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Waiver Wire Report: Closing out the First Half

Waiver Wire Report LogoThere has been a lot of bullpen activity over the past few weeks. The Padres shipped Fernando Rodney out-of-town, and the Diamondbacks did the same with Brad Ziegler. Add on injuries to Wade Davis and Craig Kimbrel and you’re left with a slew of fantasy owners scrambling to the waiver wire in search of a replacement. Fortunately you still have time as a number of freshly minted closers are still available for the taking.

Koji Uehara (Red Sox)
Available in 85% of CBS, 70% of Y! and 94% of ESPN leagues

With Craig Kimbrel on the shelf for the next three to six weeks. Uehera becomes a speculative add. For the season he has a 4.96 ERA and 1.10 WHIP. While the ERA may be bad, his WHIP is playable, and his 12.67 K/9 is in elite status. Fortunately Junichi Tazawa has been just as bad lately, but the Red Sox recent acquisition of Brad Ziegler could have Uehara on a short leash. Uehara picked up back to back saves on Friday and Saturday so the job is his for now, but keep a close eye on the situation.

Tyler Clippard (Diamondbacks)
Available in 80% of CBS, 63% of Y! and 94% of ESPN leagues

Following the Brad Ziegler trade the closer role is open in Arizona. Daniel Hudson would have been a consideration, but his recent bad outings have opened the door for Clippard. For the season Clippard owns a 3.06 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and is striking out over a batter an innings. Since his blowup on June 10th he has allowed just one earned run in his last 10 appearances, has issued just one walk, and has allowed zero home runs. Clippard proved in Washington as well as Oakland that he can handle the role and he should have a fairly long leash. Go get him.

Brandon Maurer (Padres)
Available in 79% of CBS, 76% of Y! and 88% of ESPN leagues

Those who immediately grabbed Ryan Buchter or speculated on Kevin Quackenbush when Fernando Rodney was traded were fooled with a curveball. Instead it is Maurer and his 5.67 ERA taking the role. He hasn’t had the success that he had last season in San Diego, but at least he’s getting strikeouts (11.12 K/9). He managed to get a save in his first opportunity, but also gave up a run on two hits.

Maurer may have been named the closer, but my money is on lefty Ryan Buchter taking over at some point. His ERA was below 1.0 in April and May, and had it not been for a four run game on June 2nd his ERA would have been below 1.0 in June as well. Roster Maurer if you’re looking for saves now, but if you’re thinking saves down the line you may want to stash Buchter.

Seth Smith & Franklin Gutierrez (Mariners)
Smith is available in 80% of CBS, 88% of Y! and 85% of ESPN leagues
Gutierrez is available in 93% of CBS and 98% of Y! and ESPN leagues

While Smith’s average reads .279, it is actually .292 (I don’t count those few rogue starts versus lefties). He is batting .324 over the past month with five home runs and 17 RBIs, and he is on pace to set career highs in runs, home runs, RBIs and batting average. Given his past I can see the skepticism, but almost every player is good for one career year. Now Smith sits versus lefties, and this is why I say pick up Gutierrez as well and play them in tandem.

Gutierrez rarely starts against righties and doesn’t produce well when he does, but against lefties he is batting .284 with seven home runs and 21 RBIs over 102 at bats. He did the same thing last season against lefties, batting .317 with eight home runs and 19 RBIs over 104 at bats. Now if you played both Smith and Gutierrez from the start of the season and rotated them in based upon the starter you would roughly have a .290 with 18 home runs and 59 RBIs.Those are the type of numbers you typically find on waivers.

If you’ve been struggling with your fourth outfield spot, this pairing could potentially solve all your issues.



Didi Gregorius (Yankees)
Available in 60% of CBS and 73% of Y! and ESPN leagues

For the second week in a row I find myself looking at previously recommended players and asking myself “Why are they still available”? Gregorius is hitting both home (.308) and away (.293). While all his power and speed is against righties, he is crushing lefties (.365). He hit .287 with two home runs, 14 RBIs and 11 runs scored in May and nobody blinked. He then hit .337 with four home runs, 18 RBIs and scored 15 runs in June and that got his ownership levels above 40% on CBS.

Wake up people! It is now July and Didi is batting .393 with two home runs. He has been a top-5 shortstop for well over six weeks and is a top-12 options for the season. Simple math here, but most leagues have 12 teams, right? That kind of production should warrant a bench spot at the very least. The BABIP isn’t inflated, the strikeout percentage is at a career low, and the contact rate ranks 32nd in the majors. Even if you don’t need him, don’t let your opponent have him.

Yangervis Solarte (Padres)
Available in 51% of CBS, 71% of Y! and 73% of ESPN leagues

Solarte was listed as a sleeper by some prior to the start of the season, but though May he only accumulated 50 at bats. He was finally given a chance in June and hit an acceptable .265, but over the final week right through to present time he has been on fire. Since June 21st Solarte has raised his average 47 points with six multi-hit games including four home runs. Hitting in the cleanup role has helped him total 14 RBIs over the past three weeks and score 13 runs. Over the past two weeks he has ranked inside the top-10 for first, second and third basemen on the ESPN player rater. This could be a hot streak, or it could be his coming out party.

Luis Valbuena (Astros)
Available in 76% of CBS and 93% of Y! and ESPN leagues

Valbuena has been even hotter than Solarte over the past two weeks, batting .362 with four home runs and 15 RBIs, ranking in the top-10 for first and third basemen. Thanks to the hot hitting he has found himself batting in the top half of the order as opposed to the customary 6th through 8th spot.

At the halfway mark he is halfway to matching last season’s run, home run and RBI totals, but with a much better batting average. Most of his production comes at home and against righties, but he is also hitting lefties (.281) and putting up a decent average on the road (.254). As long as Valbuena can keep the batting average at a respectable level he is a worthy corner infield play.

Davis Freese (Pirates)
Available in 78% of CBS and 87% of Y! and ESPN leagues

Nobody gave Freese much of a chance to stick, and most everyone assumed that one Jung-Ho Kang returned it would be back to the bench for him. For the season Freese is batting .300 with 10 home runs and 38 RBIs along with 42 runs scored. He’s hitting lefties and righties equally, as well as home and away. The batting average did drop to .266 in June, but it was .293 or higher in April and May and is over .400 in July.

His overall numbers have him ranked 20th for first and third basemen. Over the past two weeks he has ranked in the top-12, just behind Valbuena and Solarte, with about a quarter of his total production coming during this span. On the days that Kang does play Freese has been sliding over to first, displacing John Jaso. That may get tougher to do now that Josh Bell has arrived, but given Kang is slumping, Freese should continue to see the lions share of work at third for the immediate future.

David Dahl (Rockies)
Available in 84% of CBS and 98% of Y! and ESPN leagues

We’ll end things today with a future stash. Dahl spent the second half of 2015 in Double-A where he batted .278 (.352 BABIP) with 16 doubles, six home runs and 22 stolen bases over 288 at bats. The walk total was less than desirable (3.6 percent) and the strikeouts were a little high (23.8 percent), but overall it was a solid debut.

Dahl started this season in Double-A, and just like last year he totaled 288 at bats and hit .278 with a similar .351 BABIP. The results, however, were quite different. Dahl hit 21 doubles with 13 home runs and 16 stolen bases. He almost doubled his RBI total (24 to 45) and figured out how to draw walks (11.7 percent). The only negative was his strikeout rate which went up again to 25.6 percent.

Dahl was recently promoted to Triple-A where he has been tearing the cover off the ball, batting .500 (13 for 26) with three doubles and two home runs. He has yet to strike out, but I expect that to change some as he is exposed to the league. Short of a trade or injury Gonzalez and Blackmon have their roles cemented, but Gerardo Parra could be pushed aside should the Rockies decide Dahl can no longer be contained in the minors.

Don’t wait for the Rockies to make a move. If your outfield is weak and the waiver wire is thin on talent, it might be in your best interest to stash him now (just like Hunter Renfroe who was recommended here a few weeks ago).



Previous Waiver Wire Recommendations

I like to hold myself accountable for past recommendations, so I will monitor my hits and misses from the previous weeks and monitor their progress until they either graduate (over 50% ownership on all three sites) or are listed as drops (sometimes you’ve just got to cut a man loose).

Graduated

This is the last week Kendrys Morales will appear here. His ownership level has reached a point to where he should be owned in all competitive leagues.

Continue to add

  • Hitters: Josh Bell, Melky Cabrera, Didi Gregorius, Mark Reynolds, Brett Lawrie, Javier Baez, Devon Travis, Tim Anderson, Marcus Semien, Lonnie Chisenhall, Tyler Naquin, Max Kepler
  • Pitchers: Anthony DeSclafani, Bartolo Colon, Zach Eflin
  • Justin Bour hit the DL Wednesday with an ankle sprain. I would still add him to stash.
  • Jose Reyes is starting to hit and should soon qualify for third base; his real value is at shortstop though.
  • Yasmany Tomas has three hits since I recommended him. It’s just a slump (hopefully). The same goes for Colby Rasmus with just one hit last week.
  • Hunter Renfroe and Alex Bregman should be up at some point and both players could make a fantasy impact.

HoldDo not add them, but do not drop them yet if possible

  • Kevin Gausman is good for streaming at home, but not much else. You can hold him for that, but there should be better options available on waivers.
  • Daniel Mengden‘s stock is plummeting; one more bad start and he’s dead to me until he figures things out.
  • Kolten Wong is hitting good enough to not be dropped, but not well enough to warrant being added.
  • Blake Snell was saved from the drop pile after a six inning two run performance. Not sure if he warrants adding yet, but it’s a good sign.
  • A.J. Reed does have two homers, but he also has 15 strikeouts in 31 at bats. I can see Houston sending him down soon. Drop or hold depending on the depth of your waiver wire.

Drop ’em

  • That’s four really bad starts for C.C. Sabathia. Hold him if you like, but don’t pass up worthy available players to stash him.
  • Matt Adams is back to being irrelevant.
  • I’m still a fan of Brandon Guyer, but he has just six hits over the past two weeks.

 

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Jim Finch
The self proclaimed Grand High Exhausted Mystic Ruler of Fantasy Baseball. While I am not related to Jennie or Sidd Finch, I will attempt to uphold the integrity of the Finch family name as it relates to baseball. You can also find me at FanRagSports.com
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3 comments on “Waiver Wire Report: Closing out the First Half

  1. Hey bud,

    Grabbed clippard to replace Ziegler, and a-gon/Reyes working out short term in my shallow league. Wanted to ask your thoughts in my deep dynasty league where I inherited a really bad team and am rebuilding.

    All moves are for next year and beyond. It’s 14 team Roto with 30 man rosters as well as 5 farm slots. I think I’ve done a decent job rebuilding.

    I traded a $25 kipnis for an $8 Brantley.

    I also moved an $11 melancon for a $5 conforto and I think a $1 glasnow.

    I made moves so that I have Cobb, fulmer, Eduardo Rodriguez, Aaron Blair, ho,er bailey, junior guerrA, Daniel Norris all for $5 or under.

    My offense could be better built for the future but I do have nick Hundley for $5, ozuna for $10, votto for $28, Chris carter for $6, Dee Gordon for $11. Then a bunch of meh guys like asche, Dietrich, Michael Taylor also for $5.

    Still want to deal $52 Harper$10 darnaud, and maybe $20 Robertson if he gets hes healthy.

    Was wondering if you thought byung how park was worth speculative ad for dynasty since owner dropped him. Same deal with Matt bush since I have Rodney and he lost his job and hence his trade value. Would appreciate that as well as any other advice for a much deeper league than I’m used to.

    Hope you had an awesome weekend!

    Mike

  2. Sorry to double post as I’m sure you’re on vacation getting much deserved rest, but I’ve been really active in this league over the break. Turns out Harper was $57 and I got $21 carpenter and $7 moustakas for him. Another guy is mad at me bc he was offering $10 piscotty $1 josh bell and $10 Sanchez but he wanted a lot on top of Harper. He wanted Harper, mchugh, rajai Davis, and Robertson. Hopefully when he cools off I can still get one or two of them.

    I dropped Blair, Taylor, and $10 Cron for $7 BH park, $5 Drury, and $5 dull, but there’s still some names I like on the wire.

    I feel like I can def drop $5 headley now that I have carpenter and moustakas. I can also drop dickey and nick hundley I think. Other guys I’m not sure about in comparison to waiver talent: asche, Moyà, Dietrich, merrifield, homer Bailey, Corbin, and Daniel Norris. All also $5 keepers.

    Names on wire that evoke some interest(all would be $5 keepers):

    Matt bush (esp if I sell Robertson)
    Cervelli
    Arod
    David wright
    Spangeberg
    Eflin
    Derek Holland
    Glen Perkins
    Rusney Castillo
    Tolleson
    Mesoraco
    Yan Gomes
    JJ hardy
    Chad bettis
    Markakis
    Andriese
    Kennys Vargas
    Swihart
    Pompey
    Hunter Strickland

    Thanks as always for the insight and hope you’re all rested up.

    • Great job getting Conforto and Glasnow for Melancon.

      Fulmer and Cobb are the two pitchers I like from the group. The rest are nicely priced, but if an offer comes along for any of them I would entertain it – none of them are irreplaceable. Same goes for Hundley and Carter; catchers and b/u 1B guys come and go. If you can sell high on Carter I would.

      Not a huge Moose fan, but Harper no longer affordable and you get some nice position flexibility with Carpenter.
      I’d love to have just Bell and Piscotty, but that’s not happening now. Of the two I’d target Bell if you go back at him with another trade.

      Headley is easily droppable. I’d grab Ryon Healy if he’s available. If he turns out to be as good as I think he can be it will allow you to trade Moose later.

      None of those free agents do anything for me. Bush maybe for future saves, but I found in keeper leagues that unless you have a Chapman/Jansen top guaranteed closer they’re not worth holding – too many jobs change hands.

      I think that covers everything.

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