Daily Fantasy Quick Hits – June 5

Neil previews today’s game action and shares his top DFS Plays for June 5

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This is a high pressure slate for me.  Since I started playing daily fantasy in 2014, I have been trying to convince my sometimes fantasy rival, sometimes fantasy partner, and always best friend – my brother Ricky – to play as well.  He tried once briefly in the 2015 NFL season and then didn’t play again.  Then, out of the blue, yesterday I got a message from DraftKings that someone was challenging me in a head-to-head for today.  I recognized the screen name – it was my brother’s.  Now he’s been talking smack non-stop telling me that he is going to whoop me.

This is actually the first cash game lineup that I will be making all season because I have become a GPP only player.  (My ROI in cash games in MLB is -4.20% while for GPPs it is +77.24%).  But I will need to come up with a good one to beat my brother.

Let’s see what we came up with in today’s slate:

Batter versus Pitcher Warriors:

  1. Luis Valbuena vs. Sonny Gray – 5/10 with a homer and 2 walks
  2. Jason Kipnis vs. Chris Young – 6/14 with 2 doubles, a homer and a walk
  3. Nori Aoki vs. Derek Holland – 5/10 with 2 doubles
  4. Nick Markakis vs. Scott Kazmir – 11/26 with 2 homers and 2 walks

Stacks to Target:

  1. Nationals vs. Jon Moscot – Moscot has pulled off the impossible – he has a 7.13 ERA with an impossibly low .210 BABIP, making his FIP sit at over 9.00.  Moscot also strikes out less guys than he walks, is giving up line drives at a 32.3% clip, and hard contact at a 34.8% rate.  I like the Nationals for double-digit runs today.
  2. Cubs vs. Patrick Corbin – Corbin’s strikeouts are down and his walks are up.  He also leads MLB in hard contact allowed with an astounding 41.0%.  Righties have a .363 wOBA against Corbin on the season, and the Cubs have a .791 OPS against southpaws, good for 5th in MLB.  I like the Cubs today.

Weather Factors to Target or Avoid:

There is a lot of rain in the forecast today.  Be sure to follow Kevin Roth on Twitter (@KevinRothWx) for the latest in weather news.

  • Royals vs. Indians – chance of rain
  • White Sox at Tigers –  chance of rain
  • Yankees at Orioles –  chance of rain
  • Brewers at Phillies – chance of rain
  • Angels at Pirates –  chance of rain
  • Rays at Twins – 18 MPH wind blowing out

Pitchers of the Day:

  1. Jose Fernandez vs. Mets – As you all know, DFS sites love the strikeout pitchers, and Fernandez is the best strikeout pitcher in the business with a 32.9% K-rate.  The Mets have also struck out more than their fair share against right-handed starters with a 23.3% K-rate.  Fernandez also leads this slate in SIERA at 2.75 while the Mets are 29th in runs over the last 7 days with only 21 runs scored.  Jose could be in for a big score today.
  2. Aaron Nola vs. Brewers – The book on Nola when he was a prospect was that he was a good control pitcher that could induce a ton of soft contact, but was not much of a strikeout guy.  Nola has kind of turned that on its face this year by featuring his wipeout curveball more, and he now has a more than respectable 23.9% K-rate and 9.50 K/9.  The Brewers are the most strikeout prone team in MLB versus right-handed starters at 26.71%.  He is expensive and may not get the win, but I love Nola as a GPP play on DraftKings.

Platoon Split Hitters:

  1. Jung-Ho Kang vs. Hector Santiago – The Kang Show has a .444 wOBA and 186 wRC+ versus lefties on the year.
  2. Trevor Story vs. Brad Hand – The Rockies may have a field day against the Padres fill in starter.  Story likes to face lefty starters sporting a .380 wOBA.

Any more questions? Hit me up on Twitter @AssemblyNeil

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Neil
Neil has been an avid fantasy sports player since 1991 and a profitable low stakes DFS grinder since 2014. Neil is ranked in the top 20% of DFS players in 3 sports and in the top 10% of DFS players for his stakes per RotoGrinders rankings. As a native Montrealer Neil hopes to get a Major League Baseball team back to his hometown some day soon.