Well, week 11 was an up and down ride, for sure. Overall the five streamers I recommended (a few were bumped or cancelled) went 3-0 (good if you are into win-loss record) with a 3.84 ERA, a 1.35 WHIP and a 7.04 K/9. Overall you can’t really complain about that.
Of course, those are the overall numbers, and within those there are always – say it with me now… Ins, Outs and What Have Yous…
|What have you|
All right, dem’s the apps, let us get to the main course!
Jeremy Hellickson (vs. Diamondbacks) – Hellboy, once a major favorite of this guy; he started the season off quite decently, but his season on a whole has been a roller coaster ride. But hey, if the season on the whole was great for Hellboy then he wouldn’t be available for us to stream now, would he? The answer is no, no he would not. Now, his last couple starts have not been fantastic, but before that he had not allowed more than three runs in his prior six starts. The FIP haven’t looked great either, but believe me I am going somewhere with this.
Hellboy gets to face the Diamondbacks who have been having some offensive woes recently as evidenced by their 26th ranked wOBA and their 24th ranked ISO over the past two weeks. Sure there is still a good amount of risk attached with this stream, but I like the odds of Hellboy having a sneaky chance at a quality start against the Diamondbacks.
21.6% owned in ESPN, 24% owned in Yahoo!
Martin Perez, Rangers (vs. Orioles) – Yeah, yeah, last time I recommended Perez he had one of his worst starts of the season, but that was still only four runs over seven innings, so not too bad. Plus, that was on the road and this is at home. At home this season Perez has thrown nothing but quality starts. Yep, he is eight for eight in that department, and in those home starts he posted a 2.61 ERA. Although the FIP and xFIP are in the mid fours at home, that at least leads me to think the quality starts should keep coming.
If you’re still not sold, let me tell you about the Orioles and how they do against southpaws. Against lefties, the Orioles have the sixth worst wOBA in the majors. Sure the ISO is decent, but they struggle getting the guys on base across the plate them. I mean whether or not Perez should be putting up the numbers he is putting up, he is putting them up, and I’m willing to ride that out.
18.1% owned in ESPN, 16% Yahoo!
Tyler Wilson, Orioles (vs. Padres) – According to the FIP that ERA in the mid fours is about what you should expect from Tyler Wilson, which means, he is sometimes a good play for our streaming purposes. But with a quality start in just four of his nine outings, we really need to pick our spots, spots like this one where he faces the Padres.
The Padres have been one of the least intimidating offenses in the bigs throughout the season, and even though they have recently kind of moved up to mediocre offensively, I am still not gonna hesitate to stream against them. This one may be a tad bit of a stretch so I won’t be mad if you don’t go with Mr. Wilson, but if you have to stream on Tuesday, and I’m not sure why you would, Wilson could be your low end sneaky pick.
1.5% owned in ESPN, 2% owned in Yahoo!
Blake Snell, Rays (@ Indians) – I know, I know, this seems like a knee jerk reaction, but given Tuesday’s options, I think this is one of the more intriguing ones. Snell’s major league debut was quite nice. In that debut outing, Snell allowed one run in five innings against the Yankees, while striking out six. One start is hard to judge, but starting with a 3.10 SIERA doesn’t hurt. No, these weren’t the 1927 Yankees by any means, but neither are the 2016 Cleveland Indians. I don’t want to make you think the Indians are terrible at the plate because they do have a respectable offense, but they’ve never seen Snell, which I think gives him the advantage, here.
Snell’s second start was kind of a what have you. He didn’t make it out of the fourth inning, gave up five runs (only one run was earned though), and the FIP and xFIP were in the fours, but the K rate and ground ball rate were still on point, so I still Snell, er, smell some fantasy goodness in this one.
34.7% owned in ESPN, 45% owned in Yahoo!
Adam Conley, Marlins (vs. Braves) – So, I’d say I’m tired of telling you all about the Braves weak, weak offense, but it actually seems like I haven’t been streaming against them much of late, so here we are. The Braves offense is bad. Real bad. Adam Conley on the other hand is okay. Real okay. Conley has a 4.13 ERA , a 3.80 FIP and a 4.44 xFIP. Maybe not Real okay, but okay enough. The recent starts haven’t been good though, so Conley is definitely a case by case pitcher, but a start against the Braves is a case for streaming most anyone. I wish I had more for you, but the Braves should generally be enough in most cases.
18.0% owned in ESPN, 20% owned in Yahoo!
Jon Gray, Rockies (@ Yankees) – I feel like Jon Gray has quietly been rattling off quality starts. Jon has quality starts in his last four outings and in seven of his last eight starts. In Gray’s last four starts his ERA is 2.30 and his xFIP is 3.33 – which I like even if the FIP is 4.27. But let’s switch gears a bit and look at Jon Gray on the road.
Although the road ERA is over four, the FIP and xFIP away from Coors are both below three. Plus, and I can’t believe I didn’t already mention this, Gray is striking out over 10 batters per nine innings which is spectacular. That K rate coupled with a ground ball rate near 50% makes me like Jonboy’s shot at a quality start almost every time out. So, yeah, I am all aboard the Gray-vy train.
41.4% owned in ESPN, 37% owned in Yahoo!
Jake Peavy, Giants (@ Pirates) – Yeah, you have to just go ahead and ignore that ERA near six. We aren’t focusing on his whole volume of work for the season, because that’s not as helpful as his recent outings. Three of Peavy’s last four starts have been quality, and in those last four starts, even with the non-quality start. his ERA has been 1.82, so you can see that he was putting up really good numbers in those other three starts. Even in the non-quality start his FIP was under three, so there is a lot of good to be had.
Now, the xFIP is over four so I am not going to buy into his really low ERA over these starts, per se, but I can work with a 4.20 ERA if that’s where he ends up. What I can also work with is him facing the Pirates who have the lowest wOBA in the majors over the past two weeks, the third lowest ISO over the past two weeks, and only three teams have scored fewer runs than the Buccos in that time span.
4.4% owned in ESPN, 5% owned in Yahoo!
Christian Friedrich, Padres (@ Reds) – Not gonna get too hung up on the 2.12 ERA since the xFIP is sitting at 4.54 and the SIERA is at 4.78, but sometimes you have to stick with what works even if you can’t quite explain it, right? Friedrich doesn’t look like a pitcher that should be a go every time he is slated to take the hill, but four of his six starts have been quality, and he has yet to allow more than three earned runs in any start this season.
The Reds are neither world beaters nor lightweights at the plate so this is no gimme, but Friedrich’s FIP in his last two starts is 1.79 and the xFIP is 2.79, so maybe he is coming into his own? It’s something, at least. Christian has gone at least five in all but one of his six starts, and if he is getting you innings he is getting you strikeouts as evidenced by his 8.21 K/9.
Overall, I am not really buying in completely on Friedrich, but I think he will give you some respectable numbers in this outing.
14.5% owned in ESPN, 15% owned in Yahoo!
That’s all I got, go on, get out of here, go stream!
Need more streamer options or potential two-start pitchers, head on over to Fantasy Rundown