Last week I went over players to target in trades for dynasty leagues. This week I am going to the opposite side and finding players I think you should be looking to trade away – if possible. These players may not all necessarily be sell high; some will be players I think you should get rid of before their value tanks. Some names might be surprising, and some might be players you have already thought are big names to sell.
Kyle Schwarber – Cubs
I was a huge Schwarber fan when he was a prospect; a catcher who can hit up to 25-30 homers is valuable in fantasy. His average wasn’t expected to be spectacular, but a .250-.260 average with that power as a catcher is no problem. Schwarber came up to the majors and homered 16 times in only 69 games. The power for him is always going to be there, and while it looks like he will still have catcher eligibility next season with rumors of him getting catching time this season, I don’t think he can consistently hit more than 30 homers. I personally hate having a catcher be a big part of my dynasty roster (unless it is Buster Posey), but I see Schwarber having very similar numbers to Brian McCann this year — mid 20’s in homers with a low average, but Schwarber is younger and has more upside. I think now is the time to sell Schwarber. His value is pretty high right now, and you could get a pretty huge haul if you wanted to sell him now.
Freddie Freeman – Braves
Freeman hurt his wrist last season and has already had an issue with it this spring. While it wasn’t serious, more problems with it are a concern. Freeman never profiled as a big power hitter, but one would hope that he could have hit more than 23 homers in a season. The runs and RBIs have been there so far in his career, but check out the offense around him in Atlanta. The age will bring some appeal in trades because he will only be 26 on opening day. I don’t see him reaching the .319 average he had in 2013; he should be closer to a .290 hitter with around 20 homers. I think I would swap him with the first base buy I mentioned, Will Myers. You could probably get something else in return with Myers too.
Jason Kipnis – Indians
The power speed combination that a lot of people hoped for is slipping away. His steals have gone 31, 30, 22, and 12 — when the steals drop under 20 the mid teens homer run power becomes a lot less enticing. The new Kipnis is something closer to a 12 homer 20 steal player with a solid average around .290 and a lot of runs if he stays at the top of the order. I think he is a sell because outside of the top few players at second base, the position is so deep with solid talent. Kipnis doesn’t set himself apart, but his name should carry some nice trade value. Maybe you can deal him for help elsewhere and get another second baseman eligible guy like Matt Duffy who was nearly a Kipnis clone last year that will come a lot cheaper.
Todd Frazier – White Sox
Frazier has gotten off to red-hot starts the past two seasons only to completely fall off in the second half. The season end numbers are nice, but if you play in a head to head league he has killed your chances at a title more than once in the playoffs. A lot of people are onto Frazier and his second half struggles, but you might be able to find someone just looking at the year-end numbers or someone who thinks his move to Chicago will change things. Seller beware though – if he can figure out how to hit for the long haul he could be a 30 plus homer player with a .275 plus average.
Ian Desmond – Rangers
This might be one you have to wait until a few weeks into the season for. Odds are he is losing his precious shortstop eligibility this season so his value should plummet heading into 2017. I still believe in Desmond as a 20/20 potential player, although 20/15 might be more realistic at this point. No matter where he hits in the Texas lineup he should be able to provide some pretty nice run and RBI totals. Desmond should have a nice season for someone with shortstop eligibility, but his value is going down after this season. While he has the eligibility and is hitting he needs to be sold.
Charlie Blackmon – Rockies
He has three more seasons in Coors. While that seems like a long time, and we might like to think he isn’t a Coors product, it is hard to ignore the splits. While back to back great seasons are nice to look at, check out how he pulled them off. Blackmon had a .331/.390/.500 slash line in Coors and a .238/.300/.395 slash line on the road. The power speed combination should stick around no matter where he goes: he was a 7 homer 24 steal player at homer and a 10 homer 19 steal player on the road, but nearly 100 points in batting average is alarming. The Rockies also have David Dahl and Ramiel Tapia waiting in the wings to take over any starting outfield jobs.
Corey Dickerson – Rays
A plantar fascia injury kept him to only playing 65 games last season, but the numbers were there if you were to prorate it to a full season. A lot of people have already jumped off the Dickerson bandwagon and his value might be too low. There are some believers still out there, but like Blackmon there are alarming splits. He carries a career .355/.410/.675 slash line in Coors and a .249/.286/.410 slash on the road. Dickerson has some nice power, but I expect him to see a drop-off in his average if he wants to have 24 homers again like he did in 2014.
Christian Yelich – Marlins
Yelich is a breakout candidate for a lot of people this season. The once top prospect doesn’t have much power, and the steals are not elite enough to make him an exciting option for me. Yelich’s ceiling is 15 homers and 30 steals, but I see him as a consistent 12 homer 25 steal type player with an average hovering around .290-.300. There is nothing wrong with those numbers, but I think the perception of his value is a lot higher and you can get some nice pieces in return.
Jordan Zimmerman – Tigers
A lot of people are looking for a bounce back after a tough year in 2015. The strikeout rate has only reached 8.0 once since he has become a full-time starter. If he has another season with an ERA above 3.50 his value will fall significantly. People will still invest in the low strikeout rate as long as they believe the ERA and WHIP can be in the near elite range like 2013.
A.J. Ramos – Marlins
After the Carter Capps injury Ramos saw a big uptick in his value. Ramos was great last season and should be again this season. The issue I have with him is that in a year where he took over the closer role mid-season and had a 2.30 ERA, 1.01, WHIP, and 32 saves they threw him into a closer battle with Capps. That doesn’t instill a lot of confidence. While I think Capps might have been the better option, that doesn’t mean the Marlins should have been looking to replace Ramos. If he keeps the job he could be great again, but if he blows a couple saves they might be quick to replace him.
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