It’s crazy to think that it’s already Week 5. Week 4 was huge for me, and by far the most profitable of the season to this point. Hopefully you were on the same plays from this article. Also, I will note that I pivoted to a Deshaun Watson/DeAndre Hopkins stack on Sunday morning and tweeted that information out. That’s why it’s important to follow me on Twitter if you would like my final plays or any changes I make between Friday and Sunday. On to the Week 5 slate.
RB: LeVeon Bell – Steelers
Bell will be chalky this week, but I do not care. He is in as good of a spot as we’ve seen any single player in all year. It also helps that he’s arguably (and finally back to form in Week 4) the best back in the league. The Jaguars have been excellent against opposing receivers, but they are getting gashed by opposing running backs. The Steelers would be smart to take the path of least resistance and give the ball to Bell 30+ times in this one. He seriously has 200+ total yard, multiple touchdown upside. His floor is still about half of that.
QB/WR: Dak Prescott/Dez Bryant – Cowboys
Dak to Dez is my favorite stack of the week. Let’s start with Dak. We have slowly seen this offense transition to him being the focal point, even more so than Elliott. This game has shootout written all over it. Dak can do it with his arm and his feet and should come out of this game being responsible for at least three touchdowns. Now let’s talk about Dez. He has been somewhat quiet over the first three weeks, but it wasn’t for lack of opportunity. Dez has had what has seemed like a murders row of opposing cornerbacks locking him down, that included Patrick Peterson, Aqib Talib, and Janoris Jenkins. During that span, he still saw the fifth most targets among wide receivers in the league at 36 and is among the tops in the league in red-zone targets, targets inside the 10 yard line, and end zone targets. To top all of that off, Dez has the fourth best WR/CB matchup of the week according to Pro Football Focus. He is due for a monster game, and that should happen in Week 5.
For what it’s worth, I love Aaron Rodgers in this same game, maybe even more than Dak. However, the $2,000 savings you get from coming down to Dak is too much to pass up.
WR: Randall Cobb
Most people who stack Dak and Dez will run it back on the other side with Jordy Nelson. For me, I’m going to go a little contrarian and roster Cobb. Dallas has struggled versus slot receivers, and one of the first things I do each week is see who the opposing slot WR is and give them serious consideration. Let’s look at what opposing slot WR’s have done so far against Dallas
- Week 1: Sterling Shepard – 7-44 on eight targets (not the greatest output, but plenty of open targets)
- Week 2: Emmanuel Sanders – 6-62-2 on eight targets
- Week 3: Larry Fitzgerald – 13-149-1 on 15 targets
- Week 4: Cooper Kupp – 5-60-1 on seven targets
Long story short: the Cowboys aren’t good against the slot, and against one as good as Cobb with a quarterback as good as Rodgers, the Packers should exploit that weakness. Let the masses roster Nelson (who I still think is a good play), while you save some money and take Cobb.
WR: DeVante Parker
Parker is in a dream spot this week against the Titans defense and he’s simply too cheap on FanDuel at just $6,100. Although Jay Cutler has been bad, Parker has actually been a solid fantasy and real life wide receiver so far. Through three games he has 18 catches on 27 targets for 230 yards and a touchdown. The Titans have been the second worst fantasy defense to wide receivers, giving up eight touchdowns through four games. Parker should have his way with this secondary, and I won’t be surprised when he passes the century mark and finds the end zone in this one.
The Browns have been absolutely horrendous versus opposing tight ends. For proof, see Tyler Kroft last week and Jesse James in Week 1. Both of those guys caught two touchdowns. In between those two, Ben Watson caught eight balls on eight targets. Only the Giants have been worse against tight ends so far in 2017. Sefarian-Jenkins has burst onto the scene and lived up to the hype so far. He has shown a solid rapport with Josh McCown and I expect him to get plenty of targets in this game and find his way into the end zone for the first time this season. He’s available at a fair price in the perfect spot.
That’s it for this week. Because of new information and a better gauge of ownerships, I may add updates here through the weekend, so be sure to follow me on Twitter at @mrclutchdfs so you don’t miss any additional recommendations.
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