Week 15 Stream Team and Two Start Pitchers

The Stream Team feature is designed to help you identify the best pitching matchups for each week of the fantasy baseball season.  All pitchers with an average ownership below 40% in Yahoo! and ESPN Leagues are assigned a Matchup Score (MS), a score that weighs multiple factors in an effort to quantify how successful any pitcher will be on any given night.  You can learn more about how Matchup Scores are calculated by scrolling to the bottom of the page.

Before we get started analyzing streaming options for week 15 of the fantasy baseball season, it’s worth taking a look back at how the Stream Team recommendations performed in the month of June. During the month, 27 of my 30 recommendations made their scheduled start. Across those 27 starts, the Stream Team produced a fantastic 16-3 record with a 2.33 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, and 6.2 K/9.

Sure, the strikeouts are a little low, but when compared to this season’s qualified starters, the Stream Team would have the nineteenth best WHIP, the sixth best ERA, and the best wins to losses ratio of any pitcher in baseball. Put another way, over the past month the Stream Team produced elite numbers in three of four rotisserie categories. As for the strikeouts, low strikeout rates often accompany streaming since most pitchers with high strikeout rates are owned regardless of their other downfalls (think Tim Lincecum), but if strikeouts are important to your success, you can get the numbers you want when streaming, you simply need to avoid pitchers like Henderson Alvarez, Wei-yin Chen, and Josh Collmenter in favor of pitchers like Wade Miley, Trevor Bauer, and Jake Odorizzi. In my analysis of the best streaming options, I always point out which pitchers will help the most with regards to strikeouts.

As we look to keep things rolling into July, be sure to keep an eye out for any changes that teams make to their rotation. Due to the holiday weekend, I was forced to research week 15 matchups a day earlier than usual, and the approaching All Star Break increases the likelihood that teams skip bump a player here or there within their rotation. If any changes do take place and you’d like my thoughts on the change, or if you have any other questions or comments regarding pitching or fantasy baseball in general, your feedback is always welcome.

Now, without any further ado, here is your Week 15 Stream Team:

Monday – Chase Anderson vs Marlins (6.7 MS, Yahoo! 10%, ESPN 4%)

Tuesday – Brandon McCarthy vs Marlins (7.2 MS, Yahoo! 3%, ESPN 0%)

Wednesday – Josh Tomlin vs Yankees (6.9 MS, Yahoo! 6%, ESPN 2%)

Thursday – Aaron Harang at Mets (6.7 MS, Yahoo! 42%, ESPN 36%)

Friday – Andrew Heaney at Mets (7.6 MS, Yahoo 27%, ESPN 20%)

Saturday – Collin McHugh vs Red Sox (6.7 MS, Yahoo! 37%, ESPN 27%)

Sunday – Trevor Bauer at White Sox (6.5 MS, Yahoo! 14%, ESPN 3%)

 

 

TWO START PITCHERS

The following pitchers are owned in roughly 40% or less of Yahoo! and ESPN Leagues and are scheduled to make two starts in week 15.

Rank Pitcher Opp 1 MS Opp 2 MS Yahoo ESPN Total MS
1 Mike Leake vs CHC 7.2 vs PIT 6.1 45 44 13.4
2 Matt Shoemaker vs TOR 5.8 at TEX 6.4 13 5 12.1
3 Chase Anderson vs MIA 6.7 at SF 6.1 10 4 12.8
4 Trevor Bauer vs NYY 5.7 vs CHW 6.5 14 3 12.2
5 Jacob deGrom vs ATL 6.1 vs MIA 6.7 5 2 12.8
6 Jake Odorizzi vs KC 6.1 vs TOR 5.6 18 9 11.7
7 Carlos Martinez vs PIT 6.2 at MIL 5.5 30 2 11.7
8 Wei-Yin Chen at WAS 5.7 vs NYY 5.4 16 10 11.1
9 Clay Buchholz vs CHW 5.7 at HOU 6.2 39 22 11.9
10 Brandon Workman vs CHW 5.6 at HOU 6.5 7 2 12.1
11 Ryan Vogelsong at OAK 5.6 vs ARI 6.1 16 12 11.7
12 Tom Koehler at ARI 5.4 at NYM 6.5 18 8 11.9
13 Travis Wood at CIN 5.6 vs ATL 5.4 32 5 11.1
14 Vance Worley at STL 5.7 at CIN 5.3 10 7 11.0
15 Charlie Morton at STL 5.3 at CIN 5.7 20 13 11.0
16 Jason Vargas at TB 5.9 vs DET 5.3 40 39 11.2
17 Daisuke Matsuzaka vs ATL 5.5 vs MIA 5.7 6 1 11.1
18 Miles Mikolas vs HOU 6.2 vs LAA 4.6 0 0 10.8
19 Tyler Matzek vs SD 5.7 vs MIN 4.8 1 0 10.5
20 Edwin Jackson at CIN 4.8 vs ATL 5.5 2 0 10.4
21 Kyle Kendrick at MIL 4.7 vs WAS 5.1 2 1 9.8
22 John Danks at BOS 4.8 at CLE 5.0 7 3 9.8
23 Vidal Nuno at CLE 5.1 at BAL 4.7 1 0 9.8
24 Chris Young vs MIN 5.4 vs OAK 4.1 14 11 9.6
25 J.A. Happ at LAA 4.3 at TB 5.2 4 1 9.5
26 Chris Tillman at WAS 4.8 vs NYY 4.2 44 49 9.0
27 Kevin Correia at SEA 5.2 at COL 3.7 1 0 8.9
28 Scott Carroll at BOS 4.1 at CLE 4.3 0 0 8.4

 

TWO-START PITCHER ANALYSIS

Week 14 gave us Taijuan Walker, Collin McHugh, and Jesse Hahn as great two-start options. Week 15 isn’t nearly as intriguing at the top, but there are enough decent options this week that you should be able to find someone to help your team.

Mike Leake is owned in more than 40% of leagues, but I included him here because he is by far the best two-start option if he happens to be available in your league.

After Leake, I’m willing to overlook Matchup Scores and take my chances with Matt Shoemaker as my second ranked two-start pitcher. The Royals absolutely shelled Shoemaker on Sunday scoring eight runs on eleven hits in only four innings of work. Shoemaker’s velocity was down in the outing but everything looked back to normal in a quality start versus the Astros Thursday night. Among qualified starters only David Price, Stephen Strasburg, Corey Kluber, Felix Hernandez, Zack Greinke, and Masahiro Tanaka are striking out more batters and walking less batters than Shoemaker. Shoemaker needs to be owned in all formats and should be considered matchup proof for the time being.

After Shoemaker, there isn’t much that I really like if you play in leagues that allow daily changes. However, if your lineup locks at the beginning of the week, there are a number of options that are worth taking a chance on. Chase Anderson’s 18.2 K% and 7.5 BB% are hovering around the league average for starters (19.4% and 7.3%) and he draws two favorable matchups when he faces the Marlins (.301 wOBA vs RHP) and the Giants at AT&T Park (.97 Park Factor). Anderson has gone at least five innings in all eight of his starts this season and could turn in two quality starts if a few bounces go his way.

Trevor Bauer continues to exhibit enough control to suggest he could make a big impact in the second half. He has at least five strikeouts in eight of his nine starts and he’s walked more than two batters only once since May 31. While the rest of your league mates are scrambling to find the hottest prospect being called up from the minors, Bauer remains available in 97% of ESPN Leagues despite being a former third pick overall and only 23 years old. The only major blemish among Bauer’s peripherals right now is a 25% line drive rate, but even for a pitcher allowing so many well hit balls Bauer’s BABIP is clearly inflated. Bauer has two challenging matchups in week 15, but there’s enough here to warrant using him and in deeper leagues, he should be on your long-term solution radar.

Jacob deGrom isn’t striking out enough batters to justify using a pitcher walking nearly four batters per nine innings, and like Bauer, he has a worrisome 25% line drive rate. After enjoying some incredibly good fortune with a .211 BABIP through his first five starts, deGrom has had the misfortune of a .398 BABIP in his last five starts. Look for things to even out in week 15, and with two favorable matchups against the Braves and Marlins, deGrom is an option worth considering. Just know that he brings a certain amount of risk to the table.

Jake Odorizzi continues to strike out batters at elite levels and he seems to have his control in check. In his last eight starts dating back to May 25, Odorizzi has a 2.4 BB/9 while striking out nearly ten batters per nine innings of work. As long as Odorizzi isn’t walking close to four batters per nine innings, he needs to be owned in all formats. He has two very difficult matchups this week versus the Royals and Blue Jays, but he’s been good enough and has a high enough ceiling that I’d risk using him.

Like Odorizzi, Carlos Martinez offers great strikeout potential, but unlike Odorizzi, Martinez hasn’t capitalized on it yet. Martinez has the highest average fastball velocity (96.5 mph) of any pitcher to have thrown at least 40 innings this season and there are only three qualified starters in baseball with a higher swinging strike rate than Martinez’s 12.3%. Still, Martinez’s 19.7 K% hovers around the league average of 19.4%. His strikeout numbers are going to improve, and he struck out six batters in six innings in his start Thursday night. Thursday’s six inning start was also the longest of the season for Martinez as the Cardinals continue to stretch him out. While things are pointing up for Martinez, his control is still worrisome and the Pirates and Brewers are two tough matchups. I’d rather own Odorizzi for both week 15 and the 2014 season a this point, but there’s enough upside with Martinez to take a chance on him if he’s still available in your league.

When it comes to strike outs, Wei-Yin Chen finds himself at the other end of the spectrum, yet as a left-hander with fantastic control (he has the sixth lowest walk rate of any qualified starter in baseball), Chen typically avoids major damage and can help your fantasy team in the right situation. His HR/FB% is a bit inflated this season, and looking at his overall numbers I expect an ERA in the mid-threes from here out. This week he travels to the nation’s capital for an intriguing DH-less matchup with the Nationals before making his way to Yankee Stadium. I like the idea of streaming him versus the Nationals but the Yankees will be a bit riskier. He isn’t a great two-start option due to the matchups and the lack of upside, but I can see using him.

Clay Buchholz certainly hasn’t delivered on the promise painted by last year’s season, but he has looked better in two starts since returning from the disable list. In those two starts, Buchholz hasn’t walked a batter, but he’s also only struck out four batters across 13.2 innings of work. I’m not sure what to expect from Buchholz long-term and the White Sox are a difficult matchup for him, but if you believe he’s turned a corner (I don’t), go ahead and use him.

Buchholz’ teammate Brandon Workman managed a 3.27 ERA across his first six starts of the season, but he did it with an unsustainable .226 BABIP (his lowest BABIP at any point in the minors was .280). Then, in Workman’s seventh start on Tuesday, he was lit up by the Cubs and saw his ERA jump to 4.17. For a pitcher with below average strikeout rates, Workman is walking more batters than you’d like to see (3.1 BB/9). Couple that with the correction coming to his BABIP and I expect to see his ERA continue to climb. You need to be in a very deep league or in a very dire situation to take a shot with him.

In certain situations, I can also see taking a chance on Ryan Vogelsong, Tom Koehler, or Travis Wood, but all carry significant risk. Vogelsong has a tough matchup in the American League versus the Athletics. Koehler and Wood, on the other hand, just haven’t been very good this season. In very deep leagues where two-start pitchers gain a considerable edge, I can see taking a shot on these guys, but you’re probably better served looking elsewhere.

 

DAILY PITCHER ANALYSIS AND STREAMING RECOMMENDATIONS

Monday

MS Pitcher Opp Team Opp Pitcher Opp K% Opp wOBA Yahoo! ESPN
6.7 Chase Anderson vs MIA Koehler 24.1% .314 10 4
6.2 Miles Mikolas vs HOU Peacock 23.8% .298 0 0
6.1 Jake Odorizzi vs KC Shields 14.8% .309 18 9
5.7 Clay Buchholz vs CHW Caroll 22.6% .324 39 22
5.7 Tyler Matzek vs SD Kennedy 22.4% .248 1 0
5.6 Ryan Vogelsong at OAK Chavez 17.1% .333 16 12
5.5 Daisuke Matsuzaka vs ATL Minor 21.8% .292 6 1

 The majority of these pitchers were broken down in the analysis of two pitch pitchers, but it’s worth adding that the Royals chase rate on pitches outside the strike zone is the sixth highest in baseball. This makes Jake Odorizzi a slightly more intriguing option as it helps offset some concerns about his control. I would certainly use Odorizzi over Miles Mikolas. Mikolas doesn’t project as a quality pitcher at the major league option, and his Matchup Score in this contest is a result of a juicy matchup versus the Astros. I like to rely on data from the major league level as much as possible when streaming, and since we don’t have anything beyond one start for Mikolas, I won’t be using him.

Tyler Matzek also presents us with an intriguing dilemma as we have a case of the irresistible force colliding with the immovable object. I never stream start at Coors Field but I always stream against the Padres. Something has to give, and for me it’s the notion that I always stream against the Padres. Matzek simply isn’t worth the risk.

 

Tuesday

MS Pitcher Opp Team Opp Pitcher Opp K% Opp wOBA Yahoo! ESPN
7.2 Brandon McCarthy vs MIA TBA 24.1% .314 3 0
6.1 Jacob deGrom vs ATL Teheran 21.8% .292 5 2
5.9 Jason Vargas at TB Bedard 20.4% .296 40 39
5.8 Erik Bedard vs KC Vargas 15.9% .294 2 0
5.8 Matt Shoemaker vs TOR Dickey 18.1% .346 13 5
5.7 Trevor Bauer vs NYY Tanaka 18.4% .308 14 3
5.7 Vance Worley at STL Martinez 17.9% .303 10 7
5.6 Travis Wood at CIN Cueto 22.1% .283 32 5
5.6 Brandon Workman vs CHW Danks 22.6% .324 7 2
5.5 Carlos Martinez vs PIT Worley 20.2% .323 30 2

 Brandon McCarthy finally delivered a great outing after months of recommending him in this column. He held the Padres to a run on seven strikeouts and zero walks in seven innings of work last Friday. He then followed this outing with another strong outing where he struck out six in 5.2 innings of two run ball versus the Pirates. McCarthy has a strong matchup against the Marlins and I continue to believe his peripheral numbers suggest good things are on the way. His BABIP and HR/FB rates suggest he’s been terribly unlucky this year, while everything else in his profile suggests that he should be having a career year. I will use McCarthy heavily again this week.

As for the remaining options on Tuesday, there are a number of pitchers who I like using when I choose my streaming options, but each of them draws a difficult matchup this week. If I’m streaming here, I’d use Matt Shoemaker, Trevor Bauer, or Carlos Martinez first as each offers terrific strikeout potential. My next option would be Jacob deGrom simply because the Braves are the only team on this list offering a plus-matchup.

 

Wednesday

MS Pitcher Opp Team Opp Pitcher Opp K% Opp wOBA Yahoo! ESPN
6.9 Josh Tomlin vs NYY Whitley 18.4% .308 6 2
6.8 Roenis Elias vs MIN Gibson 21.6% .305 25 12
6.3 Jonathan Niese vs ATL Santana 24.6% .325 39 37
6.2 Josh Collmenter vs MIA Eovaldi 24.1% .314 7 2
6.2 Marcus Stroman at LAA Wilson 21.1% .325 19 6
5.8 Nathan Eovaldi at ARI Collmenter 19.6% .310 32 25
5.8 Tommy Milone at SF Cain 20.8% .297 14 8
5.7 Nick Tepesch vs HOU Keuchel 23.8% .298 1 0
5.7 Jorge De La Rosa vs SD Stults 22.4% .248 16 5
5.5 Miguel Gonzalez vs WAS Roark 21.9% .300 4 1

 Two weeks ago I broke down Josh Tomlin, showing how his peripherals were more or less identical to the much higher owned Tanner Roark, and when recommending him for his start against the Mariners, I pointed out that this was the first favorable matchup of the season. Tomlin delivered the best start of his career in the matchup as he struck out 11 batters and allowed only one hit and zero walks in a complete game shut-out. Of pitchers with at least sixty innings pitched, Tomlin has the six lowest walk rate in baseball and the 18th best K-BB%. Tomlin draws a difficult matchup with the Yankees, but he has done enough to be started in most matchups and is worth consideration as a long-term solution on your roster.

Roenis Elias slides in behind Tomlin on my rankings for Wednesday. Elias is an average pitcher pitching against a below average team – he’s worth a spot start. Of the remaining options, it’s a toss-up for me between Jonathan Niese, Nate Eovaldi, and Marcus Stroman. Stroman has the best long-term potential so I’d probably use him and hope that he continues to gain market value. The Braves hit left-handed pitching better than right-handed pitching which makes me a bit nervous about using Niese, but I’d probably still give him the slight edge over Eovaldi based on the Braves’ propensity for strikeouts.

 

Thursday’s Options

MS Pitcher Opp Team Opp Pitcher Opp K% Opp wOBA Yahoo! ESPN
6.7 Aaron Harang at NYM Colon 20.9% .296 42 36
5.9 Jose Quintana at BOS Lackey 21.3% .305 34 29
5.7 David Phelps at CLE House 19.5% .328 4 1
5.7 Drew Smyly at KC Guthrie 15.9% .294 26 48

 Owners are finally realizing that Aaron Harang’s fast start was a mirage and after seeing his ownership rise to nearly 100% earlier this season, he’s now below the 40% threshold for the Stream Team. That said, it took a matchup with the Mets at Citi Field on a Thursday for him to actually make the Stream Team, and he does so with a not that impressive 6.7 Matchup Score. June was an absolutely awful month for Harang, as his strikeout rate plummeted and his walk rate soared. Consider the following splits:

Month K% BB% wOBA ERA
May/April 25.3 9.6 .264 2.97
May 26.6 3.9 .325 3.68
June 12.7 12.1 .371 4.42

Throw in that Harang faced the Phillies twice and the Astros and Marlins once in June, and we’ve painted a picture of a pitcher who is probably best avoided. That said, if I need an arm on Thursday, Harang is the guy I’m turning to.

Of the remaining three options, I’d use Jose Quintana if I was targeting ratios and I’d use David Phelps if ERA and WHIP weren’t a concern and I was chasing strikeouts and a win. If all I wanted was a win, I’d roll the dice with Drew Smyly.

 

Friday’s Options

MS Pitcher Opp Team Opp Pitcher Opp K% Opp wOBA Yahoo! ESPN
7.6 Andrew Heaney at NYM Wheeler 24.6% 0.335 27 20
6.9 Jesse Hahn at LAD Haren 19.0% 0.334 43 39
6.5 Jake Peavy at HOU Feldman 23.8% 0.298 39 44
6.4 Mike Bolsinger at SF Lincecum 21.6% 0.301 1 1
6.1 Jeffe Locke at CIN Latos 22.1% 0.283 10 7
6.1 Taijuan Walker vs OAK Mills 17.1% 0.333 50 39

 Owners have quickly grown impatient with Andrew Heaney as his ownership has been cut in half in the span of one week. Their impatience is your great fortune as not only does Heaney draw a great matchup in week 15 versus the Mets, he’s also pitched well enough to continue to be owned in all formats. Heaney’s managed a terrific 4.5% walk rate in his first three starts and while he hasn’t struck out as many batters as you would like, his 10.9% swinging strike rate is identical to Yu Darvish’s. Strikeouts are on the way folks, trust me. If someone made the mistake of cutting Heaney in your league, he is the first pitcher you should be adding to your fantasy team this week.  He certainly has the ability to be a major contributor in the second half and with a few dominant starts, will have significant trade value in redraft leagues.

Included among Friday’s options are three pitchers whose ownership is above 40% but who are worth mentioning for one reason or another. Of the three, Jesse Hahn and Taijuan Walker need to be owned in all formats, as I wrote last week.  Hahn has been outright brilliant this season and Walker hasn’t yet flashed his brilliance at the major league level, he’s universally considered one of the best young arms in baseball.

Jake Peavy is the other owner who is owned in more than 40% of leagues but is worth mentioning as he is popping up on waiver wires across all of my leagues.  I was actually significantly higher on Peavy than most of the fantasy industry at the start of the season, but I cut bait with him over a month ago.    While I wouldn’t want him on my team as a regular at this point, he’s worth a spot start versus the Astros on Friday.

Assuming the four aforementioned names are all rostered in your league, I’d be looking to Mike Bolsinger against the Giants. The Giants have struggled against right-handed pitching this season and Bolsinger has looked sharp during his rookie season. Unfortunately, Bolsinger will be hard pressed to continue striking out 19.9% of the batters he faces with his 7.5% swinging strike rate. His best two qualities have been his control and his ability to keep the ball on the ground, both of which limit the risk in streaming him. I’d use Bolsinger with no reservations if needed.

 

Saturday’s Options

Total Score Pitcher Opp Team Opp Pitcher Opp K% Opp wOBA Yahoo ESPN%
6.9 Wade Miley at SF Vogelsong 20.8% .297 13 7
6.7 Collin McHugh vs BOS Buchholze 21.40% .303 37 27
6.4 Matt Shoemaker at TEX Darvish 19.30% .308 13 5
6.2 Clay Buchholz at HOU McHugh 23.80% .298 39 22
6.1 Ryan Vogelsong vs ARI Miley 19.60% .310 16 12
5.8 Drew Hutchison at TB Price 17.30% .309 21 5
5.7 Charlie Morton at CIN Leake 20.00% .311 20 13
5.7 Daisuke Matsuzaka vs MIA Alvarez 24.10% .314 6 1
5.5 Edwin Jackson vs ATL Minor 21.80% .292 2 0

 As I’ve written previously, I believe Collin McHugh and Matt Shoemaker should be owned in all leagues. Despite tough matchups on Saturday, they would be my first two options if they are available in your league. While I gave McHugh a pass for his mid-June control problems due to a blister on his middle finger, it’s starting to appear that control may in fact be a problem for him moving forward. Still, McHugh continues to strike out batters at an elite rate and it’s not as if we’re talking about Ubaldo Jimenez when it comes to his control problems. I’m still on the McHugh bandwagon for the time being but I’d rather own Heaney, Hahn and Walker long-term.

Shoemaker’s matchup with the Rangers is a difficult one, but it’s worth pointing out that he outdueled Darvish two weeks ago when he limited the Rangers to one run in 7.2 innings.

Wade Miley has the best matchup score of the day, and while I prefer McHugh and Shoemaker, I would jump at the chance to stream Miley versus the Giants and their sub-.300 wOBA versus left-handed pitching. Miley has pitched much better than his 4.65 ERA this season. He holds a 8.4 K/9 and 2.4 BB/9, numbers that are certainly usable in all formats, but like teammate Brandon McCarthy, Miley has been unfortunate with regards to his HR/FB% and his left-on-base percentage. Miley struck out ten batters and walked none over eight shutout innings versus the Pirates on Tuesday. Perhaps this is the beginning of a much better second half.

If Clay Buchholz looks good in his Monday start, I’d also have no problem using him versus the Astros. I’d simply like to see more of him before outright committing to him. Ryan Vogelsong is also an option versus the Diamondbacks if you need him.

 

Sunday’s Options

Day Total Score Pitcher Opp Team Opp Pitcher Opp K% Opp wOBA Yahoo ESPN%
Sunday 6.7 Jacob deGrom vs MIA Koehler 24.10% .314 5 2
Sunday 6.5 Tom Koehler at NYM deGrom 20.90% .296 18 8
Sunday 6.5 Brandon Workman at HOU Cosart 23.80% .298 7 2
Sunday 6.5 Trevor Bauer vs CHW Danks 22.60% .324 14 3
Sunday 6.1 Chase Anderson at SF Bumgarner 21.60% .301 10 4
Sunday 5.6 Jake Odorizzi vs TOR Happ 18.10% .346 18 9
Sunday 5.5 Carlos Martinez at MIL Estrada 19.3% .326 30 2

While I would use Jacob deGrom or Tom Koehler when they face each other Sunday afternoon, I prefer Trevor Bauer versus the White Sox. Bauer is simply the best pitcher of the three and while the White Sox present the most difficult matchup of these options, the Marlins aren’t too far behind. Between Koehler and deGrom, I would use Koehler.

Brandon Workman and Chase Anderson offer two more decent options on Sunday, and Workman probably gives you the best chance of any streaming option to pick up a win if that’s what you’re seeking late in the week. If strikeouts are your goal, I would rank Jake Odorizzi a hair behind Bauer due to the former’s matchup with the Blue Jays, and Carlos Martinez would file in directly after.

 

How Matchup Scores are Calculated

When evaluating pitcher matchups, there are a number of important factors to consider, including

  • A pitcher’s strikeout and walk percentages
  • A pitcher’s batted ball profile
  • A pitcher’s wOBA
  • The opposing team’s wOBA vs either LHP or RHP
  • The opposing team’s K% vs LHP or RHP
  • The likelihood that a pitcher earns a win in the contest
  • The effect that the ball park will have upon the pitcher’s performance

Matchup Scores attempt to take all of these factors into consideration, assigning a weight to each factor that is proportional to each factor’s impact and predictive power. Perhaps the easiest way to think of a Matchup Score is as a rating for how well a pitcher is expected to perform against a specific opponent, in a specific park, at a specific time.

While I have been evaluating pitcher matchups based on these factors for some time, I only began the process of quantifying these factors into a single score in April of 2014. This is an ongoing process and changes to the formula are continually being considered and implemented in an effort to make Matchup Scores more predictive.

Matchup Score Ratings

Matchup Score Rating
12.0 Excellent
10.0 Great
8.0 Very Good
7.0 Good
6.0 Average
5.0 Poor
4.0 Awful

.

One thought on “Week 15 Stream Team and Two Start Pitchers”

  1. Intriguing picks for your Stream Team there. I know you’re not high on Tom Koehler, but I like his match-ups this week, and I’m hoping for good things from Jacob deGrom as well. I also like Jose Quintana and what we’ve seen of Jesse Hahn so far.

    As for Mike Leake and Matt Shoemaker, you’re right, they’re probably your best options. Clay Buchholz is still hard to trust, and Chris Young does have that scary showdown against the A’s later in the week.

Comments are closed.