Paul previews today’s game action and shares his top Draft Kings plays for June 14th.
Today we have a full slate of games on the MLB schedule starting at 1:08 p.m. As always, keep an eye on the weather forecast as there may be issues with the following games: Detroit at Chicago (AL), Texas at Kansas City.
Always make sure to check your lineups before game times for late scratches or further weather issues.
Today, and every Sunday will be about having fun with DFS at DraftKings. No worrying about losing any money, no risk to try a new strategy and no lying to your wife about your losses. We’re having Sunday FUNday here at Fantasy Assembly! You’ll need to sign up for DraftKings (no cost), and we’ll play for free every Sunday. Today the contest is just for the first 100 people, including some of the writers here. The top three finishers will have their names published next Sunday right here. Congratulations to last week’s winners!
To join in the free contest, click the magic hat and set your lineup. I’ll send you my recommendations below as well as my full lineup on twitter (@fantasyassembly). This is your chance to play with some of the team here at Fantasy Assembly risk-free each week, and maybe have your name published in our Winner’s Circle.
So play, and have yourself a Sunday FUNday!
Jim once again took the top showing from our team here, finishing in 9th place last week. I came in 21st, while Neil and Jake finished in 42nd and 48th respectively. I’m tired of congratulating Jim so I’m just going to wish him terrible luck today and move on.
There are a ton of great pitching options today with 5 SP priced over $10,000, meaning I absolutely had to pick the right one. It would be nearly impossible to start two of these aces today for anyone, so the right pick is critical to gaining an advantage over the rest of the field. I believe I have found the right one, as well as the perfect pairing to go with him. I still went $2,000 over budget with the arms so had to be creative when it came to my offense. Whether or not I’ve done it well remains to be seen, but hopefully I’ve at least provided a few lesser-owned options for your consideration today.
I increased the playing field today to 100 contestants, making an appearance in our Winner’s Circle that much more difficult. Are you up for the challenge?
1. Lance McCullers, SP, Houston Astros ($7,800) McCullers is combining a 29% K rate with a 49% GB rate and achieving incredible results. He is 2-1 with a 2.32 ERA and a 2.78 xFIP. In his 5 starts in the bigs, he is averaging 23.5 FPPG on Draft Kings, slightly more than Corey Kluber and Sonny Gray who are pitching today. His opponent this afternoon is the Seattle Mariners who are the 3rd worst offense in the majors against RHP. They have the 3rd highest K rate at 23.2% so I’d expect McCullers to continue striking out more than 1 per inning today. They are sitting at just a .292 OBP and the same mark for their combined wOBA. Vegas has Houston as -130 favorites today and I’d call McCullers the biggest SP bargain of the day.
2. Max Scherzer, SP, Washington Nationals ($11,700) Scherzer of course is the #1 SP on the board today with an incredible 26.5 FPPG (see what a bargain McCullers is now?). Today he goes up against the Brewers in Milwaukee, a team he has yet to get a win against. For his career he has struck out 13 Brewers in 13 innings with just 4 runs allowed, holding current team members to just a .095 average against him. The whole Brewers offense is ranked 23rd overall against RHP, but they strike out at a high 21.5%. As good as he has been in 2015, Scherzer has been even better on the road with a 1.55 ERA and a 33.5% K rate. Vegas has the Nats as -145 favorites and I’d expect a win and a boatload of strikeouts from the (early) leading NL Cy Young candidate.
3. Stephen Vogt, C, Oakland Athletics ($3,400) Vogt is having a tough June, after hitting 4 home runs in April and another 7 in May. Today he goes up against Matt Shoemaker of the Angels who has given up 13 HR this year, but currently sits at a 0% HR/FB for the month of June. While it looks like two players going in opposite directions, I like Vogt to correct this month’s anomalies for both players. In their two meetings this year, Vogt went 2-4 with a home run and a walk. This may not be a slam dunk choice, but at this price I will take Vogt’s .954 OPS against RHP.
4. Jason Kipnis, 2B, Cleveland Indians ($5,200) I had Kipnis in my lineup last week certain that he would destroy Bud Norris and the Orioles and he did not let me down. He had 3 hits, including a pair of doubles with a run scored for 15 PTS. Today he goes up against Alfredo Simon of the Tigers, who has a 2.76 ERA yet a 4.17 xFIP for the year. Regression is coming for Simon whom ZiPS and Steamer both project for an ERA over 4.50 for the rest of the year. As much as I hate to see it, this current Indians lineup has a .366 AVG against him lifetime. Kipnis should once against lead the way for the Indians, with his 1.058 OPS against RHP.
5. Marcell Ozuna, OF, Miami Marlins ($4,000) Ozuna faces off against LHP Jorge de la Rosa today in Miami where he’s hitting .324 for the year. Against left-handers he has a .425/.478/.650 line with 5 XBH in just 40 at bats. He has just 2 at bats lifetime against de la Rosa, but hit a double and a home run. That’s meaningless on its own, but with his numbers overall against LHP I am feeling pretty confident about this match up today.
6. David Murphy, OF, Cleveland Indians ($3,200) Murphy is my go-to guy against RHP because of the huge discounted price he’s typically set at. He’s hitting .339 for the year with nearly a .900 OPS strictly batting against right-handers this year. He’s had 11 PA against Simon in his career and has 4 hits and 2 walks for a 1.139 OPS. I hate going against Simon, but the numbers don’t lend to his being able to continue this string of excellence.
7. Jimmy Rollins, SS, Los Angeles Dodgers ($3,300) I know Rollins is scuffling pretty badly; that’s what makes this a wildcard pick. His 6.5 FPPG for the year is equal to Starlin Castro and Xander Bogaerts and slightly ahead of Ian Desmond and Elvis Andrus. His price tag? Much lower. Today he goes up against James Shields whom he has had a lot of success against, batting .500/.533/786 against in 15 PA. It’s a long-shot that he’ll have that level of success today, but for $3,300 I just need him to not be worse than he’s been all year.
For my complete lineup, follow me on twitter @fantasyassembly
Need more DFS picks, Waiver wire suggestions, prospect news and general fantasy baseball goodness, head on over to Fantasy Rundown.