Good day, folks! Well, my first weekend back from hiatus seems to have been a mixed bag. The six streamers I selected went 2-1 with a 4.22 ERA, a 1.56 WHIP and a 8.44 K/9.
Like I said, a mixed bag, and a mixed bag means we had some Ins, Outs and What Have Yous…
|What have you|
Alright, dem’s the appetizers, here’s your main course…
Nate Eovaldi, Yankees (@ Orioles) – Well, Friday night’s streaming options are fairly light, but as you should know I have a soft spot for Nate the Great. The Orioles are a tough draw so I am not 100% on board here, but Eovaldi has been on fire lately. He has tossed quality starts in three consecutive starts and in four of last five starts. Over those past five starts, Eovaldi is sporting a 2.03 ERA, a 3.05 FIP and a 3.46 xFIP, so he has been throwing pretty darned well. The K/9 is solid enough, and with a ground ball rate over 50% it seems like Eovaldi should be able to keep limiting damage.
While the Orioles have a somewhat dangerous offense, over the past couple weeks they have only been in the middle of the pack offensively, so I like the odds of another quality start for Nate the Great. This could be Nate’s last appearance here on Field of Streams if he puts up another gem.
49.2% owned in ESPN, 55% owned in Yahoo!
Chris Rusin, Rockies (@ Padres) – This is normally the portion of Field of Streams where we point out how bad the Padres offense is and has been, but not today. Ya see, over the past two weeks the Padres are actually 12th in runs scored and 9th in ISO. Bet you didn’t see that twist coming, did ya? I don’t believe this “offensive explosion” will last, but that aside, Chris Rusin is worth a looksie.
Sure, that 4.75 ERA doesn’t exactly invoke confidence, but his FIP on the season is 2.93 and his xFIP is 3.35. Those are pretty good kids, and highly playable for our purposes. Rusin is inducing ground balls at rate of almost 60%, and with a K/9 just over seven, that, in theory, should help limit the damage. Now, only one of Rusin’s five starts thus far has been quality, so there’s not exactly a long track record of fantasy goodness. But I feel like it’s coming, and could be coming as soon as Friday.
1.0% owned in ESPN, 1% owned in Yahoo!
Junior Guerra, Brewers (@ Phillies) – Guerra has come on strong for the Brew Crew, posting a 3.47 ERA over his six starts this season, helped by quality starts in three of his last four outings. In addition, Guerra has gone at least five innings in every 2016 outing and has not allowed more than three earned runs in his past four starts. The ground ball rate is a tad lower than I’d like, but I can deal with it if he keeps striking out a batter per inning. He has pitched to his surroundings fairly well, sporting a 2.84 FIP. The SIERA and xFIP are in the high threes, but even if his actual ERA were to fly that high it is still manageable, even more so against the Philly.
The Phillies offense had a rough go of it this season, and over the last couple of weeks things have not been much better. Over this most recent fortnight the Phils are 29th in wOBA, 26th in ISO and dead stinkin’ last in runs scored. All signs seem to point to some fantasy goodness from Guerra in this one.
20.3% owned in ESPN, 13% owned in Yahoo!
Bartolo Colon, Mets (@ Marlins) – In ten starts this season, Bartolo has gone at least five innings in all but one game, and has allowed more than three runs just once. Over his last two starts he has allowed just three runs over 13 innings. The 3.39 ERA is nice to look at, and it does line up with his 3.56 FIP, but the xFIP and SIERA both point to some mild regression – that would still leave us with streamable numbers folks can like with, I think. Plus, I don’t really foresee any sort of regression coming about in Miami. Why is that, you may ask?
Well, the Marlins have been sort of weak offensively, scoring more runs than just four other teams over the past two weeks. Even better for our purposes, the Fish are 28th in ISO over that same span. I think you’ll get at least a quality start start out of Bartolo.
24.1% owned in ESPN, 29% owned in Yahoo!
Kevin Gausman, Orioles (vs. Yankees) – Okay, so Gaus didn’t quite live up to my expectations against the Red Sox, and his last two starts have not been great, but neither has the Yankees offense. Over the past two weeks the Yankees are 26th in wOBA, 23rd in ISO and 25th in runs scored. Plus Gausman’s previous start against the Pinstripes was top-notch. In that outing he three hit the Yankees over eight innings, allowing no runs or walks while striking out four. I think this seems like just the matchup to get Gausman numbers back on track.
34.7% owned in ESPN, 39% owned in Yahoo!
Matt Wisler, Braves (@ Dodgers) – Yes, yes, the xFIP and SIERA point to that 3.16 ERA being a bit of a mirage, but for fantasy purposes, Wisler has been putting up good numbers and has rattled off six consecutive quality starts. The strikeouts have been up and down, as has the ground ball rate. Those are both things that make it tough to really trust Wisler, but I think we have to ride out the quality start streak – especially with the Dodgers in his sights this weekend.
Over these past couple of weeks the Dodgers have been sitting towards the bottom of the league in ISO and wOBA, giving Wisler a better than average shot at fantasy goodness. Plus the game is in Dodgers stadium giving him a little leeway on that high fly ball rate.
26.2% owned in ESPN, 28% owned in Yahoo!
That’s it. That’s all I got for ya. Go on, get outta here, go stream!
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