DFS June 22 – Doing the Splits

 

Neil previews today’s game action and shares his top Draft Kings plays for June 22nd.

Today we have 7 games on the MLB schedule starting at 7:05 p.m.  Be sure to check the weather forecasts before game times as always but it does not look like weather will be an issue tonight.
Make sure to check your lineups before game times for late scratches!

We just finished one of the best days of the year – Father’s Day.  Some of my best childhood memories are of going to the Olympic Stadium with my dad and watching the Expos play.  We were blessed to get to see some all-time greats during my childhood years:  Tim Wallach, Tim Raines, Dennis Martinez, Al Oliver and, of course, Hall of Famers Andre Dawson and Gary Carter.

Unfortunately I don’t get to pick any Expos in DFS (I guess I can still choose former Expo Bartolo Colon when he pitches), but I can do something almost as fun.  I can select guys with great platoon splits.  Those of you who read me regularly will not be surprised that I am basing today’s lineup on lefty/righty splits.  Gotta stick with what works, right?  Of course right!  Today’s lineup features some good ones.  I have been on a good run recently, so hopefully all you guys will take advantage.  Onto to today’s picks:

1. Clayton Kershaw, SP, Los Angeles Dodgers ($12,700)

After riding Max Scherzer’s dominance into consecutive top 20 finishes in 10,000+ entry tournaments, I am as convinced as ever that picking the best ace on the board at all times is the way to go.  As a quick example, take these two pitching performances:  In his last time out versus Texas, Kershaw took the loss and had the following line 6 IP 5 HA 4R 3ER 1BB 10K and scored 21.5 points on DraftKings.  On May 29, Tim Hudson had the following line: 7 IP 5 HA 1R 1ER 0BB 4K and a win and scored 19.75 points on DraftKings.  So despite earning the win, pitching more innings, having a lower ERA and a lower WHIP, Hudson still didn’t outscore Kershaw.  Why?  Because the strikeout is key on DraftKings.  Kershaw faces off against a tough Cubs lineup, but they strike out the 2nd most in the majors.  Even if Clayton is off, he still leads the majors in K/9 at 11.8.  He’s worth the money.

2. Michael Pineda, SP, New York Yankees ($9,300)

Pineda has been lights out in Yankee Stadium this year with a 4-1 record, a 2.36 ERA, 0.942 WHIP and 10.8 K/9.  He gets to face off against the hapless Phillies who have the lowest OPS versus right-handed pitching on the season at .620 and the 2nd lowest road OPS on the season at .623.  Look for Pineda to dominate.

3. Brian Dozier, 2B, Minnesota Twins ($5,000)

I write this column on Monday, Wednesday and Friday.  That means when I write something on a Wednesday, it often still applies to the following Monday because the same pitchers are pitching.  So, once again, I remind you that John Danks cannot get right-handed hitters out and has let them hit .316/.359/.550 against him on the year.  Dozier has roasted Danks in his career to the tune of .400/.471/.667 and has slugged .549 on the season against lefties.  Dozier is expensive but worth it today.

4. David Freese, 3B, Los Angeles Angels ($3,900)

Freese has feasted on lefties throughout his whole career hitting them at a .304/.371/.472 clip.  His splits are actually not as impressive this year, but I will trust his longer track record and still believe that his numbers against lefties will rebound to career norms.  Today he faces off against lefty Brett Oberholzer, who he has hit decently well in a very small sample size (2/5).  Freese is an inexpensive option but I think he fits in nicely in today’s lineup. I love him at $3,900.

5. Scott Van Slyke, OF, Los Angeles Dodgers ($3,600)

Back in the mid-80s, one of the best opposing players in the league was the Pirates’ Andy Van Slyke who always used to come up with big hits against my Expos.  His son Scott is a pretty good player in his own right, especially when he faces off against lefties.  This year SVS has a slash line of .308/.419/.500 against left-handed pitching.  Today he faces off against lefty Tsuyoshi Wada, against whom he has hit .400 in his career.  This is a great price for the lefty basher and hopefully he comes through with 10+ points.

6. Ryan Raburn, OF, Cleveland Indians ($2,800)

One of the consistently great options against left-handed pitching is the Indians’ Ryan Raburn.  Raburn has hit .310/.392/.536 against lefties this season and manager Terry Francona always hits him 4th against southpaws.  Today, Raburn faces off against lefty Kyle Ryan of the Tigers and is priced at a mere $2,800.  If he continues to mash lefties at the pace he has thus far, he will well outperform that price.

 7. Kennys Vargas, 1B, Minnesota Twins ($3,200)

Vargas has hit lefties especially well in his latest major league stint, with a .340/.380/.404 line.  As I have mentioned several times in my last few columns, John Danks cannot get right-handed hitting out.  Vargas only has 5 career plate appearances against Danks but has 2 career hits against him.  I went a bit over budget on pitching, so I cut corners a bit at first base and think Vargas is worth the risk.

For my complete lineup, follow me on twitter @nschnurbach

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Neil

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Neil has been an avid fantasy sports player since 1991 and a profitable low stakes DFS grinder since 2014. Neil is ranked in the top 20% of DFS players in 3 sports and in the top 10% of DFS players for his stakes per RotoGrinders rankings. As a native Montrealer Neil hopes to get a Major League Baseball team back to his hometown some day soon.