Daily Fantasy Quick Hits – April 21

Neil previews today’s game action and shares his top DFS Plays for April 21.

DFS Baseball LogoWow – I thought yesterday was an ace day.  Today is even ace-ier with Kershaw, Scherzer, Price, Keuchel, Arrieta and Cole (and some other goodies) all pitching.  This is going to be a tricky day of DFS, so pay attention to your lefty-righty splits to get cheaper hitters and try to fit an ace or two into your lineups.  Let’s do this!

Here are your quick hit thoughts for today:

Batter versus Pitcher Warriors:

  1. Miguel Cabrera vs. Edinson Volquez – 5/8 with an extra base hit and 3 BB
  2. Kevin Pillar vs. Chris Tillman – 6/16 with 4 extra base hits including 3 homers
  3. Bryce Harper vs. Tom Koehler – 8/26 with 6 extra base hits including 5 homers and added 3 walks
  4. Russell Martin vs. Chris Tillman – 4/8 with an extra base hit and 3 walks

Stacks to Target:

  1. Blue Jays vs. Chris Tillman – As a group, the Blue Jays have hit Tillman extremely well with a .319/.383/.586 collective line including 13 homers.  The Jays haven’t been mashing like they are going to, and maybe they will be slightly less owned than usual.
  2. Royals vs. Mike Pelfrey – A collective .360/.420/.464 line for the defending champs against this middling starter.  If you can fit some Royals in your lineup, this is a great play.

Weather Factors to Target or Avoid:

  1. Seattle at Cleveland – Chance of rain
  2. Cubs at Cincinnati – Chance of rain

Sneaky Pitchers of the Day:

  1. Johnny Cueto vs. Diamondbacks – Ordinarily, Cueto would not be “sneaky”, but with the amount of elite pitching today, he may be a low-owned option.  He is 6-1 with a 2.54 ERA in his career against Arizona
  2. Shelby Miller vs. Giants – Miller has looked terrible thus far, but perhaps AT&T Park can cure what ails him.  He has a career 2.19 ERA and 1.054 WHIP there.  I can’t imagine Miller will be more than 5% owned, so not a bad GPP punt play.

Sneaky Platoon Split Hitters:

  1. Yunel Escobar vs. John Danks – Small sample size but Escobar has been a different player against lefties and righties this year.  Against righties, he has a punchless .184 wOBA and 15 wRC+.  Against lefties, he turns into vintage Barry Bonds with a .577 wOBA and 309 wRC+.  He is nicely priced and will hit at the top of the lineup.  Love this play today.
  2. Ben Zobrist vs. Brandon Finnegan – Zobrist’s splits aren’t quite as drastic as Escobar’s but he has also struggled versus righties and hit well against lefties thus far – which is actually a repeat of 2015 for him.  On the season, Zobrist has a .363 wOBA and 125 wRC+ versus lefties while he is hitting for a meager .251 wOBA and 52 wRC+ against righties.

Any more questions? Hit me up on Twitter @AssemblyNeil

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Neil
Neil has been an avid fantasy sports player since 1991 and a profitable low stakes DFS grinder since 2014. Neil is ranked in the top 20% of DFS players in 3 sports and in the top 10% of DFS players for his stakes per RotoGrinders rankings. As a native Montrealer Neil hopes to get a Major League Baseball team back to his hometown some day soon.
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