Neil previews today’s game action and shares his top Draft Kings plays for August 3rd.
Today we have 11 games on the MLB schedule kicking off with Minnesota at Toronto at 1:07 p.m. Be sure to check the weather forecasts before game times as always as there may be issues in the Cubs/Pirates and Mariners/Rockies games.
Make sure to check your lineups before game times for late scratches!
I just got back from a family vacation in Niagara Falls and what a great time it was. In fact, I enjoyed the family so much that I ignored DFS for an entire week. It’s been so long since I played DFS that the last time I entered a DraftKings contest, Lucas Duda only had 12 homers on the season, Troy Tulowitzki was still a Colorado Rockie and Zach Greinke had the longest current scoreless streak of any Dodgers pitcher.
I am looking forward to getting back my DFS mojo, and I feel like today’s lineup is going to be a good one. So let’s strap into our saddles and enjoy the ride. It should be a great last 2 months of both the MLB and the fantasy baseball seasons.
1. Francisco Liriano, SP, Pittsburgh Pirates ($10,800)
Liriano has always like facing the Chicago Cubs. In his career he is 4-2 with a 2.56 ERA and 11.2 K/9 in his starts against the Cubbies. His K/9 total is the highest he has against any team against whom he has pitched over 40 innings. In addition to all of that, he has held the current Cubs line-up to a .171/.296/.271 line. With the Chicago line-up’s propensity to strike out and Liriano’s good success against them, I feel like this is a nice anchor to my team.
2. Matt Cain, SP, San Francisco Giants ($7,000)
The Braves offense does not inspire fear in anyone as is evidenced by their .571 OPS over the last 7 days. They aren’t much better on the season as they rank 24th in OPS versus right-handed pitching. Matt Cain has been a monster at Turner Field throughout his career with a 2-1 record a 1.80 ERA, 1.050 WHIP and 8.1 K/9. This is a nice price and Cain should be good for 20 points today.
3. Logan Forsythe, 2B, Tampa Bay Rays ($3,600)
Some guys on the DraftKings board are always cheap because the site does not take platoon splits into account enough. Don’t fall into the trap of looking at season-long stats, watch for advantageous match-ups against a certain type of pitcher. Forsythe does not hit for much power against righty starters, but against lefties he is an excellent source of power. This season against southpaws his wRC+ is 163, wOBA .397 and OPS .937. Jose Quintana is an above average lefty, but at this price, Forsythe is a steal.
4. Kyle Seager, 3B, Seattle Mariners ($4,700)
Interestingly, Seager is a guy who does not have pronounced platoon splits, as he has actually hit same sided pitching better than opposite handed pitching this year. No matter as he faces off against Eddie Butler in Coors Field in a very juicy match-up. Butler has allowed lefties in Coors to hit him at an astounding rate of .377/.468/.558 this year. Seager should be able to take full advantage and maybe knock one out of the yard today.
5. Bryce Harper, OF, Washington Nationals ($5,700)
A couple of weeks ago, the Diamondbacks called up a pitcher named Zach Godley from the minor leagues who had an ERA of over 5.00 at AA. Somehow, Godley has managed to go 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA in his first two starts in the majors, but I think his luck ends today. Bryce Harper has an astounding 1.220 OPS at home against right-handed pitching and his eyes will likely light up when he sees the journeyman Godley on the mound. Bryce might go off today and despite the price, I am confident putting him in my line-up.
6. Preston Tucker, OF, Houston Astros ($3,600)
Tucker is another one of those guys that has extreme platoon splits that you need to take advantage of. Against lefties, Tucker is below replacement level. But against righties, he is a legitimate wrecking machine with a slash of .296/.356/.568. Today he gets to take his reps against Colby Lewis who has already allowed 16 homers this year. Tucker’s price is low, but against a hittable righty, he is certainly a safe bet.
7. Mark Trumbo, 1B/OF, Seattle Mariners ($4,000)
Make sure you check the Mariners lineup as it is very possible that Logan Morrison and Jesus Montero could be taking Trumbo’s spot in the order. But if Trumbo is in the game, I love him at Coors Field. In 44 career plate appearances there he has a .974 slugging percentage (not OPS – slugging percentage!) including 8 homers. Until Trumbo slows down at Coors, I will keep him on my roster at this price at that ballpark any time.
For my complete lineup, follow me on twitter @nschnurbach
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