Daily Fantasy Quick Hits – April 27

Neil previews today’s game action and shares his top DFS Plays for April 27

DFS Baseball LogoToday is a weird day for daily fantasy.  Jake Arrieta is the clear and obvious play at pitcher, but he is very expensive.  And the Rockies get a sweetheart match-up against a lefty at Coors.  I think there will be a lot of lineup overlap.  In GPPs, there are some decent plays – even the Phillies versus Gio Gonzalez tickles my fancy a bit.  Let’s get right to it. 

Here are your quick hit thoughts for today:

Batter versus Pitcher Warriors:

  1. Geovany Soto vs. Chris Young – 4/9 with 2 homers
  2. Mark Reynolds vs. Jon Niese – 8/15 with 2 homers and walk
  3. Matt Wieters vs. Matt Moore – 8/17 with 2 homers a double and 3 walks
  4. Marwin Gonzalez vs. Hisashi Iwakuma – 8/14 with a double and a homer

Stacks to Target:

  1. Pirates and especially Rockies – Coors Field effect.  The Rockies have a collective .392/.429/.605 line against Niese.  And of course, it is Coors so target hitting
  2. Rangers vs. CC Sabathia – The Rangers have smoked CC to a collective .330/.363/.464 line led by Elvis Andrus (10/22).
  3. Red Sox vs. Bud Norris – Bud Norris is bad.  The Red Sox can hit.

Weather Factors to Target or Avoid:

  1. Padres at Giants15 MPH wind blowing out with some rain possible
  2. Brewers at Cubs – 16 MPH wind blowing in with rain possible
  3. Indians at Twins – 15 MPH wind blowing in with rain possible
  4. Royals at Angels – 12 MPH wind blowing out

Sneaky Pitchers of the Day:

  1. Marco Estrada vs. White Sox – Estrada has not yielded a run at home this year after a sparkling 2015 in the Rogers Center where he had a 2.95 ERA and a .266 wOBA allowed.
  2. Steven Wright vs. Braves – Wright has a 1.40 ERA with 17 strikeouts in 19 innings.  His fastball usage is up and has been effective and he gets to challenge the weak Braves’ hitting lineup.

Sneaky Platoon Split Hitters:

  1. Darrin Ruf vs. Gio Gonzalez – Ruf has owned left-handed pitching in his career with a .401 wOBA and 156 wRC+.  He has been even better against Gio going 9/26 with 3 homers, 3 doubles and 8 walks.
  2. Ryan Raburn vs. Jon Niese – Raburn is a bit cheaper than some other Rockies, but he shouldn’t be.  He has a .519 wOBA and 206 wRC+ against lefties this year.  It is no fluke as he had a .423 wOBA and 173 wRC+ last season.

Any more questions? Hit me up on Twitter @AssemblyNeil

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Neil
Neil has been an avid fantasy sports player since 1991 and a profitable low stakes DFS grinder since 2014. Neil is ranked in the top 20% of DFS players in 3 sports and in the top 10% of DFS players for his stakes per RotoGrinders rankings. As a native Montrealer Neil hopes to get a Major League Baseball team back to his hometown some day soon.