DFS – Aug 1 – The Morning After

DFS Baseball LogoPaul previews today’s game action and shares his top Draft Kings plays for August 1st.

Today we have a full slate of games on the MLB schedule starting at 1:07 p.m. Keep an eye on the weather forecast, as there may be issues with the following game: Seattle at Minnesota.

Make sure to check your lineups before game times for late scratches or further weather issues. 

What a whirlwind of activity over the past few days in the major leagues. Some pitching rotations are in flux, but most of the hitters traded yesterday should be with their new ball clubs for today’s games. I enjoyed this deadline tremendously; from the Astros and Blue Jays bold moves, to the big 3-team deal. Heck, I even enjoyed the Tigers selling. I love everything about baseball, and while I never would have imagined it a year ago, I have grown pretty fond of making daily lineups too. Today is no different. My opening plan was to look at Indians LHH, Red Sox RHH, Royals RHH, Cubs LHH, Pirates LHH and then some Padres against Jose Urena. Let’s see what happened when I put it all together.

1. Lance Lynn, SP, St. Louis Cardinals ($10,200) Lynn takes on the Rockies at home, where he is 6-1 this year with a 1.77 ERA. He’s held the Rockies to a 1.37 ERA over 26.2 innings, although none this year. The Rockies as you know, are a completely different ball club on the road, with just a .295 wOBA and a near-25% K rate. Lynn is also on a roll, with a 1.80 ERA and 22 strikeouts spanning 20 innings over his past 3 starts. Vegas has the Cards as -175 favorites, and that’s good enough to make him my SP1 today. 

2. Aaron Nola, SP, Philadelphia Phillies ($5,700) Here’s what Will the Thrill wrote about Nola in this weekend’s Field of Streams

Nola could be a future ace for the Phillies; while the time is not now for that, it is certainly the perfect time for streaming. Nola has a tad bit of hype coming in, but unfortunately, only tad bit of major league sample size. As small a sample size as it is (just two starts), it’s what we’ve got to work with here so let’s go with it. Nola is striking out almost eight batters per nine innings and inducing ground balls at a 51% clip. Both of those are numbers I can work with. His FIP is close to 5.0 so perhaps the 3.29 ERA is not as deserved as we would like to believe. That being said, overall I like what Nola can do and what I like even more is this tasty matchup against the Bravos. Over the past two weeks, no team in the majors has a lower wOBA, ISO or fewer runs scored than Atlanta. Long story, short: the Braves are the tastiest streaming matchup going right now, so I am all in on Nola in this one.

Vegas has this pick as slight favorites with them giving Philly the nod at -115.

3. Jason Kipnis, 2B, Cleveland Indians ($5,000) I’ve got a few Cleveland left-handed hitters in my lineup today against Oakland RHP Aaron Brooks. Kipnis is outstanding against RHP, hitting .377 with an OPS over 1.000 for the year. He’s also hot right now, hitting .400 since the break. Brooks meanwhile I am going to pick on today, as he just isn’t very good, with ZiPS forecasting a 5.41 ERA the rest of the way. So far, he’s pitched just 4.1 innings, giving up a .333/.333/.667 line. 

4. Anthony Rizzo, 1B, Chicago Cubs ($4,900) Rizzo goes up against Matt Garza in Milwaukee today, having hit 2 home runs over the past 3 days. He is slowly turning things around after a slow July. He’s hitting RHP for power with a .526, while Garza gives up a lot of power to LHH (.493 SLG). Garza has given up 17 home runs (11 at home) already this year, and I’ve got my chips in on Rizzo continuing his hot-hitting and adding to that mark today. 

5. Michael Brantley, OF, Cleveland Indians ($4,800) Brantley has the 3rd highest wOBA of all outfielders in the second half at .479 (that’s a .667 SLG with a 1.132 OPS). As good as he’s been against LHP, he’s been outright awesome against RHP, with a 12.5% BB rate and just a 5.4% K rate. Today’s opponent is Aaron Brooks whom I suspect the Indians will knock out in short order. Brantley had just 2 days in all of July where he didn’t get on base; against this pitcher, the odds are pretty good he’ll start August the same way he has finished up July.

6. Josh Reddick, OF, Oakland Athletics ($4,300) Reddick is a hitting machine against RHP, batting .324 with a .901 OPS for the year. He slowed down in June, but has picked things right back up, hitting .325 and slugging .600 since the break. Today he goes up against Cody Anderson of the Indians who has a nice tidy 3.26 ERA but a 4.27 xFIP. What makes this match-up so good is that Anderson allows LH to hit him for power with a .524 SLG compared to just .289 against RHH. 

7. Xander Bogaerts, 3B, Boston Red Sox ($3,500) Bogaerts goes up against Matt Moore today in Boston, hitting .381 against LHP, and .345 at home for the year. He’s also hitting .379 in the second half, making this a perfect trifecta of goodness. Moore is struggling which makes this even better, with a 7.61 ERA while allowing RHH to slug .992 against him. Start XB with confidence!

Now that’s refreshing!
For my complete lineup, follow me on twitter @fantasyassembly

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Paul Hartman
Fantasy Baseball player since 1987. Creator of Fantasy Assembly, yet just fortunate enough to be a part of it.
Paul Hartman

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