It’s the end of a perfect weekend and I’ll be spending the day with family, good food, the water, and an adult beverage. For me, unwinding means no work and no phone, so I’ll be away from game action, but hopefully can set you up with some good advice before I partake in the festivities. Whatever you’re doing, I hope you have a fantastic day too! Take note that
Here are your quick hits of the day:
Batter versus Pitcher Warriors:
- Adam Jones vs Jake Odorizzi – 10/25 with a double and 2 home runs
- Marcus Semien vs JA Happ – 7/13 with a home run and a walk
- Jason Kipnis vs Kyle Gibson – 5/11 with 2 doubles and a home run
- Yan Gomes vs Kyle Gibson – 6/14 with a double and 2 homers
- Brian McCann vs David Price – 10/29 with 3 home runs
Stacks to Target:
- Indians vs Kyle Gibson – Gibson makes things too easy for me, and even though his ERA is much better at home, the underlying numbers show no reason for that to continue. Gibson has allowed 22 ER vs the Indians in his career in 7 games (34 IP), with a 1.50 WHIP. Now the Indians aren’t typically very good on the road, but with the success they’ve had against Gibson in the past, I’m still all in. Kipnis and Lindor would be my primary targets, while adding Ramirez, Santana and a $2,000 Gomes if he is in the lineup.
- Dodgers vs Robbie Ray – I know what you’re thinking – the Dodgers are the worst club in the majors against LHP. But, the Dodgers are hot, including a 13-7 pummeling of the D’Backs (and LHP Corbin) on Friday. Robbie Ray, meanwhile, is just horrible at home with 5.92 ERA this year, as well as a 5.82 mark over his past three starts. Ray has had some success against these Dodgers in the past, but I like the hot bats vs the cold arm today.
Weather Factors to Target or Avoid:
- Royals at Tigers – 11 MPH wind blowing in
- Rangers at Cubs – 18 MPH wind blowing out
- Indians at Twins – 13 MPH wind blowing out
- Rockies at Braves – Slight chance of rain
Pitchers of the Day:
- Max Scherzer vs Pirates – Scherzer is a beast, averaging nearly 29 FPPG over his last ten starts. In fact, since the beginning of June, Scherzer’s average line is approximately 7IP, 4H, 1R, 2BB, 9K. The Pirates are basically middle-of-the-pack offensively, and Mad Max has had some good success against them in the past. He’s also better at home; and while he’s on this kind of tear it is hard not to want to bet on him, even if he’s the most expensive player on the board.
- Yordano Ventura vs Tigers – Choosing Scherzer doesn’t allow for much flexibility, so you’ll need to take some risk with your second starter. Montgomery and Bundy are safer bets for cash games, but for GPP play, I’ll take the third cheapest arm of the day. Ventura is coming off an excellent start against Seattle, and has had a ton of success against the Tigers. He shut them out over 6 innings in June and is 6-0 lifetime against them with a 3.27 ERA and a strikeout per inning.
Platoon Split Hitters:
- Stephen Piscotty vs A.Conley – Piscotty is hitting .354/.474/.633 vs LHP this year.
- Javier Baez vs C. Hamels – Baez is destroying lefties with a .359 AVG and a 445 wOBA and 181 wRC+
- Jake Smolinski vs JA Happ – Smolinski crushes LHP, with 4 HR and a .359 AVG is 39 at bats this year.
Any more questions? Hit me up on Twitter @FantasyAssembly
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