DFS August 19 – A Nightcap

DFS Baseball LogoNeil previews today’s game action and shares his top Draft Kings plays for August 19th.

Today we have 15 games on the MLB schedule kicking off at 1:05 p.m.  As always, make sure to check your lineup prior to game time for any last-minute scratches, and be sure to check the weather forecast which is looking iffy in the Diamondbacks/Pirates, Giants/Cardinals and Mariners/Rangers games.

I am opting to only play the night slate today as I feel better about those match-ups.  Today, I am rolling with some really strong batter versus pitcher match-ups, which is sometimes dangerous.  But the splits are so pronounced this time that I am feeling great about the lineup.  Let’s see how we do.

1. Jamie Garcia, SP, St. Louis Cardinals ($10,300)

Garcia has gone from a guy who looked like his career might be over to a truly dominant pitcher again.  In August, Garcia has a crazy 0.44 ERA which is over a full point lower than his season ERA of 1.57.  He has been especially stingy at home with a .219 wOBA against.  The Giants are in town, and they have not fared too well against lefties this year ranking 20th in OPS at .697.  While Garcia can’t possibly continue to be this good for the rest of the season, I think he will be great again tonight.

2. Nate Karns, SP, Tampa Bay Rays ($7,700)

The Astros are a nice team this year, but they still have a propensity to strike out, ranking 2nd in MLB in Ks.  Nate Karns has been a revelation this year, and has been especially good at striking batters out, ranking 9th in the American League in K/9 at 8.65.  DraftKings really rewards strikeouts and I think Karns will rack up plenty of Ks this evening at a pretty reasonable rate.

3. Miguel Cabrera, 1B, Detroit Tigers ($4,800)

Miguel Cabrera loves himself some Jon Lester.  In a fairly large sample size of 33 plate appearances, Miggy is 14/25 with 8 BB against the Cubs’ ace left-hander.  A pitcher as good as Lester is bound to make some adjustments, but until Cabrera has a rough game against him, I am going to roll with Miggy every time.

4. Troy Tulowitzki, SS, Toronto Blue Jays ($4,600)

Tulo has been dynamite this year against left-handed pitching with a .363/.395/.550 line.  Today he faces off against the Phillies’ Adam Morgan who has struggled against right-handed hitting, as they have a .358 wOBA and .490 slugging percentage against him.  If you can afford it, a Blue Jays stack is a nice play, but I especially like Tulo (as well as my next recommendation).

5. Josh Donaldson, 3B, Toronto Blue Jays ($5,900)

Donaldson is crazy expensive today, but as I mentioned above, Morgan struggles against lefties.  And as I have mentioned throughout the season, Donaldson absolutely destroys lefties.  On the season, he has hit .345/.410/.690 against southpaws and has shown no signs of slowing down.  Donaldson hit 2 homers last night and I think he will have another huge night tonight.

6. Darin Ruf, OF, Philadelphia Phillies ($2,200)

Ruf is the biggest bargain in DFS when he faces a left-handed starter.  On the year, he has hit a ridiculous .383/.465/.583 against opposite handed pitching.  Thankfully for smart DFS owners, he can’t hit a lick against righties, so his season stats look rather pedestrian.  But Ruf is a guy you should play against all lefties.  Today he faces Mark Buehrle who is definitely left-handed.  I am confident with Ruf in my lineup today.

7. Justin Maxwell, OF, San Francisco Giants ($2,300)

I very rarely play a hitter if I am also starting the opposing pitcher in DFS.  At this price, I am making an exception for Maxwell who has owned Jaime Garcia in his career.  In 14 plate appearances against Garcia, Maxwell has 6 hits, 3 walks and 4 extra-base hits.  I am kind of hedging here, but I am hoping for 10 points from Maxwell and a nice score from Garcia as well.

For my complete lineup, follow me on twitter @nschnurbach

 

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Neil
Neil has been an avid fantasy sports player since 1991 and a profitable low stakes DFS grinder since 2014. Neil is ranked in the top 20% of DFS players in 3 sports and in the top 10% of DFS players for his stakes per RotoGrinders rankings. As a native Montrealer Neil hopes to get a Major League Baseball team back to his hometown some day soon.