KYLE SEAGER and the Silver Bullet Points

So you don’t know what to do with Kyle Seager?  Who does? Well, your uncle Will, that’s who!  Okay, don’t call me uncle Will, that’s kind of weird, I think.  But, the point of the matter is, I am gonna give you the 4-1-1 on Kyle Seager.  Seager had his best major league season in 2014.  But what do we do with that information?  Do we believe it?  Well, what do you actually know about Kyle Seager?  Cause, to tell you the truth, I was kind of, somewhat, oblivious to what Kyle Seager has been doing the past few seasons.  What better, and more definitive, way to learn about someone than with bullet points?

Okay, so my bullet points aren’t actually silver, but it worked better for the title, so let’s all move on, shall we? Great, here we go.

  • Kyle Seager’s home run total, batting average, isolated power, slugging percentage and on-base percentage have been higher than the previous season for the past two seasons.  So, to clarify, Seager’s numbers in these categories were higher in 2013 than they were in 2012 and the numbers in these categories were higher in 2014 than they were in 2013.
  • By Fangraphs.com offensive rating, Seager was number 11 amongst third basemen who qualified for the batting title in 2012.  So, not top ten, but good enough to start in mixed leagues with ten or more teams, as well as in AL-only leagues.
  • By Fangraphs.com offensive rating, Seager was number seven amongst third basemen who qualified for the batting title in 2013.  Number seven!  Now we’re cookin’!
  • By Fangraphs.com offensive rating, Seager was number four amongst third basemen who qualified for the batting title in 2014.  Number four.  FOUR!  That’s a fairly high-ranking, folks.
  • Kyle Seager was one of five qualifying third basemen with twenty or more home runs in 2014.  Seager was number three in this category.
  • Three, yes three third basemen in 2014 had more than 90 RBIs.  One of those three was Mister Kyle Seager.
  • Kyle Seager was number six in slugging percentage amongst qualifying third basemen in 2014.
  • Kyle Seager hits well at Safeco Field a notorious pitcher’s park.  Okay, so yeah, this is his home park, but still the numbers he puts up there are darned impressive.
  • Among 2014 players who will play third base in 2015, Seager landed at the number four spot on ESPN’s fancy shmancy Player Rater!  I don’t entirely know how this works, but it seems good for Kyle Seager.

Okay, so there are pah-lenty of good nuggets here.  You have to love the increase in homers, ISO, AVG, SLG, and OBP. S ure, this may be a bit simplistic, as trends can end at any time, but it is certainly a start, right?  You’re flimmin’ flammin’ right it is!  Kyle Seager will only be 27 when the 2015 season starts.  Now the prime of a hitter is somewhat arguable, but taking all the data and arguments into account, it seems like a hitter’s prime falls somewhere between the ages of 24-30.  So, Seager is smack dab in the middle of that span.

Now, Seager is right at the peak of his power or you know, peaking.  Either way, you are looking at, at least, a nice little plateau here.  If you go to Baseball-Reference and check out the top comps for Kyle Seager, through their age 26 you will find that most of the other fellas in the group played at or above their year age 26 numbers for at least 3-4 years.  Plus, Kyle is swinging a bit less and making contact a bit more and he has reduced his infield fly ball rate by a whopping five percent.  The batted ball and contact rate figures are headed in a great direction.  It is especially nice to see that contact rate increase as Seager matures as a hitter.  I mean, all of this goodness is happening, right as Seager heads into the sweet spot of his hitting career.  Color me on board with that!

Look, I am not saying Kyle Seager is the best third baseman since sliced bread or anything, but you have to, yes have to, like his current numbers and the way they have been trending over the past few seasons.  I am not sure Seager gets above or even back to the 2014 RBI numbers, but there is very little reason to think that he won’t get you 20-75-75 in your basic counting statistics for another four to five seasons.  Combine that with a batting average in the .260s and an OPS right around .800 in those seasons and you probably got yourself a top five third baseman over the next few seasons.  Obviously that is still kinda in the air, with some hot prospects en route, but since they are still to be proven, and third base in general is all over the place, Seager is a must keep in, well, keeper leagues, and a definite early grab in redraft leagues.

Will Emerson

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Affectionately know by close friends as Willie Moe, Will is back living in Boston after brief, 11 year stint, in upstate New York. Will loves numbers and baseball, so it is no surprise that he has been addicted to fantasy baseball for over two decades. That’s right, Will was playing fantasy baseball since before the internet was providing up to the minute stats and standings, and you had to get your hands inky checking box scores in the newspaper.