I haven’t been as active in the daily fantasy scene this year, but considering I read Neil’s DFS column every morning it feels like I’ve been here all season. I’ve basically been like a backup quarterback, standing on the sideline with my clipboard in hand, taking notes, and learning from the seasoned veteran.
Granted I’m more like Jonathan Moxon from Varsity Blues, which means I may have missed a few notes here and there thinking about Ms Davis, and Darcy in her whipped Cream bikini and…. and, I digress. Thankfully I wrote this portion last as I’ve completely lost focus, so here are your quick hits of the day.
Batter versus Pitcher Warriors:
- Ryan Howard vs Mike Leake – 8/23 with a double, 3 home runs and 2 walks
- Robinson Cano vs Matt Garza – 12/32 with 3 doubles, 2 home runs and 2 walks
- Mark Trumbo vs Dallas Keuchel – 6/13 with 1 double, 2 triples, 3 home runs and a walk
- David Ortiz vs Justin Verlander – 11/32 with 4 doubles, 2 home runs and 4 walks
- Jason Castro vs Yovani Gallardo – 8/21 with 2 doubles, 1 home runs and 4 walks
- Brad Miller vs Martin Perez – 4/10 with a double and 2walks
Stacks to Target:
- Cubs vs Rockies – Coors Field Alert! The Cubs are starting Jason Hammel so a Rockies stack my not be the best investment today. Jorge De La Rosa, on the other hand; players like Javier Baez, Kris Bryant, Dexter Fowler, Wilson Contreras and Anthony Rizzo could have a field day against the lefty.
- Phillies vs Mike Leake – Mike has sprung a leak in August – actually it started on July 23 and nobody every plugged it up. Over his past five starts he has an 8.04 ERA and a 1.61 WHIP. His numbers outside of St Louis are also abysmal, and hitters have taken advantage of him regardless of the hand they bat with. On top of that, Phillies scored four runs off Leake back in May when they weren’t hitting anyone – unlike present day. I like Ryan Howard, Freddy Galvis, Cameron Rupp, Maikel Franco, Odubel Herrera and Cesar Hernandez. Jimmy Paredes and Carlos Ruiz will provide you with the biggest bargains should they play.
- Diamondbacks vs Luis Perdomo – Perdomo may be a ground ball pitcher, but he’s also a bad pitcher and hitters are making him pay. His 5.71 ERA, 1.96 WHIP and .333 BAA in August are bad, but a 7.99 ERA, 2.33 WHIP and .381 BAA at home is even worse. He is equally bad against lefties and rightes, walks too many batters, doesn’t generate enough strikeouts, and has been way too hittable. Queue up Paul Goldschmidt, Jean Segura, Yasmany Tomas and Welington Castillo.
Weather Factors to Target or Avoid:
- Toronto at Cleveland – Slight chance of rain
- Detroit at Boston – 25% chance of rain
- Washington at Atlanta – 50% chance of thunderstorms in afternoon
- Houston at Baltimore – 70% chance of thunderstorms after 2:00PM
- Miami at Pittsburgh – 50% chance of rain through 1:00 PM – possible delay
- St Louis at Philadelphia – 50% chance of thunderstorms after 2:00 PM
There is a large but fast moving system that could affect games on the East Coast.
Pitchers of the Day:
- Jose Quintana vs Oakland – I get the feeling this one will be heavily played as Quintana’s price tag on DraftKings is just $9,900 – $1,000+ less than the other top pitchers. Since the all-star break Quintana has a 1.80 ERA and 1.10 WHIP. He’s a workhorse capable of going deep into games, limits walks and home runs, and can put up some decent strikeout totals on any given night. This month Oakland ranks 25th in BA and 28th in OBP and runs scored. They are tough to strikeout so you might not get more than 5 here, but combined with a win, low score and six plus innings you should get at least 20 points at a minimum.
- Chad Green vs Angels – For the month of August the Angels rank 29th in runs scored and dead last in BA and OBP. They have hit for power, but Green’s 50% groundball rate combined with a 26.7% fly ball rate and the Angels home park should neutralize things a bit. Green just pitched a two-hit six-inning shutout against the Blue Jays who are 29th in BA and OBP and 26th in runs scored (sound familiar). He also struck out 11 – not surprising with a 10.80 K/9. The $6,400 price tag on DraftKings makes this a nice bargain enabling you to stack away some hitters.
If you have the money, Corey Kluber is my favorite high-priced pitcher today. Since the all-star break he has a 1.76 ERA, a 1.05 WHIP, and he’s striking out a batter an innings. He is facing a Blue Jays team that Green above just clobbered a few days and who lead the league in strikeouts in August.
Platoon Split Hitters:
- Jonathan Villar vs Ariel Miranda – Villar has a 318 BA and .401 OBP vs LHP with 11 doubles, 4 home runs and 13 stolen bases in 129 at bats.
- Kyle Seager vs Matt Garza – Hitting .316/.397/.558 vs RHP with 25 doubles, 14 home runs and 39 walks over 294 at bats. He’s also batting .373 over the past two weeks.
Go to Fantasy Rundown for additional DFS picks from some of the top sites on the web.