I hope everyone had a profitable Week 1, but if you didn’t, let’s move on and make sure you do in Week 2. We’ve now seen some actual regular season football and can begin to make plays with a little more conviction. As I mentioned last week, this year I am going to be giving you some core plays in this article. These are the plays that I consider to be the best on the slate and the ones I think you can use as staples in your lineups and fill in around them. With that said, let’s get to it.
QB: Aaron Rodgers – Packers
I think more people are going to gravitate to Tom Brady this week, leaving Rodgers a tad underowned. Rodgers has owned the Falcons in his career, posting his second highest QB rating among all of his opponents. In five regular season games he has averaged 325 yards per, while throwing for 13 touchdowns (one more rushing) and only one interception. Throw in two more postseason games where he threw for 653 yards and six touchdowns (ran for one more), and I think it’s safe to say he’s been unstoppable against this team.
For what it’s worth, five of those seven games came in Atlanta. I expect Rodgers to throw for 300 yards and three touchdowns in this game.
WR Julio Jones – Falcons
I want to include some Falcons players, and what better way for this to turn into a shootout than for Julio Jones to have an outstanding day. I think the two go hand in hand. One one hand, if Jones is having a great game, it likely means that Rodgers will continue to have his foot on the gas. On the other hand, if Rodgers comes out and throws a couple early touchdowns, the Falcons will be airing it out, with Julio being the most likely beneficiary for the Falcons.
RB: Ty Montgomery – Packers
WR: Jordy Nelson – Packers
The Packers offense is where it’s at for me this week. Montgomery is simply underpriced. He gets too many looks in such a high-octane offense to be priced this low. We can reasonably expect 20+ touches from him and obviously I’m hoping his touchdowns come through the air from Rodgers, but we’ll take it however we can get it.
There may not be a QB-WR combo with more chemistry in the league than Rodgers-Nelson. In what we’re hoping turns into a shootout, Nelson should get his 8-10 targets and weekly touchdown.
WR: Stefon Diggs – Vikings
Diggs looked phenomenal in Week 1 and I have high hopes for him in Week 2. He has always had the talent to be an elite receiver in the NFL, but inconsistency has been his hindrance. This games sets up for Diggs to have another exceptional outing. Despite the Vikings stout defense, Vegas has given the Steelers a very healthy implied team total. Because of that, I expect the Vikings to continue to throw the ball throughout. At $6,500, Diggs is underpriced and is going to be one of my core plays this Sunday.
Defense: Baltimore Ravens
The Ravens were the fourth highest scoring defense in Week 1, and they just might be the top scoring defense in Week 2. DeShone Kizer will be starting his first game of his career on the road, and I have a feeling it won’t go as well as his first game at home. While it appears the Browns might actually have a quarterback that can play more than eight games, he’ll still have some growing pains, and this looks like the perfect spot for just that. The Ravens are the defense I’m locking in.
TE: Delanie Walker – Titans
I’m going back to Delanie Walker in Week 2. The Jaguars have a really good pass defense anchored by their cornerbacks. I expect the Titans wide receivers to have a tough time getting open in this game, and that will leave Walker as the guy who is relied on to move the chains and find openings in the red zone. Mariota has a great passer rating when throwing to his tight ends, and we saw in Week 1 that Walker is one of, if not his top, target. In my opinion, there’s not a lot to like at tight end this week, so it’s Walker for me.
RB: Javorius Allen – Ravens
Here’s your price play of the week. At just $4,900 on FanDuel, Allen has the opportunity to massively outplay his price. He is expected to take over the passing down work after Danny Woodhead went down to an injury.
Flash back to his rookie season, and we have proof that Allen can handle it. In his last seven games two seasons ago, he received 49 targets, catching 37 of them. He had three games in that span with nine or more targets (12 and 13 the other two). Putting the passing work aside, the Ravens have no issues handing the ball off to him as well, giving him 21 carries in Week 1. The Ravens have made it well-known they plan on a run heavy game-plan this year after a lack of success last season throwing it a ton. That definitely showed in last week.
There are plenty of carries and targets for Allen to soak up in this offense, and this is an excellent correlation play with the Ravens defense.
That’s it for this week. Because of new information and a better gauge of ownerships, I may add updates here through the weekend, so be sure to follow me on Twitter (@mrclutchdfs) so you don’t miss any additional recommendations.
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