Pitchers to Target
Robbie Ray – If there’s one thing we know about Ray, it’s that he has as much strikeout upside as anyone in the league. He’s a bit more risky at home, but against the Tigers, I’m willing to take the risk. The Tigers strike out almost 24% of the time against left handed pitchers and have a wOBA just under 0.300. Regardless of whether or not he gets knocked around a little, Ray has double-digit upside, which can win you a GPP.
Matt Andriese – Andriese has been up and down, but for the most part, he’s been respectable. A lot of the reason I like him for Tuesday is his opponent, the Royals. The Royals have been abysmal from the plate. They have the third lowest wOBA against right-handed pitching at just .278. They also have no power. One of Andriese’s problems has been giving up the long ball, but he shouldn’t have that issue against the non-power hitting Royals in his home park in Tampa Bay. The strikeout upside isn’t immense in this matchup, but I still think he has a solid day.
Stacks to Target
Houston Astros – Bartolo Colon has finally had the wheels fall off and I think that is going to continue here. After giving up just 10 hits in his first 17 innings pitched this season, he has now given up 28 in his last 16 innings. He has struck out just nine batters during those last 16 and has given up 15 runs. He’s been equally bad against hitters from both sides of the plates, but righties have hit him for a little more power, while also striking out less. Stack up the meat of the Astros order, who are implied to score 5.1 runs, highest on the slate outside of Coors Field.
Washington Nationals – Many people were burned by the Nationals stack on Monday, so I think they’ll be hesitant to go back to the well. This makes it an excellent time for us to run it back with the Nats. It’s going to be expensive, but could be a sneaky pivot away from the masses at Coors. Play the usual guys here: Turner, Harper, Zimmerman, and Murphy.
Batters to Target
(…Start broken record…) I should be getting tired of recommending the same guys here, and you might be too. You shouldn’t be though. These guys are hitting the ball great and are the perfect one-offs. Hear me out…
Jay Bruce – I shouldn’t have to keep telling you to play Bruce against right-handed pitchers. He is crushing righties with a 0.468 wOBA and a 0.378 ISO. Samardzia is giving up a 0.409 wOBA to left-handed batters with a HR/9 rate of 2.55. This is the perfect matchup for Bruce and the worst possible matchup for the Shark. Just play him and thank me later!
Miguel Sano – Sano smashes right-handed pitching. Mike Pelfrey is getting smashed by right-handed hitters. Sano is as hot as anyone, and leads the slate in batted ball distance and exit velocity over the last fifteen days (among players with over 10 starts). Sano has a great chance to hit a home run in this.
Play Bruce and Sano as one-offs and come back Friday for me to again brag about them both going yard.
Any more questions? Hit me up on Twitter @mrclutchdfs
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