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Minor League Report: Midseason Top-100

It is finally time for the midseason prospect ranking update. A lot of names have taken a significant jump either up or down since the preseason. Some guys might be in roughly the same area, but with graduates from the list, it equates to a drop.

In this midseason class I see a significant drop in talent after about the top 25. Those top players I would consider close to untouchable; the rest are just trade chips basically due to the risk, uncertainty, and lack of upside.

There will be plenty of people that disagree and say how can you have player X here and player Y there. If you have been reading about or playing with prospects long enough, you should know all the factors that go into a prospects value. Every player has his own ceiling, floor, and proximity. Some will get higher weights to a particular ceiling even if the floor is never making the majors, while some might be definite major league players, but with the upside of a back-end starter in a major league rotation with the floor as a reliever.

With all of that said: here is the midseason list. Feel free to ask any questions in the comment section below.

I don’t think I need to put this out there, but disclaimer: I am not a professional scout. I watch scouting videos, read scouting reports from professional scouts, and obviously look at numbers. Some players I have been exposed to a lot more than others, and that could create a subconscious bias as they show up higher than guys I might not have seen as much of.

Ok for real this time, here is the list. Preseason ranks are mine and not the overall ranking between Paul and I.

Rank Preseason Name Position Team
1 1 Yoan Moncada 2B CHW
2 4 Brendan Rodgers SS/2B COL
3 6 Clint Frazier OF NYY
4 5 Rafael Devers 3B BOS
5 41 Ronald Acuna OF ATL
6 13 Victor Robles OF WSH
7 14 Eloy Jimenez OF CHC
8 15 Kyle Tucker OF HOU
9 79 Vlad Guerrero Jr. 3B/OF TOR
10 19 Derek Fisher OF HOU
11 3 Austin Meadows OF PIT
12 42 Alex Reyes P STL
13 34 Brent Honeywell P TB
14 33 Kolby Allard P ATL
15 39 Triston McKenzie P CLE
16 18 Lewis Brinson OF MIL
17 89 Juan Soto OF WSH
18 N/R Bo Bichette 2B TOR
19 16 Willie Calhoun 2B LAD
20 30 Ozzie Albies 2B ATL
21 17 Nick Senzel 3B CIN
22 20 Michael Kopech P CHW
23 85 Ryan McMahon 2B/3B/1B COL
24 55 Francisco Mejia C CLE
25 26 Franklin Barreto SS/2B OAK
26 70 Harrison Bader OF STL
27 N/R Walker Buehler P LAD
28 56 Kevin Maitan 3B ATL
29 N/R Luis Robert OF CHW
30 58 Amed Rosario SS NYM
31 N/R Scott Kingery 2B PHI
32 N/R Rhys Hoskins 1B PHI
33 N/R Jesus Sanchez OF TB
34 87 Christin Stewart OF DET
35 50 Dylan Cease P CHC
36 N/R Fernando Tatis Jr. SS SD
37 21 Josh Hader  P MIL
38 47 Luke Weaver P STL
49 N/R Taylor Trammell OF CIN
40 91 Leody Taveras OF TEX
41 36 Jay Groome P BOS
42 99 Anthony Alford OF TOR
43 46 Mitch Keller P PIT
44 53 Ian Anderson P ATL
45 64 Cal Quantrill P SD
46 35 Francis Martes P HOU
47 86 Dominic Smith 1B NYM
48 80 Adrian Morejon P SD
49 N/R Chance Adams P NYY
50 88 Forrest Whitley P HOU




Rank Preseason Name Position Team
51 40 Anderson Espinoza P SD
52 25 Tyler O’Neill OF SEA
53 N/R Austin Beck OF OAK
54 N/R Jordan Adell OF LAA
55 N/R Royce Lewis SS MIN
56 97 A.J. Puk P OAK
57 N/R Alec Hansen P CHW
58 12 Lucas Giolito P CHW
59 N/R Jack Flaherty P STL
60 59 Delvin Perez SS STL
61 N/R Pavin Smith 1B ARZ
62 N/R Adam Haseley  OF PHI
63 N/R Nick Pratto 1B  KC
64 N/R Luis Urias 2B SD
65 N/R Shed Long 2B CIN
66 52 Matt Manning P DET
67 N/R Yordan Alvarez 1B HOU
68 N/R Stephen Gonsalves P MIN
69 84 Ramon Laureano OF HOU
70 N/R Hunter Greene P CIN
71 N/R Brendan McKay 1B/P TB
72 N/R Kyle Wright P ATL
73 N/R Jake Burger 3B CHW
74 93 Kyle Lewis OF SEA
75 N/R Sixto Sanchez P PHI
76 N/R Miguel Andujar 3B NYY
77 N/R Franklin Perez P HOU
78 N/R Justus Sheffield P NYY
79 68 Bobby Bradley 1B CLE
80 95 Yohander Mendez P TEX
81 82 Erick Fedde P WSH
82 N/R Jorge Ona OF SD
83 N/R Keston Hiura 2B MIL
84 45 Willy Adames SS TB
85 N/R Dakota Hudson P STL
86 N/R Lazaro Armenteros OF OAK
87 71 Yusniel Diaz OF LAD
88 37 Alex Verdugo OF LAD
89 N/R Tyler Mahle P CIN
90 69 Matt Thaiss 1B LAA
91 60 Lourdes Gourriel 2B/SS/OF TOR
92 54 Jorge Mateo 2B/SS NYY
93 44 Corey Ray OF MIL
94 29 Gleybar Torres SS NYY
95 66 Zack Collins C CHW
96 N/R Seth Romero P WSH
97 49 Dan Vogelbach 1B SEA
98 81 Thomas Szapucki P NYM
99 N/R Chris Paddock P SD
100 73 Blake Rutherford OF NYY

In total, 36 players have been added/taken off my preseason rankings. A few were promoted, some dropped for production reasons, and others lost their spot simply due to the fact there were just better players available.

This is why you should never consider any prospect untouchable in dynasty leagues, nor should you turn your nose up at someone that failed to make a top 50 or 100 list. That fringe prospect in the preseason could launch himself into the top-50 with a strong first half, while that can’t miss guy could find himself clinging to one of the final top-100 spots.

 

Visit fantasy rundown for additional fantasy articles and prospect rankings.

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Andy Germani
I am a lifelong Pittsburgh sports fan and a graduate from Penn State. Baseball was my first love and I still play to this day in an adult baseball league. I always love helping people with their questions on Twitter so feel free to follow me and ask questions.
Andy Germani

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6 comments on “Minor League Report: Midseason Top-100

  1. So you guys move up Alex Reyes by 30….who is out for the year….after TJ surgery…….then you move down Gleybar Torres 60something slots……for having TJ in a non throwing arm……. Mind-boggling…. But thank you for doing up the list.

    • Can understand the confusion.

      When the list came out I was pretty down on Reyes from the Tommy John standpoint but as time has gone on I have been more willing to buy back into him as a top prospect. His risk is a higher than anyone in that area but I think the ceiling is higher as well. Also his rise has a lot to do with graduates and some others falling off not just moving him up. Looking back shouldn’t have bumped him as far down as I did. The 25-30 range preseason, about where Paul had him, would likely have been better.

      For Torres I am admittedly a Torres downer. The higher rank preseason was with the chance he would make a 2017 impact. The injury stalls slows down his progression. While I expect Reyes to not spend much, maybe any, time in the minors in 2018 other than maybe some rehab outings I expect Torres who will only be 21 next season to spend time in the minors even after he is back to 100 percent. At this point I have a Torres MLB ETA around this time next year at the earliest even with it being his non throwing arm. Like Reyes, as time goes on and a return gets closer he will climb up he list.

  2. Why is Ramon Laureano still a top 100 prospect for you? 69 was a nice aggressive ranking preseason, but he has really fallen off, despite this being a big week.

    • Laureno’s “jump” from the preseason has more to do with people graduating and giving up on some guys I had ahead of him. And when doing this list number 60 or so through 80 weren’t separated by much.

      In terms of why still in the top 100? I don’t think a ton has changed for him. His strikeout rate is actually a little down from last year, 23.6% down to 21.7.

      The steals have still been there, 18 for 22 would expect 30 to be a number he routinely reaches. The power is down a little bit but I never expected him to be a big time power hitter, maybe something like the 15 he hit last year would be something he would do at the majors with double digit power being expected every year.

      The glaring difference is obviously the average drop. After hitting .319 last season and .295 in the AFL he is down to .231 this year. But when you remember the fact that his strikeout rate is actually lower this year you should know where that drop is from, the BABIP.

      Laureano is fast so his BABIP will normally be higher than others. His BABIP according to baseball cube was .358 in 2015, .419 in high-A last year, and .407 in his short stint in AA.

      This year that BABIP has dropped all the way to .289. The first time other than his 16 game stint in rookie ball in 2014 his BABIP was below .350. His AFL BABIP was about .350 (my math) so I think a normal BABIP for him is a lot higher than a typical one.

      Say his BABIP normalizes to about .350 in the second half, including this season his average BABIP for his minor career would be .355. That BABIP correction could amount to a 60 plus point jump in his average.

      He might be a nice buy candidate in deeper leagues.

  3. I’m just going to assume you simply completely forgot about Mike Soroka rather than purposefully omitting him.

    • You would assume correctly 🙂

      Although I am not crazy high on him and he would be a back half of the top-100 guy. Mainly because I worry about the strikeout rate.

      Probably right ahead of Mahle. Somewhere in that 85-95 range

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