Daily Fantasy Quick Hits – June 11

Neil previews today’s game action and shares his top DFS Plays for June 11

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Saturday is usually my daily fantasy day off.  The schedule is so spread out and I like to play 8 lineups a slate – and I don’t want to make 24 lineups!  Plus, Saturday is family day for me when I spend the whole day with my wife and kids.  But today might be too good to pass up.  There are some pitchers that I love today as well as some hitters that I feel strongly about.  Maybe I will throw in a lineup or 10!

Here are your quick hits of the day:

Batter versus Pitcher Warriors:

  1. Brandon Belt vs. Scott Kazmir – 5/10 with 3 homers and a walk
  2. AJ Pierzynski vs. Jake Arrieta – 8/14 with 2 homers, a double and 2 walks
  3. Curtis Granderson vs. Wily Peralta – 5/11 with 2 homers, 2 doubles and a walk
  4. Cody Asche vs. Tanner Roark – 5/11 with 2 homers, a double and a walk

Stacks to Target:

  1. Padres at Rockies – The Coors Field Effect – Tyler Chatwood has been dynamite for the Rockies this year, but I still wouldn’t shy away from using Padres.  And Erik Johnson makes his San Diego debut so the Rockies are all in play.
  2. Reds vs. Daniel Mengden – As a baseball junkie, it is very rare that there is a pitcher starting a big league game that I have never heard of.  Mengden, however, fits that particular bill.  Looking at his stats in the minors this year, his 1.39 ERA is impressive, but it is accompanied by a strand rate of 89.7% and a .210 BABIP meaning a more pedestrian 3.74 FIP.  He had a 4.75 ERA in A+ ball last year, and I can’t see him slowing down a big league lineup.  Duvall, Bruce and Votto will be a low owned stack worth playing.
  3. White Sox vs. Chris Young – Chris Young has somehow managed a 6.37 ERA despite a sub .270 BABIP and a strand rate over 85%.  Part of it has to do with his insane 25% HR/FB rate which will surely fall, but to be honest, I am not sure by how much.  Young is allowing an astounding 40.1% hard contact this year and 54.4% of his contact allowed is fly balls – that is a recipe for allowing a huge amount of homers.  In fact, if he keeps up this pace, he might approach Bert Blyleven’s record of 50 homers allowed in a year.  Since stacks are most effective when teammates string hits together, I am not sure that a White Sox stack is the best play, but target all of your White Sox as 1-off plays for their home run potential.

Weather Factors to Target or Avoid:

  • Padres at Rockies – 11 MPH wind blowing out.

Pitchers of the Day:

  1. Jake Arrieta vs. Braves; Jose Fernandez vs. Diamondbacks (The Obvious Plays) –  The Braves have the worst offense in the majors and face a top 5 pitcher.  Arrieta is your safest cash game play on the board.  The Diamondbacks are the 6th most strikeout prone team in the majors and face MLB’s best strikeout pitcher.  Fernandez is a great play too.
  2. Chris Archer vs. Astros – Archer is not having a vintage season so it is easy to overlook the fact that he leads the American League in K/9 and is 2nd in strikeouts.  The Astros are MLB’s most strikeout prone team by a wide margin.  Archer is only the 5th most expensive pitcher on DraftKings and is a good bet for double digit Ks.  And don’t forget – the DFS sites greatly reward pitcher strikeouts.  My favorite GPP play – though I am sure he will have fairly high ownership percentage.
  3. JA Happ vs. Orioles – Doing my research today I was surprised, very surprised actually, to see that the Orioles rank last in the AL in OPS against lefties with a .688 mark.  Happ has had 2 rough starts this year but has been otherwise stellar.  And he has been effective against the Orioles lineup holding them to a collective .221/.300/.373 line with an impressive 36.3% K-rate.  Happ’s ownership will likely hover around 5% (or less) so he is a great flyer in a GPP.

Platoon Split Hitters:

  1. Derek Dietrich vs. Zach Godley – Dietrich has been effective against righties this year with a .373 wOBA and 135 wRC+.
  2. Michael Conforto vs. Wily Peralta – Conforto has been stellar against righties this year with a .390 wOBA and 152 wRC+, and Peralta can’t get lefties out.  One of my favorite one-off plays of the day,

Any more questions? Hit me up on Twitter @AssemblyNeil

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Neil
Neil has been an avid fantasy sports player since 1991 and a profitable low stakes DFS grinder since 2014. Neil is ranked in the top 20% of DFS players in 3 sports and in the top 10% of DFS players for his stakes per RotoGrinders rankings. As a native Montrealer Neil hopes to get a Major League Baseball team back to his hometown some day soon.