DFS – June 30 – I Found Your SP, Neil

Paul previews today’s game action and shares his top Draft Kings plays for June 30th.

Today we have a full slate of games on the MLB schedule starting at 7:05 p.m. Keep an eye on the weather forecast, as there may be issues with the following games: Texas at Baltimore, Minnesota at Cincinnati.
Make sure to check your lineups before game times for late scratches or further weather issues. 

Yesterday, Neil asked where all of the starting pitchers were and I think we found the answer on today’s card. Instead of blowing my budget, I managed to find a couple great match-ups with the 7th and 8th highest priced arms today. As tempting as Sale always is, especially in an NL park, or Gray, Hamels or Lynn, I like my pairing more than any two arms for the price. There are also quite a few dud starters today, and I get to utilize my 65% remaining budget on some top producing hitters. I’m playing in the $115 K Moonshot for just $3 and I invite you to do the same. Here’s my lineup:

1. Danny Salazar, SP, Cleveland Indians ($9,200) Salazar is averaging as many FPPG on Draft Kings as Cole Hamels but at $1,100 less of an investment. Salazar faces the Rays, who are in the bottom third of teams offensively against RHP, and are 6th worst for K%. All that should add up to a big point day for the Cleveland right-hander who has a 30.4% K rate and a 2.81 xFIP. With a 4.06 ERA, things may not look so rosy, but he is the 5th best SP in the game as far as K%-BB% after Sale, Scherzer, Kershaw and Archer. Vegas has the game score at just 7 runs, with Cleveland as -115 favorites.

2. Jordan Zimmermann, SP, Washington Nationals ($8,400) If I can stay on budget with my SP having JZ as my SP2, then I’m doing okay. After a rough start on June 12th, Zimmermann has pitched 2 QS going 15 innings with 11 strikeouts and just 3 runs allowed. His 3.42 ERA may be better than his 4.00 xFIP, but that has decreased each month: April 4.43, May 3.87, and June 3.77. Zimmermann is also 5-2 lifetime against the Braves with a 2.84 ERA and 70 K in 79 innings. There are some red flags here admittedly, but even Vegas has the Nats as -120 favorites with just 6.5 runs as the over/under. For the price, I’m going all in on JZ.

3. David Ortiz, 1B, Boston Red Sox ($4,300) Ortiz goes up against Toronto RHP Marco Estrada today. Now Estrada has been excellent, but this is still the guy who has a 4.13 career ERA with 93 HR allowed in just over 600 innings. One of those home runs went to Ortiz, who also has a .444 OBP against Estrada lifetime. As bad as Ortiz has been this year, he still has an OPS of .930 against RHP this year, and he’s hit 6 home runs this month already. I love this match-up today!

4. Jose Altuve, 2B, Houston Astros ($4,900) With 2 home runs in the past 3 games and an 8 game hitting streak, it’s safe to say Altuve is out of his little slump. I’ll even admit to being a slightly nervous Altuve owner in a redraft league, but not any more! Today Altuve goes up against LHP Danny Duffy who he has just faced once, going 2-4. What’s more meaningful is Altuve’s line this year against all LHP of .337/.404/.435. There are plenty of spots to get cute and save a few bucks today, but I have no problem making him my highest priced hitter. 

5. George Springer, OF, Houston Astros ($4,300) As good as Altuve is against LHP, Springer may be even better with a .280/.396/.516 line for the year. Springer has seen his AVG, SLG, and OPS improve each month this year all the way to a .333/.391/.514 mark in June. He’s even 1-2 with a home run and 2 walks lifetime against Duffy. If that wasn’t enough, I failed to mention that Duffy is struggling mightily against RH hitters this year, allowing a .370 wOBA. It’s a perfect storm for some of Houston’s big RHH today, and I went with my top two. 

6. Joc Pederson, OF, Los Angeles Dodgers ($4,300) Pederson hit his 20th home run last night, 17th against RHP, bringing his OPS to nearly .950 against right-handers for the year. Today he faces Ruby de la Rosa in Arizona where left-handed hitters are crushing him to the tune of .300/.375/.603. It’s been a rough June for the rookie outfielder, but with a home run last night and de la Rosa today, Pederson has a chance to put it all behind him. Pederson already has one home run against de la Rosa this year, and it wouldn’t surprise me if he hit another one out today.

7. Jonathan Lucroy, C, Milwaukee Brewers ($3,100) Lucroy went 4-5 last night, bringing his average up to .279 in June after missing May and hitting just .133 in April. To say he struggled early would be being too kind. Today he goes up against his old friend Cole Hamels whom he has faced 15 times in his career and has a 1.303 OPS against. Lucroy is too good of a hitter to have stayed down for this long, and luckily we get him today before his price goes up.

For my complete lineup, follow me on twitter @fantasyassembly

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Paul Hartman

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Fantasy Baseball player since 1987. Creator of Fantasy Assembly, yet just fortunate enough to be a part of it.