Pitchers to Target
Tyler Anderson – Recommending a pitcher in Coors Field isn’t typically a recipe for success. This is only a tournament play, but hear me out here. Seattle struggles against left handed pitching. Anderson has been pretty good at home in has last couple starts, and he has struck out 32 batters in his last 24.2 innings pitched. Back to Seattle. They have the second worst wOBA in the league against lefties, at just 0.269. And even worst, they have the worst ISO by a mile at just 0.078.
Anderson has the best advanced stats among all pitchers on the slate over the last 15 days. His batted ball distance and exit velocity(against) leads the slate, and he’s second best in ground ball percentage and hard hit percentage. If he can continue that, he’ll have a good chance at a strong start at home in Coors. I’ll be taking a chance on him in my tournament lineups.
Robbie Ray – Ray is one of my favorite pitchers to roster every time he takes the mound. His upside is as high as anyone, but he’s consistently priced in the tier below the studs. His opponent, the Pittsburgh Pirates, have a below average 0.303 wOBA to left handed pitchers and strike out nearly 22% of the time.
Ray will be making his sixth road start of the year and let me tell you, if you haven’t noticed, Ray is OUTSTANDING on the road. Averaging 29.9 Draftkings points per game away from Chase Field, his WHIP is 0.84 and his ERA is only 0.81. If Ray only pitched on the road, he’d be an early season Cy Young front-runner. Play Ray in all types of lineups!
Tyler Pill – What do we know about Pill? Well, for starters he’s only $4,200 on DraftKings, which can do a lot for your lineups in the hitting department. His opponent, the Milwaukee Brewers, have struck out the third most to right-handed pitchers this season at 24%.
Pill has been exceptional at Double-A and Triple-A this season with a 1.60 ERA across 56.1 innings. He’s more than capable, and the Brewers are only slated to score 4.2 runs, which isn’t a lot for a team facing a pitcher that only costs $4,200.
Stacks to Target
Minnesota Twins – Mike Fiers is no longer a starting pitcher, according to the Houston Astros. However, he will be forced back into the rotation as a fill in. Fiers has given up 15 home runs in his last 36.2 innings. You probably know by now how much I love Miguel Sano, so I’ll have him in most of my lineups regardless, but I’ll be seriously looking at stacking the top five batters in the Twins lineup.
The Twins are the main stack on my radar right now. It’s looking like I’ll be constructing lineups with a lot of one offs on Tuesday, which will obviously include the guys below.
Batters to Target
JD Martinez – The Martinez train is still rolling, so it’s not too late to jump on. Martinez has been exceptional since getting a late start to his season. He has the second highest exit velocity on this slate over the past 15 days, and gets to face a left handed rookie who’s starting his first big league game of his career. I like Martinez’s chances to go deep in this one.
Logan Morrison – Morrison’s batted ball profile over the past 15 days also profiles really well. He is facing right hander Nick Martinez. Martinez has actually been better than expected this year, while still allowing a 0.337 wOBA to left handed batters. Don’t let that fool you though, Martinez has been very lucky, sporting a 0.259 BABIP. That will regress and there’s no better candidate to contribute to that regression than Morrison.
Morrison has a 0.373 wOBA with a 0.310 ISO against right-handed pitching this season and has hit 11 home runs in 154 plate appearances. One last positive, The Ballpark in Arlington profiles well for him.
Michael Conforto – Conforto continues to be the batted ball king. His numbers, just WOW! At home especially, where he has 0.463 wOBA and a 0.344 ISO against right-handed pitchers. On this huge slate, Conforto leads all hitters in hard hit percentage over the last 15 days and he’s tied with Martinez with the second highest exit velocity. His price is really inflated right now, but he’s worth it in my opinion.
Any more questions? Hit me up on Twitter @mrclutchdfs
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