Daily Fantasy Quick Hits – May 13

Neil previews today’s game action and shares his top DFS Plays for May 12

DFS Baseball LogoOh – what could have been!  It was a very nice and profitable night for yours truly, but it could have been even better.  I only used two medium cost pitchers yesterday – James Shields and Zach Greinke and had each of them in two lineups.  In one lineup, if I would have played Shields instead of Greinke, I would have won $1,500 instead of the $30 I ended up profiting.  That’s DFS for you.

As for today, this is a tough little slate.  Chris Sale looks like the best pitcher play by far, but everyone will be on him.  I am not sure if I should pay up in GPPs or fade because of probable 45%+ ownership.  I’ll probably just have some light exposure.

Here are your quick hit thoughts for today:

Moonshot Generic
                        Draft Kings $3 Moonshot Contests Featured Daily – Join Now.

Batter versus Pitcher Warriors:

  1. Bryce Harper vs. Tom Koehler – 9/28 with 6 homers a double and 3 walks
  2. Josh Donaldson vs. Martin Perez – 6/15 with 3 doubles a homer and 4 walks
  3. Miguel Cabrera vs. Chris Tillman – 5/13 with a homer a double and 2 walks
  4. Jason Kipnis vs. Ricky Nolasco – 4/12 with 2 doubles a homer and a walk

Stacks to Target:

  1. Blue Jays vs. Martin Perez – I advocated for this stack not all that long ago and the Jays didn’t do much with it.  Be that as it may, Perez still has a .340 wOBA allowed in his career against right-handed hitters and the Jays didn’t all of a sudden forget how to hit southpaws despite their mediocre early season form.  I have called this a few times already, but look for a break out game for the Blue Birds.
  2. Nationals LHB vs. Tom Koehler – Koehler has allowed a .383 wOBA to left-handed bats this year and allowed lefties a .332 wOBA in 2015.  Bryce Harper kills this guy, hitting a homer almost every time they match-up.  You also might have noticed that Daniel Murphy is having a nice season.  I like the Nats left-handed bats in this one.

Weather Factors to Target or Avoid:

  • Houston at Boston – rain possibility
  • Atlanta at Kansas City – windy and rain possibility

Pitchers of the Day:

  1. Andrew Cashner vs. Milwaukee – The Brewers strike out the 4th most in MLB, and Cashner is usually in the 7.5-8.0 K/9 range on the season.  Not elite numbers by any stretch, but can get you more than a strikeout per inning in a positive match-up.  This is a positive match-up.  A good play if you want to get some expensive bats in your lineup.
  2. Jeff Samardzija vs. Arizona – Arizona has struck out the 3rd most in the National League against right-handed pitching and Samardzija has been dealing thus far this year.  His 8.19 K/9 are no fluke as that is right in line with his career numbers.  His hard hit rate is way down to 21.2% after allowing 27% hard contact last year.  The Diamondbacks can hit, but Samardzija is in good form.

Platoon Split Hitters:

  1. Alex Gordon vs. Julio Teheran – Teheran struggles with left-handed bats and Gordon has been coming around as of late.  And on the year, he has a .358 wOBA and 129 wRC+ against righties.
  2. Robinson Cano vs. Nick Tropeano – Cano has been murdering righties this year with a .478 wOBA and 221 wRC+.

Any more questions? Hit me up on Twitter @AssemblyNeil

Fantasy Rundown BannerGo to Fantasy Rundown for additional DFS picks from some of the top sites on the web.


Written by 

Neil has been an avid fantasy sports player since 1991 and a profitable low stakes DFS grinder since 2014. Neil is ranked in the top 20% of DFS players in 3 sports and in the top 10% of DFS players for his stakes per RotoGrinders rankings. As a native Montrealer Neil hopes to get a Major League Baseball team back to his hometown some day soon.