Greetings golf fans! I hope everyone had a successful week last week at the Byron Nelson. I gave you a few great picks last week like Danny Lee, Bud Cauley and Sung Kang. Of course, they were not all stellar picks as I also recommended Russell Henley and JT Poston who were terrible. But if you picked the right guys from my list, you did pretty well.
This week the PGA tour stops at the Colonial Country Club for the Dean & Deluca Invitational. This is one of the most historic events on tour, but it plays opposite a huge European Tour event, so we only have 7 of the top 30 players in the world playing. The course is a 7,200 yard par 70 with only two par 5s. Once again, I am looking at solid ball strikers and not necessarily bombers this week. My stats of the week are strokes gained approach and strokes gained around the green. Let’s see what we come up with.
One housekeeping note before I get started. FanDuel has decided to take a one week hiatus from fantasy golf in order to “improve their product”. I was actually a huge fan of the old FanDuel product, but I was in the minority on that one. So for this week only, I will only be referencing DraftKings pricing. Away we go!
If you have any questions – don’t hesitate to hit me up on Twitter at @AssemblyNeil.
Jordan Spieth ($12,000) – Spieth has been an absolute monster at this tournament, having finished in the top 20 each of the 4 times he has played this event, with 3 top 10s, including a runner-up and a win. He comes into this tournament in poor form having missed 3 of his last 4 cuts. I am hoping that this drives his ownership numbers down because I am all in. Spieth is also excellent in one of my stats of the week, ranking 2nd on tour in strokes gained approach. I think he will finish in the top 5.
Matt Kuchar ($10,200) – Kuchar is another course horse, having finished in the top 10 in 2 of his last 3 appearances at the Dean & Deluca. Unlike Spieth, he comes in with good form, having made his last 5 cuts with 3 top 11 finishes among those 5 events. As for stats, Kuchar ranks a rock solid 30th in strokes gained around the green. His price is high, but I like Kuchar to play very well this week.
Upper Middle Class
Phil Mickelson ($8,800) – Mickelson has not played this tournament in quite a while, but he does have a good history at this event, having won this event twice some time ago. He also comes into this tournament having a nice season making all 10 of his cuts and finishing in the top 25 in 3 of his last 5 tournaments. Importantly, Mickelson is also a birdie maker which is crucial for fantasy scoring. Last, Mick ranks highly in my 2 stats of the week, as he is the #35 player on tour in strokes gained approach and #24 in strokes gained around the green. I will be heavy on Phil this week.
Adam Hadwin ($8,400) – I fear that Hadwin will be a very chalky play this week as he has a good course history and his form this season has been out of this world. In terms of course history, Hadwin has finished in the top 25 in his last two appearances at this event, including a top 5 finish. This is relevant because Hadwin was a much worse player prior to this season and yet he still excelled at this event. As for his form this year, Hadwin has made all 11 cuts this season, including winning his maiden PGA tour event. On top of all of that, Hadwin ranks very well in my favorite stat this week as he is 18th on tour in strokes gained approach. This could be another great tournament for the young Canadian.
Emiliano Grillo ($7,800) – The young Argentine is one of my favorite players in golf as he is an excellent ball striker. He had a bit of a hangover at the beginning of this season after an excellent 2016 season that netted him PGA tour rookie of the year. Grillo has come around of late making his last 8 cuts and finishing in the top 11 in 2 of his last 4 events. Grillo is an excellent 32nd in strokes gained approach, which is a stat I am looking at very closely this week. I think he will be contending at the end of this event.
Pat Perez ($7,600) – Perez is quietly having an excellent season ranking 5th in FedEx Cup points on the season. Perez has made 9 straight cuts and has finished in the top 25 in 4 of his last 5 events. On top of that great form, Perez has played well at this event, finishing in 5th place last year. Perez is ranked 13th in strokes gained around the green which should suit him well on this difficult course. I think Perez may win this tournament.
Bang for your Buck
Charley Hoffman ($7,300) – Hoffman never misses cuts in Texas. This event is no different as he has made 5 consecutive cuts with 3 top 20 finishes and 1 top 10 at the Dean and Deluca. I am loving Hoffman’s price at $7,300 and he should be an excellent source for fantasy points at a low price. I will have a fair amount of Hoffman in my lineups.
William McGirt ($7,100) – The last time I recommended McGirt in this space, he blew up spectacularly. Despite that, I am going to be brave this week and go back to the well. McGirt has made his last 3 cuts at this event, so he is fairly good at the Colonial. Even more importantly, he has top 25 finishes in 3 of his last 4 tournaments. He might be my most owned player at this excellent price.
Billy Hurley III ($6,600) – If you want to fit in both Jordan Spieth and Jon Rahm, Billy Hurley should be a staple in your lineups. He has made his last 2 cuts at Colonial and has also been great on tour as of late with 5 straight made cuts including two top 25s. Hurley also rates highly in my stats of the week ranking 31st in strokes gained approach and 54th in strokes gained around the green. Hurley could surprise this week.
Bryce Molder ($6,400) – Molder is a guy who has traditionally played well at Colonial and yet he is priced near rock bottom. He has made 5 straight cuts at this event, including a 10th place last year. Looking at stats, it is easy to see why Molder has had success at this tournament ranking 20th on tour in strokes gained around the green. He is a good play if you are going stars and scrubs.
OTHERS OF NOTE:
I will throw out a few others that I will be playing this week:
- Bill Haas seems way to cheap at $6,900. His short game should serve him well on this course as he ranks 10th in strokes gained around the green.
- Cam Smith is among my favorite young players on tour. I would have had more shares, but he was priced a little higher than I wanted at $7,700. That said, he is an excellent #3 on tour in strokes gained around the green.
- Ryan Palmer is another guy that I wish was a bit cheaper as he may be a bit overpriced at $7,900. If you have the budget though, Palmer is always rock solid in Texas and ranks 13th on tour in strokes gained approach.
- Wesley Bryan seems to have hit a bit of a rookie wall since his maiden tour victory. That said, he is priced right at $7,000 and is great in my stats of the week ranking 15th in strokes gained approach and 32nd in strokes gained around the green.
Good luck to all of you this week!
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