some heads in the Arizona Fall League and it had some people excited for what he could do in 2016. What I am really liking this year are his walks, 34 in 224 plate appearances good for an outrageous 15 percent walk rate with a 19 percent strikeout rate. Tellez is the first baseman of the future in Toronto. Tellez could pick up right where power hitters Edwin Encarnacion and Jose Bautista leave off.

Roman Quinn

  • May 22-June 5: .373/.397/.559, 5 2B, 2 HR, 13 K, 3 BB, 7 SB
  • 2016: .289/.360/.422, 10 2B, 3 HR, 53 K, 19 BB, 25 SB

Quinn has been hampered by a variety of injuries over the past few seasons. Quinn is mostly known for his speed, he had 123 steals in just 279 games in his first four minor league seasons. He doesn’t have much power, only 20 in 328 games in the minors, but if he can hit 10 home runs to go with 40 stolen bases this can be a true difference maker in fantasy leagues. Ben Revere was a top-30 hitter last season and I think there is similar steal and average ability there with a little more power.

Arismendy Alcantara

  • May 22-June 5: .316/.328/.474, 5 2B, 0 HR, 16 K, 1 BB, 7 SB.
  • 2016: .267/.317/.445, 9 2B, 5 HR, 57 K, 14 BB, 20 SB

Remember him? He was a hot name before the 2014 and 2015 seasons, even making the jump to the majors in July. In 2015 he made the roster out of Spring Training, but after some struggles he was sent back down to AAA and hasn’t been back to the majors since. He really struggled in AAA last season only hitting .231 with 12 homers and 16 steals in 120 games. He isn’t setting the world on fire with the bat, but he is showing the speed that had a lot of people excited a few seasons ago. He even had a four-steal game on Saturday and has yet to be caught in his 20 attempts. The biggest issue is the plate discipline, note the strikeout to walk ratio. There is a good chance he gets moved this season in a deadline deal. At age 24 and no room on the big league roster the Cubs should be looking to move the former prospect.

Tyler O’Neill

  • May 22-June 5: .353/.435/.627, 6 2B, 2 HR, 14 K, 8 BB, 1 SB
  • 2016: .330/.395/.573, 16 2B, 10 HR, 58 K, 22 BB, 4 SB

He hit a very exciting 32 home runs in 2015 in high-A. He struck out a lot while doing that, but that comes with any power hitter. So far this season he is hitting for a better average and has cut the strikeouts to a more manageable 25 percent. In a really bad crop of prospects he stands out the most with his power upside. So far in the minors he has had at least a pace of 30 home run power in each season. If O’Neill can hit 25 plus home runs again this season his value in fantasy leagues should get a nice bump, just don’t expect him to keep the .300 average. I might even venture to say if he has another season where he flirts with 30 plus homers that this could be Joey Gallo light type prospect that you can get a lot cheaper.

Jonathan (JT) Brubaker

  • Last 3 starts: 13 innings, 2.77 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, 20 K, 5 BB
  • 2016: 56 innings, 3.70 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 68 K, 23 BB

The last three starts are pretty interesting, but if you make it the last two starts what does that do? His last two starts he has a 0.82 ERA with 18 strikeouts in 11 innings with only three walks. He isn’t really a prospect at all, he isn’t a top 20 prospect in the Pirates system alone. He is coming off of an 11 strikeout start that should definitely turn some heads. Keep him as a watch list candidate in the deepest of leagues. and if he has another big strikeout game go out and add him in really deep leagues. He is pretty far from being worth an add in leagues with 200 or less minor leaguers owned.

Angel Perdomo

  • Last 3 starts: 18 innings, 0.50 ERA, 0.72 WHIP, 18 K, 7 BB
  • 2016: 49 1/3 innings, 1.28 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, 62 K, 22 BB

A 6’6” lefty and he has a strikeout rate of 11.3 K/9. Ok I am interested. I put his last three starts stats up there for consistencies sake, but if that is extended to his last 36 and 2/3 innings he has a 0.74 ERA with 45 strikeouts. This is his first season where he started above rookie ball and he is impressing so far. He has a mid 90’s fastball that has nice movement. He doesn’t have great control but the stuff could help him become a starter. In a worst case scenario his fastball and left-handedness could play out of a major league bullpen. While that is nice for the Blue Jays, that doesn’t help fantasy owners all that much. This is another keep an eye on player unless the player pool in your league is near 500 minor leaguers owned.

Matt Cooper

  • Last 3 starts: 22 innings, 1.23 ERA, 0.50 WHIP, 31 K, 2 BB
  • 2016: 67 innings, 3.22 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 86 K, 18 BB

He is coming off of 12 and 11 strikeout games without a single walk. Pedigree or not that needs to be noticed. The strikeouts aren’t all that surprising after posting a 12.4 K/9 in 2014 followed by a 13.1 K/9 last year. The track record and recent performances would make me place Cooper above Perdomo and Brubaker in terms of who I would add.




Cause for concern?

Jose Peraza

  • May 22-June 5: .310/.333/.414, 2 2B, 0 HR, 6 K, 2 BB, 2 SB
  • 2016: .293/.330/.380, 9 2B, 1 HR, 30 K, 12 BB, 8 SB

How can a guy with a slash line like that be a concern? He isn’t stealing bases and that is really all he provides as a fantasy prospect. There is next to no power, and if he can’t steal more than 25 bases there isn’t much to see here. Don’t invest in shallower leagues.

J.P. Crawford

  • May 22-June 5: .189/.295/.208, 1 2B, 0 HR, 9 K, 8 BB, 1 SB
  • 2016: .240/.368/.333, 9 2B, 3 HR, 31 K, 39 BB, 6 SB

The good news is Crawford has still been walking at a crazy rate. The bad news is he isn’t hitting well. Why am I not concerned even a little bit? He is having a career worst BABIP. Crawford’s BABIP is usually up around .300 and it is down to .217 since his call up to AAA. Crawford isn’t an elite hitting prospect in my eyes, but he has a great glove and gets on base at a great rate. He is a better asset in OBP and points leagues, but don’t be afraid to trade him away in formats where he doesn’t get credit for the walks. He hasn’t hit more than 11 home runs or stolen more than 24 bases in a season, and the average has only been over .300 once – that was when he spent most of the season in rookie ball.

Checking in

  • Austin Meadows is now up to .450 in his last 10 games with five steals.
  • Nick Williams has three home runs and a .366 average in the past 10 games, but it comes with 14 strikeouts.
  • Erick Fedde was placed on the minor league DL last week.
  • Reese McGuire has struggled lately, but the glove should still keep him as an interesting guy in deep two catcher leagues.
  • Sandy Alcantara has back-to-back dreadful starts with 10 earned runs in 10 innings.
  • Michael Gettys is striking out more frequently lately and the average is taking a hit.
  • Aaron Judge has no home runs in the past 10 games with 11 strikeouts.
  • Cody Bellinger is really coming alive; he has a .349/.426/.651 slash line since May 11.
  • Dylan Cozens is hitting .275 in his last 10 games with 15 strikeouts.
  • Hunter Dozier has an avenue to playing time at third and is hitting .283 since his promotion to AAA.
  • Edwin Diaz got called up to the majors to what looks like a middle relief role.

 

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Andy Germani
I am a lifelong Pittsburgh sports fan and a graduate from Penn State. Baseball was my first love and I still play to this day in an adult baseball league. I always love helping people with their questions on Twitter so feel free to follow me and ask questions.