Is it already Week 7? Wow, the season is fast approaching the midway point. With that said, there’s still plenty of football to be played and plenty of time for us to make the big bucks! Last week was my worst week of the season so far. It was just one of those weeks I’m ready to put in the rear view mirror. Let’s get right back to it and right the ship this week.
QB: Matt Ryan – Falcons
Matt Ryan has been a disappointment when compared to his MVP campaign just a season ago. While I wouldn’t be happy to have him on my season long team, I have no problems rostering him in DFS. I haven’t rostered him one time yet this season (and I don’t know if I will again), but this week, I’m all in! Ryan gets the best matchup a QB can have this season, the New England Patriots. Just look at the opposing QB game log thus far, starting with the most recent (yards TD-int):
- Josh McCown – 354 2-2
- Jameis Winston – 334 1-0
- Cam Newton – 316 3-1 (rushed 44-1)
- Deshaun Watson – 301 2-2
- Drew Brees – 356 2-0
- Alex Smith – 368 4-0
After six weeks, they have yet hold an opposing QB under 300 yards. In fact they’re giving up 338.16 yards per game and 25.03 FanDuel points per game. If Ryan doesn’t have a big game here, then he’ll be useless the rest of the season. With that being said, I don’t see a way he cannot.
Oh yeah, I almost forgot. If you remember(how could anyone forget), Ryan has a horrible taste in his mouth from the Super Bowl meltdown, and if there’s anyone he wants to have a huge game against, it’s these Patriots. We should see 300+ yard, three touchdown Matt Ryan in this game.
WR: Julio Jones – Falcons
As bad as Ryan has struggled, so has Julio. However, as mentioned above, the Pats secondary has struggled even more. Stephon Gilmore is likely to be out in this game, and if that is the case, give me all the Julio to pair with Ryan. They are going to bust out in a big way at some point, and it almost has to be in this game.
What has me even more enticed on pairing the two is that although they have the best matchup possible, I think people are generally tired of being burned by them, so we can get them at a lower ownership than they should be in this spot. I’m not going to try to use sneaky stats or the like to try to convince you on playing him. This is a total gut feeling that he’s going to have a huge game in a great matchup.
RB: LeSean McCoy – Bills
It’s finally time to roll out McCoy. He’s has yet to find the endzone, but that will likely change in this game. On top of getting 17.4 carries per game so far, he has also seen six or more targets in four of his five game, with a season high nine in his last game. I’m all for that kind of usage for his price of just $7,900. Last week, Adrian Peterson turned back the hands of time against this same Buccaneers run defense, finding huge holes to gallop through. The Bills game plan should be centered around McCoy, and I think the touchdown regression will set in here (in a good way). It’s no secret that McCoy has been much better at home, so that’s another feather in his cap here.
RB: Adrian Peterson – Cardinals
Speaking of Peterson, I’ve yet to decide if I think he’ll be heavily owned after his huge day his first time out in a Cardinals uniform. As the week goes on, I’m getting the feeling he’s not going to be that popular. He’s exceptionally cheap and I honestly think that the Cardinals will continue to ride him as long as it’s working. Throwing the ball 500 times a game wasn’t working for the Cardinals through five weeks. Sure, they were 2-3, but their two wins were both overtime wins over the Colts and 49ers. Yuck! I don’t see how handing the ball to Peterson this week won’t work. The Rams are giving up the most fantasy points per game to opposing running backs and allowing 4.72 yards per carry. Take the $6,300 price tag on Peterson and enjoy it, because I don’t think we’ll see it below $7,000 again this season.
TE: Jimmy Graham – Seahawks
- Do the New York Giants play on this slate? Yes.
- Does the opposing team have a tight end? Yes.
- Does said opposing tight end have two feet and two hands? Yes….
Well then tight end is easy this week, play said player. This week that player is Graham. Let’s start with the Giants first. They have been the absolute worst team in the league against tight ends this season. They have allowed at least a touchdown to the position in every single game and two in one game.
Back to Graham. He’s starting to heat up. Over his last three games he has seen 24 targets and finally got across the goal line his last time out. I will almost guarantee at least one touchdown in this game. Lock it up, the streak continues.
WR: Eric Decker – Titans
Many experts are recommending Rishard Mathews this week, but I’m going to be on Decker. Mathews quietly has a bad matchup; likely being shadowed by Jason McCourty, who performed very well in coverage against DeAndre Hopkins a week ago. I expect Mathews to be covered up, leaving Decker as the go to guy.
Decker is beginning to develop more chemistry with Marcus Mariota, as displayed last week with his seven receptions on nine targets for 88 yards. This week he’ll be matched up quite a bit against Jamar Taylor, who has given up 0.48 fantasy points per route, which is third worst of all corners playing this weekend. Decker will likely be my salary saver come Sunday, and hopefully he’ll find the end zone the first time as a Titan.
That’s it for this week. Because of new information and a better gauge of ownerships, I may add updates here through the weekend, so be sure to follow me on Twitter at @mrclutchdfs so you don’t miss any additional recommendations.
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