DFS July 1 – Happy Canada Day!

 

Neil previews today’s game action and shares his top Draft Kings plays for July 1st .

Today we have 15 games on the MLB schedule starting at 12:35 p.m. Be sure to check the weather forecasts before game times as always – as there may be some inclement weather in the Cubs/Mets, White Sox/Cards and/or Nationals/Braves games.
Make sure to check your lineups before game times for late scratches!

Happy Canada Day everyone!  I was going to celebrate this festive occasion by selecting an all-Canadian themed line-up.  Of course, that line-up is far from optimal, so I decided against it.

But, just in case you think your resident Canadians will perform better on Canada Day, make sure to get Joey Votto, Brett Lawrie, Russell Martin and Dalton Pompey in your line-ups.  Bartolo Colon is also pitching and he is the last active Major League player who ever played for the Montreal Expos so there’s that.  And you can always stack Blue Jays in hono(u)r of Canada.

Since I assume most of you will forgo selecting players with Canadian ties, I have actually done some research and provide my real plays of the day below.  Let’s get on with it.

1. Wei-Yin Chen, SP, Baltimore Orioles ($8,200)

90% of the time, when there is an ace on the board, I grab him.  But I am taking two relatively cheap options today and getting some bats in my line-up.  Chen is having a nice season, ranking 9th in the American League with a 2.90 ERA.  His FIP sits at 4.12 which suggests regression, but Chen’s ERA has been better than his FIP for the entirety of his career.  The real reason that Chen is in my line-up today is because he faces the lefty heavy Rangers, who are excellent against RHP (.736 OPS, 11th in MLB) but dreadful against southpaws (.687 OPS, 4th worst in the American League).  I like Chen to shut down the Rangers line-up and score around 20 points today.

2. Chris Heston, SP, San Francisco Giants ($6,500)

I really like John Lackey and Johnny Cueto today, but for this price, I had to get Heston in my line-up.  Heston has more DraftKings points per game than pitchers like James Shields and Noah Syndergaard.  Equally importantly, he faces off against the Marlins who have a season OPS of .657 against right-handed pitching which is 27th in the majors.  And that .657 OPS includes the games when they had the great Giancarlo Stanton in their lineup.  The Marlins are punchless and Heston should be able to score 18-22 points.

3. Paul Goldschmidt, 1B, Arizona Diamondbacks ($5,900)

Goldschmidt is the best hitter in the majors this season against left-handed pitching with a .387/.465/.694 batting line.  Of course, he is not much worse against righties, but I digress.  Goldie also has owned the Dodgers’ southpaw Brett Anderson with a .636/.667/1.182 line over 12 plate appearances including 2 homers.  Goldie is the most expensive player on the board today, but he is worth it.

4. Jhonny Peralta, SS, St. Louis Cardinals ($3,800)

Jose Quintana of the White Sox has been pretty dynamite against left-handed hitting this year, but he has really struggled against righties who have a .356 wOBA against him on the season.  Peralta has slugged .540 against southpaws this year, including mashing 6 homers in 69 plate appearances.  I think Jhonny can hit a couple of rockets today and may even go deep.

5. Josh Reddick, OF, Oakland Athletics ($4,400)

Reddick would be a genuine MVP candidate if all pitchers were right-handed.  Against opposite handed pitching this year, Reddick has hit .327/.382/.546 with a .400 wOBA and RC+ of 163.  Contrast that with a .216 wOBA and 34 RC+ against lefties.  Lucky for us, Reddick faces a righty today in Chad Bettis and is not priced like the elite outfielder he is against righties.  I should also mention that Reddick’s home/road splits are also pronounced and he is at home today where he has mashed to the tune of .310/.380/.509.  Start him with confidence.

6. Michael Brantley, OF, Cleveland Indians ($4,500)

Brantley faces off against the Rays’ Alex Colome who has underwhelmed this year.  Brantley is one of the best hitters on the Indians and has hit righties at a .298/.388/.433 clip this year.  With his selectivity, I think a couple of knocks and a walk are very possible today.

7. Robinson Cano, 2B, Seattle Mariners ($3,600)

I usually reserve my 7-UP wildcard spot for the cheapest guy in my line-up.  Amazingly, this 6-time All-Star is my low-cost option today.  Cano may be struggling this year, but he will be glad to see James Shield on the bump, who he has owned to the tune of .402/.435/.690 in 92 plate appearances including 15 extra-base hits.

For my complete lineup, follow me on twitter @nschnurbach

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Neil

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Neil has been an avid fantasy sports player since 1991 and a profitable low stakes DFS grinder since 2014. Neil is ranked in the top 20% of DFS players in 3 sports and in the top 10% of DFS players for his stakes per RotoGrinders rankings. As a native Montrealer Neil hopes to get a Major League Baseball team back to his hometown some day soon.